tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-277621752012-02-16T13:32:42.738-05:00Horse racing handicapping systems, articles, and horse racing blogs. Learn how to bet on the horses or handicap horse races. Buy horse racing systems or read horseracing articles. Free horse racing system information. Best Bets and handicapping information.Willienoreply@blogger.comBlogger4241100tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-63583240643955810222012-02-10T11:27:00.000-05:002012-02-10T11:27:08.391-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>If you're like most people, making money from betting on horse races may seem like a dream. Imagine being able to walk into a race track or OTB and then walk out with more money than you started with? There are ads for horse racing systems that offer to show you how to make the race track or OTB parlor your own personal ATM machine. It all sounds so good, but of course, it isn't the truth.</p><p>If it sounds too good to be true, it probably is. If someone offers to teach you about horse racing handicapping, that's one thing, but no one is going to sell you something that is so fantastic that it automatically makes a profit at the horse races. Real handicapping gurus will share what they know and teach you some good angles and ways to look at horse races, but you will still have to figure out how to win on your own with your new found knowledge.</p><p>The same is true of any other form of investing. You may go to school to learn about real estate or the stock market or commodity markets, but you'll then have to take that knowledge out into the world and apply it yourself. So let's start looking at how you can apply your horse racing knowledge in a way to find your best bet of the day. Your best bet will be the one that you are most likely to win and make a profit on.</p><p>It isn't important just to cash a ticket if you still lose money in the long run. For instance, if you bet on a horse at 3-5 odds each day for a week but only 4 win, you'll lose money in the long run even though you won 4 out of 7 bets. You will collect $12.80 on $14 worth of bets using the $2 base bet as our model. What you have to do is find a bet that pays enough so that you can make a profit.</p><p>The best way to do that is to keep notes and learn from your experiences. Start today and do this every day that you handicap and bet. Make a note of each horse that you bet on and why you thought it was a good bet. Write down the odds at post time and what your winners paid. Don't just pay attention to the winners. You must also learn from the losers.</p><p>At the end of the month look at each group of bets. They should be grouped by the race track, type of race, age and gender of the horses. Look for trends. For instance, if your reason for betting on 20 horses over the course of the month was a trainer move, and if that move was profitable, then keep that bet as a good one and look for more of those.</p><p>This is not a one time process but should actually be an ongoing process that you use every month because things change and today's winning angle is tomorrow's loser. Stay ahead of trends this way. At the end of the first month, take your most profitable bet and make that your best bet. Devote a higher percentage of your bankroll to those wagers.</p><p>Remember, however, betting on horse races is extremely risky and there are no guarantees in life, especially at the horse races, so never risk more than you can afford to lose.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Find-Your-Best-Horse-Racing-Bet-of-the-Day&id=6868903" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Find-Your-Best-Horse-Racing-Bet-of-the-Day&id=6868903</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-6358324064395581022?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-60026468475453841262012-02-10T11:24:00.002-05:002012-02-10T11:24:41.047-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>There has been a lot of talk in the news lately about hedge funds and hedge fund managers. While I don't understand much about hedge funds, other than the fact that they get to play by different rules than the average investor, I do know about hedge bets. The first thing I know about hedge bets is that they aren't just for a select few.</p><p>If you are old enough to place a bet on a horse race and you're in a place where it's legal, you may also hedge your bets or do some Dutching. Dutching is a form of betting where two or more prospects are backed and the amounts wagered on each one are adjusted, according to the odds, so that the bettor wins about the same amount if either of the choices wins.</p><p>An example of Dutching would be horse A at 2-1 and horse B is at 5-1. You think that one of those two horses will be the winner, but you aren't sure which one it will be. This often happens when there are two possible pace scenarios and one favors horse A while the other favors horse B. Let's say you have $100 to bet on the race. You could just bet the same amount, $50, on each runner. The payoffs would be A=$150 and B=$300.</p><p>If you think either horse has an equal chance, however, you can adjust your bet so that no matter which runner wins, you get about the same amount. If you wager $$67 on A the payoff for a win would be $201 and wagering the remaining $33 on B would result in a $198 payoff should B win the race. Both bets are about equal as far as payoffs go.</p><p>On the other hand, you may also hedge your bets by putting a "saver," on a win bet by backing the same horse to place or show. Let's say you have $100 to spend and you want to bet horse B to win. You're pretty sure it will win, but if it doesn't, you'd like to at least break even if it hits the board. A place or show bet for the right amount could return you investment if you know what the horse will pay to place or show.</p><p>Let's say your calculations indicate it will pay about $6 to place. Of course, this is just an estimate based on the amounts in the place pool. If a $2 place bet returns $6 you will need 17 such bets to collect $102 if the horse only places. That means you'll have to spend $34 on a place bet leaving you only $66 for your win bet. But if the horse manages to win you'll still collect on both bets, unlike the Dutch bet where you only collect on one runner.</p><p>A straight win bet on B would result in a payoff of $600 ($12x50=$600). On the other hand, a win and place bet for the above amounts would equal a total payoff of $498 ($12x33=$396 and $6x17=$102). That insurance or hedge bet comes at a price tag of $102.</p><p>Whether you use a hedge bet or try Dutching, money management is the key to success at horse racing handicapping and betting.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Hedge-Bets-and-Dutching&id=6868924" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Hedge-Bets-and-Dutching&id=6868924</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-6002646847545384126?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-21401704373009931452012-02-10T11:16:00.002-05:002012-02-10T11:16:39.088-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>The daily double was one of the first exotic or gadget bets and is still very popular today. It used to only be found in the first two races on the program, but now some tracks offer what they call a "rolling double," meaning that the double may be played in more races throughout the card.</p><p>The double is about the simplest exotic bet. You pick the winner in the first race, the first half of the double, and then you pick the winner in the second race, or second half. You must have the winner in both halves to collect. An alternative to playing a daily double is a parlay bet. When you parlay a bet you simply take all your winnings from the first race and place them on a horse in the next race.</p><p>Either a double or a parlay can add up quickly. If you wager $2 to win on a horse in the first race and it wins and you collect $12 which you then wager on another horse in a following race, you may multiply your $2 investment many times. For instance, if your choice in the second race of your parlay bet wins and pays $10 to win, you actually collect $60. Not bad for an initial wager of $2. Of course, the downside is that you have to pick two winners in a row.</p><p>Many bettors like to wheel a horse in the double when they feel strongly about a runner's chances of winning. While it may be hard to pick a winner in one of the races, if you can find a winner in either race of the daily double and then wheel all the horses in the other race with that one, you may hit the double.</p><p>All these wagers have risks and positive and negative attributes. The parlay bet, unlike the daily double, doesn't have to be on two consecutive races or even at the same track. You may win on the 3rd race at Aqueduct and then take your winnings and parlay them on the 5th race at Gulfstream Park. On the other hand, if you can't isolate a winner in the first or second race but can only narrow down the contenders to a short list, you may have to part wheel those horses with some of the horses in the second race.</p><p>If that is the case it is easier to just play a part wheel or box in the double rather than trying to figure out which amounts to bet on each runner in order to Dutch them so that you wind up with enough to bet all your choices in the second race.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Daily-Double-Bets-and-Rolling-Doubles-For-Horse-Racing&id=6868920" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Daily-Double-Bets-and-Rolling-Doubles-For-Horse-Racing&id=6868920</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2140170437300993145?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-51825028799560725302012-02-10T11:14:00.002-05:002012-02-10T11:14:52.777-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Horse racing handicapping is not easy if you really want to make a profit from your bets. While it may seem easy at first and while many beginners have some luck when they first go to the horse races, repeating that success is almost impossible without lots of hard work and trial and error. One thing that almost all horse players will agree on is that you have to learn and develop your skill at handicapping if you want to have a chance at making money betting on horses.</p><p>There are many good books on the subject of horse racing and there are also systems that you can buy. Neither the books nor the systems, however, will automatically make you a profitable horse player. There are too many variables for that to work and you will find, should you try to learn how to pick winners, that you have to know when to change your method of evaluating horses from time to time.</p><p>Anyone can learn a simple horse racing system of the basics of handicapping horse races. The real trick, if you want to be a professional horse player, is to have the intuition/experience to know which system or method to use at any given time. After decades of playing the ponies I still struggle with this from time to time and I am sure, if other seasoned horse players were honest, they'd admit the same thing.</p><p>The best advice is to read some good books by top handicapping authors and to also buy some systems and try them out, as long as they aren't too expensive. You'll learn from the good ones and each time you learn a new angle you will add it to your bag of tricks. When you've accumulated enough of these plays and also have lived through enough ups and downs, you may start to develop that 6th sense the good horse players have of knowing when to bet the class or when to bet the speed or when to pass the race.</p><p>You'll also know when to use a system and when to lay off it. The most important things you should know, before you begin, is that 1. horse racing is risky and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose, therefore, start slowly and only bet small amounts. 2. There are no guarantees in life and that is especially true of horse racing and betting.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-To-Start-Picking-Winners-At-The-Horse-Races&id=6868918" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-To-Start-Picking-Winners-At-The-Horse-Races&id=6868918</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5182502879956072530?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-79030712755439170602012-02-10T11:13:00.000-05:002012-02-10T11:13:25.544-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>The track model is like a road map. It shows the most likely route to the winners circle, but not the only route. It tells you how most of the winners raced, including the beaten lengths at several calls as well as the running style of most of the winners. So in a 6 furlong race for older horses where most of the winners come from a little off the pace, the Early Presser (EP) runner might be 60% and the Early (E) runner might account for 20% of the winners.</p><p>That means that horses that take the lead or run very close to it in the early stages of the race win an incredible 80% of the time. That is a very strong speed bias. While that much of a speed bias is rare, it does happen. Speed biases in the 60-70% range are much more common. Don't think that all track models favor speed, however, because some also favor Presser (P) type runners or even Sustained (S) types.</p><p>Before you begin to handicap it's a good idea to find out what the track model is for the particular type race you're handicapping. Then evaluate each horse and determine its running style and a likely pace scenario in the race. Do not, however, only focus on the horses that fit the most common winning running style, because things don't always go as planned in a horse race.</p><p>Speed and ability are as important as running style and track models. While one horse or more may have the favored running style, another horse with much more ability may still win. If the speed par for the race is 84 and none of the horses who have the favored running style have shown the ability to reach that par, you may find another horse with an unlikely style that will win the race.</p><p>After I've handicapped the race I sometimes make a list of the runners with the speed figure I expect from each one for that day. I mark their running preferences beside them and then try to determine a fair price (odds) for each one based on its ability and running style. Then, just before post time, I look for the best value based on the running styles and ability. Remember, if you're serious about succeeding as a handicapper, the goal is not to have the winner of every race, but to win more money than you spend, in other words, to make a profit from your bets.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-With-Track-Models-and-Speed&id=6868908" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-With-Track-Models-and-Speed&id=6868908</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7903071275543917060?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-45585164103013353482012-02-03T15:34:00.000-05:002012-02-03T15:34:30.594-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>While the skill of being able to accurately evaluate each horse's chances of winning is essential to making money betting on horses, the best handicapping in the world is useless if you can't also manage your money well. I often say that good money management will get you through a tough run at the races better than good handicapping will. When you think of wagering on horses as an investment, it only makes sense that how you use your bankroll is crucial to success.</p><p>It's the same in any other form of investing, after all, that's all investing really is, moving money around and putting it where it is most likely to earn a favorable return. So here are a few thoughts on using your bankroll the very best you can. If you've been handicapping the horse races and still losing money, you might want to think about improving your money management rather than trying to learn that next horse racing angle.</p><p>First of all, the number one reason that most businesses, including horse racing ventures, fail is being under funded. If you are betting with the rent money or making two dollar bets and hoping to make a living, it just isn't going to work. You must be realistic and understand the kind of money the successful professional handicappers spend in order to eke out a living.</p><p>If 10% is a good return for a horse player, how much do you need to wager in the course of a year in order to make $100,000? The answer is $1,000,000. That's a staggering sum for most people, but it's true. Of course, if you only wish to make $10,000 then you need only wager $100,000. For most people that figure is out of reach.</p><p>I always advise people to never wager with money they can't afford to lose. This is a very risky business and there are no guarantees. Don't risk your life's savings or money you need for your retirement. When you do wager, bet in increments that are based on your total bankroll and on the amount of that figure that you have set aside for one days wagers. An example would be that if you have a $1,000 bankroll, setting aside $100 for a days bets would leave you $900 for the next day. If you lose the entire $100 and have $900 left, then use 10% of that the next day so your new daily limit would be $90.</p><p>An alternative to actually wagering and risking your money on the horse races is to enter handicapping contests. These competitions are becoming more and more popular and if you manage to make it to the final rounds, there are some big prizes including big cash. For a small entry fee you could walk away with a small fortune and you won't have risked much. While you play in the tournament you'll also be sharpening your handicapping skills for the day when you have the skill and bankroll to become a true pro.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Money-Management-Tips-for-Horse-Racing-Betting&id=6856620" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Money-Management-Tips-for-Horse-Racing-Betting&id=6856620</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4558516410301335348?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-34959892316922457572012-02-03T15:32:00.002-05:002012-02-03T15:32:31.691-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Recently I was asked by a handicapper if I could give some good angles for a track that he planned to play this winter. No matter what season it is, the best method I've found for dealing with track specific horse racing angles is to research the track models and trainer standings for that track.</p><p>There is a lot of information online about each track and many of them post last years top trainers and jockeys at the beginning of a new meet. Of course, for the track publicity department it's a matter of trying to generate interest in the rivalries at the track and also a way to help handicappers to watch certain trainers who may be good at dealing with the peculiarities of that racing venue.</p><p>One of the best things that you can do, if you want to cash a lot of winners at the horse races, is to keep notes or save your old racing programs. As I write this there is a book shelf behind me that is crammed full of old racing programs. When a new meet starts I like to look back over last year's programs to see if I can get a handle on how the track played last year and of who the stars were. I also like to note those trainers and jockeys who disappointed.</p><p>They say that living by looking over your shoulder is a bad thing to do, but trust me, when it comes to handicapping learning by your past mistakes is crucial to making money betting on horses. On the other hand, be flexible enough to realize that things can change. If a new trend develops, don't miss it.</p><p>Many of the large suppliers of past performances now publish the track model and a summary of the race statistics specific to that type of race, right along with the running lines of the horses in the race. This information is valuable once enough races have been run for the year to give a reliable snapshot of how the track plays, but before that happens, knowing how it played in the previous meet is a leg up on the competition.</p><p>My memory isn't what it used to be and it never was that hot, so I keep the old programs and refer to them whenever there's a change at the track. I write on the programs what the track condition and weather was, too. That's great info for understanding a track bias, particularly on an off day. If it is raining hard today and the track is sloppy for the second day in a row, I need only look at last year's programs to see how the conditions will affect the runners.</p><p>The angles you need are in the programs and results and notes that you keep and that is one way to have an edge at the races.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Angles-for-Each-Race-Track&id=6856625" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Angles-for-Each-Race-Track&id=6856625</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3495989231692245757?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-77629757516331174192012-02-03T15:30:00.003-05:002012-02-04T07:33:47.234-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>There's a lot of talk these days about making money betting on horses by using trainer moves. The suppliers of past performances often list them right along with a horses running lines, along with the actual ROI (return on investment) for the specific move. An example would be,<em> down 2 classes +3.10</em>, meaning that when that trainer drops a horse two levels in they win enough to make a tidy profit.</p><p>The only problem with this is that like all past performance information, it is a look at the past, not a glimpse into the future. Though you may be using past performances, what you're actually trying to do is to forecast what will happen today. Call it prognostication or fortune telling, or whatever you like, what you're doing is predicting the future.</p><p>The reasoning by many is that by looking at what the trainer did in the past you will be able to tell what he or she is likely to do today and of course, the same is true of the horses. The problem with that line of thought is that you can't predict what the bettors will do and their reluctance to back the conditioners other horses in similar situations is the reason they showed a positive ROI.</p><p>Are you starting to see where this is going? If you're sitting there reading that this trainer move has a positive expectancy you can bet your sweet racing form that a thousand other would-be handicappers are doing the same thing and thinking that it's going to be as easy as finding money in the street. Wrong.</p><p>Good handicappers read the form and see patterns, but great handicappers read the form and predict changes. Betting on what always happens is a waste of time -- you'll rarely get a good value bet. Betting on what hasn't happened yet, but what might happen, is a tougher way to cash tickets, but the tickets you do cash will make a profit in the long run.</p><p>While we all use those trainer moves at times, the best way to use them is very sparingly and only when the rest of the field offers no hope. Even then, however, you'll be hard pressed to make a profit with them. The moves that pay the best are the moves that are unexpected or undervalued. If the crowd sees that a trainer wins with a certain move, but it usually is unprofitable in the long run, they are liable to dismiss it as a bad bet.</p><p>Think about that for a moment and you'll see that it is possible that those trainer moves with the negative ROI may, in some circumstances, actually be the best moves to bet on.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br /><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Using-Horse-Racing-Trainer-Moves-the-Truth-and-Fiction-for-Handicappers&id=6851431" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Using-Horse-Racing-Trainer-Moves-the-Truth-and-Fiction-for-Handicappers&id=6851431</a><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7762975751633117419?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-11749679349584168832012-02-03T15:29:00.003-05:002012-02-04T07:24:52.922-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Don't you wish you could get inside tips about the horses that would allow you to know when one was ready to win, or perhaps, when the favorite was off his feed and not likely to win? They used to say the stable cat was the best handicapper because he lived with the horses. That was probably true, but I've never seen a feline in the betting lines.</p><p>Inside information, however, can be dynamite, but you have to know how to get it and when to use it and when to pass it up. That comes down to discretion on your part. I've had a lot of trainers tell me their horse was a cinch to win, only to see it lose. Now when a trainer or owner tells me a horse is a sure thing, I know that the jockey will probably try to win with it, but that it can still be beaten because another trainer may feel the same way about his horse.</p><p>The truth of the matter is, though the human connections may have their own ideas, the animals themselves are the real key to how they will race. The single most important tip you can get on any race is how the money is flowing and for that you have to watch the pools and know what to look for.</p><p>The second most important information is on the race track in front of you. I'm talking about the horses themselves. Being able to spot one that is washy or too dry and dull is one of the greatest assets a handicapper can have. Horse racing handicapping isn't just about the figures and past performance lines on paper. The real story, the present, not the past, is out on the track or in the paddock before the race.</p><p>While many of us have to use OTB parlors and can't get to each track that we wager on, the best tips you'll ever get will not be from the cat, but from the horse itself. Taking the time to learn how to sight handicap, as it is called, is well worth it if you plan on being a serious handicapper. While we try to forecast what will happen today based on past performances, the condition of the horse in the past may not be its condition today.</p><p>Each feature of that living creature before you in the paddock or post parade is a tip. Yet you will often see handicappers who never actually look at the runners, being more content to watch the tote board, read the horse's lines, or gabbing with their friends and cronies while the best opportunity to spot a fit and ready horse is trotting around on the track right in front of them.</p><p>Instead of wasting money on tips or so-called inside information, invest some time and effort into learning how to spot the problem horse or the hot horse and you'll be your own best tipster.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br /><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Tips-From-the-Stable-Cat&id=6851428" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Tips-From-the-Stable-Cat&id=6851428</a><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1174967934958416883?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-12458462544207367632012-02-03T15:27:00.002-05:002012-02-03T15:27:53.151-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>The computer age has changed our lives in unimaginable ways. Who knew just a few decades ago that we would be carrying around phones that we could send messages with, surf the internet with, and use as a gps. Those are just a few of the uses of today's modern techno gadgets that really do seem to make life easier. But do those gadgets enable us to handicap a race any better, and if so, are we making more money as handicappers?</p><p>In my experience the answer is that while we do have more information at our finger tips, there is still little profit to be made picking winners. It may be possible, but it isn't easy to make a profit betting on horses, and you're hearing that from a man who teaches people how to handicap the races. I make my living from horse racing, but I don't sugar coat it.</p><p>While the amount of information that is available has certainly increased, that information is available to any one who seeks it. The trick to making money betting on horse races isn't just to have more information, it is to have more and better information than the other guy or to use your information better than he does.</p><p>After all, let's be honest, we're each trying to beat the rest of the crowd when we bet on a race unless we're in a place where book making is legal, in which case we may be trying to beat an odds maker. Whatever the case may be, horse racing handicapping is about beating other people, being better at spotting a value bet, of evaluating the runners.</p><p>What we all really want is an edge. Some people try to achieve that by learning how to interpret the information better than the crowd. Others flit from new invention or software product to the next invention or software product always trying to be one step ahead of the competition.</p><p>Now here's a novel idea, maybe less really is more. Why not just take a few handicapping factors and find out exactly how to weight them for a particular kind of race? For instance, how important is speed, class, recency in a maiden claiming race at your favorite track? I've yet to see that information in the past performances. Maybe it is available somewhere, but I haven't seen it yet.</p><p>When you try to use too many handicapping factors you usually wind up with information overload and as they say, "Too much analysis becomes paralysis."</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Is-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Easier-With-a-Computer&id=6851427" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Is-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Easier-With-a-Computer&id=6851427</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1245846254420736763?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-84459853855005521142012-02-03T15:25:00.003-05:002012-02-04T07:11:12.806-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>If you've been going to the races for a while you've probably picked up a little horse racing lore and logic along the way. There are some things that most horse racing handicappers and horse players know that everybody at the race track knows and uses to pick winners and find good bets. Fortunately, for a few people, that is, some of that so-called common sense or common knowledge, is hogwash. If you're using it, it could be costing you plenty.</p><p>Let's start with one tidbit of information that most horse players know and use when sizing up the runners and trying to find a good bet. "The favorites win about a third of the races."</p><p>I like to call this one of those situations where a little knowledge can be a dangerous thing. If you look at all the races at a particular track, you will usually find that about 30%-35% are won by the betting favorite in the race. But for those punters who look at the odds board and spot the horse that has the most money bet on it and think that it has a one out of three chance of winning just because the crowd has made it the favorite, they're operating under false information.</p><p>The truth of the matter is that there is a wide disparity between winning favorites depending upon the kind of race in question. Breaking it down and looking more closely at the betting choice in each kind of race at almost any race track will reveal some races where the favorites win more than 50% of the races while in others the favorites win only about 10%.</p><p>That's a huge difference and if you're relying on the old saw that favorites win about a third of the time, you're in for a shock. Now let's look even closer at this common knowledge. The odds do make a difference, not just to the actual amount paid out to the winners, but also in predicting the horse's chances of winning the race. The lower the odds, the greater the runner's chances of winning.</p><p>Makes perfect sense, you may say. Therefore if also makes sense to bet on a horse that is receiving a lot of money in the pools, right? Well, yes and no. Once again, there are other factors that must be taken into consideration. First of all, if it's the favorite, what is the actual winning percentage of the favorites in that particular kind of race?</p><p>Secondly, even though the lower the odds the better the chances of a win, it is also true that the winner will pay less, the lower the odds go, so a horse that is bet down may still not be a good bargain. It is true, however, that in some instances horses that are at very low odds actually have a positive expectancy, but those are rare cases and you'd better do your homework before betting those types.</p><p>Therefore, when you're at the races, don't rely on what the crowd considers common knowledge and just because something seems to make sense, don't accept it until you see proof. At the races, it's results that matter, not hearsay.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br /><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Separating-Common-Sense-From-Nonsense-in-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=6851422" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Separating-Common-Sense-From-Nonsense-in-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=6851422</a><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8445985385500552114?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-91329023655187332142012-02-03T15:23:00.002-05:002012-02-03T15:23:50.328-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Before you begin any kind of venture in life, do you first try to figure out how difficult it will be to succeed at that endeavor? Successful people usually have this one character trait. They will try to do difficult things, but they will also find out how difficult those things are and then choose the ones that they think they really can succeed with, given their talents and abilities. They don't mind a challenge, but they hate wasted efforts on impossible tasks.</p><p>Now let's apply that to horse racing handicapping and think about how we can use that insight to succeed at picking enough winning horses to make a profit. I am assuming that's what you want to do. If, on the other hand, you just want to bet for the sake of a thrill and try to charm Lady Luck into paying you a visit, then you really don't need to read this horse racing article.</p><p>Each person who reads this article is an individual and I can't tell you how to personally succeed as a handicapper. I wish I could, but I can't and unless someone else knows you very well, he can't tell you how to succeed as a handicapper, either. You have talents and abilities and some knowledge that is specific to your own life experience.</p><p>For instance, there are probably race tracks that you are more familiar with than others and also maybe you've picked up knowledge about trainers, jockeys, and maybe even the owners of some of the horses and stables. That is all to your advantage if you can somehow make sense of it all and use it. I teach people how to handicap using the basics and some horse racing angles, but how you put it all together with your own talents is the key to success.</p><p>Before you begin, however, I can say this. Know which races are the easiest to handicap. Apply what you know, but also research the races themselves. Generally speaking, the low level claimers are harder to handicap because the horses are more likely to lose their form than the horses at the top of the horse racing class ladder.</p><p>The top trainers and top horses in stakes races are usually more reliable and what you see on paper is more likely to hold true on the race track. So before you start spreading your money around on a lot of cheap races, think about that and how much better it might be to sit through the low level races and wait for the feature race of the day. There is a reason why they give you the lousy races first and make you wait for the good races, you know.</p><p>They realize that people will stick around for the good race and human nature such as it is, they'll bet on all those tough, low class races while they wait. The difference between a successful handicapper and a thrill seeking gambler is that the handicapper will sit through those races and save his money for a few well chosen bets on the better races where he has a better chance to use his handicapping skill.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Best-Horse-Races-to-Handicap-and-Win-Consistently&id=6849154" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Best-Horse-Races-to-Handicap-and-Win-Consistently&id=6849154</a><br /><br /><br><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-9132902365518733214?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-3737428384231212812012-02-03T15:21:00.002-05:002012-02-03T15:21:54.921-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>It's amazing how people who handicap horse races spend so much time thinking about the physical condition of the horses and jockeys but who ignore their own health as a factor in success at the races. I know many people don't want to hear that their lifestyle has a direct impact on their success playing the races, but in my opinion, it does.</p><p>Horse races are contests. Horse racing handicapping is a contest as well. The person who bets into pari-mutuel pools is competing against all the other people who also bet into the pools. You aren't competing against the race track or horses, you're competing against other people who are doing the same thing you're doing -- trying to make a profit picking winners.</p><p>How smart and how well prepared you are will make a big difference, just as it does in any other contest. Professional poker players who play in tournaments know that fatigue plays a big part in finishing well. The players who are able to make good decisions at the end of the tournament are the ones who usually win. Physical fatigue leads to poor judgment and mental errors.</p><p>As a handicapper, your best tool is your mind. Physiologist will tell you that cognitive ability declines with poor health. Proper nutrition is a key to a clear well functioning mind. Exercise leads to better blood flow and almost everyone knows how important it is for your brain to get oxygen rich blood in order to function properly.</p><p>Just because you sit down to handicap a horse race, it doesn't mean that physical strength and stamina aren't necessary. Think of other contests and sports where the participants sit down and you'll see what I mean. NASCAR drivers sit down and drive a car. It certainly doesn't take much strength to turn a steering wheel, does it?</p><p>Have you seen many fat NASCAR drivers? Most professional drivers keep themselves in very good physical shape because they know that stamina and good judgment after a grueling race are often the difference between taking the victory lap and cooling your heels in the pits.</p><p>Therefore, take a little advice from a handicapper who walks and exercises every day. Take a long walk or exercise, get into a regular routine. It will help you to think clearly and to have the stamina to outlast the out of shape couch potato who doesn't take the game as seriously as you do. That may be one more bit of an edge that you have over the other handicappers.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Diet-Exercise-and-Horse-Racing-Handicapping---The-Connection&id=6849150" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Diet-Exercise-and-Horse-Racing-Handicapping---The-Connection&id=6849150</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-373742838423121281?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-32661579251359441342012-02-03T15:20:00.000-05:002012-02-03T15:20:18.559-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Handicapping horse races can be a very time consuming and frustrating experience. In plain English, picking winners is one of the hardest things some of us ever try and most people lose money at the horse races. While some of us enjoy trying to solve the puzzle of a horse race, at the end of the day, when we've spent so much time and energy, only to have lost money, there is "...no joy in Mudville," as they say.</p><p>That's why some people give up and just use the odds on the tote board to try and pick winners. They figure, and rightly so, that the lower the odds on a horse the better its chances of winning. While that is true, it is also a fact that almost all horses go off at close to the correct odds and you will still lose whatever the track take out figure is for win bets at that track.</p><p>For instance, if you decide to bet the second favorite in each race and bet ten races, it will average out in the long haul that you've lost about whatever the track's percentage may be. It might vary a little one way or the other, but overall, you'll lose. While it's a nice simple method for picking winners, it's also financially unsound and results in a loss. Not a lot of fun, unless you can convince yourself that losing is fun.</p><p>There are simple ways to pick horses that are contenders. The odds show the horses who are likely contenders and at most race tracks the top four horses win about 70% of the races. A study of the different types of races will often show some disparities. For instance, in certain races for maidens the percentage of winning favorites is 40% and the average payoff is quite small.</p><p>In races for older claiming horses, on the other hand, the winning favorite percentage is lower and there are more winners at 5-1 or greater so the chances of making money seem better, but that's an illusion because it is harder to determine which horse at those odds is a good bet.</p><p>Any simple method that uses just one criteria or factor for evaluating the horses is doomed to be a loser in the long run because horse races are too complex. While you do pick your share of winners using something as simple as the odds or the speed rating of a horse in its last race, the problem is still going to be that the horse has been bet down so that your payoff will not over come the track's take out, or "vig," as it is sometimes called.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Truth-About-Simple-Methods-for-Picking-Horse-Racing-Winners&id=6843081" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Truth-About-Simple-Methods-for-Picking-Horse-Racing-Winners&id=6843081</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3266157925135944134?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-7582818068138580962012-02-03T15:10:00.002-05:002012-02-03T15:10:31.323-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>The reason that horses can run so fast and so far is that they have an extraordinary cardio-vascular system. In short, they are designed for running and the intervention of human beings with selective breeding programs has only improved upon what was already a very successful design. The modern race horse can inhale large amounts of oxygen and with its over sized heart, it can distribute oxygen rich blood throughout its massive body.</p><p>Therefore, while a horse's legs are certainly a large part of its success, the best legs in the world will not get a horse to the winners circle without a well functioning heart and lungs. Most horses need no help in this area, but there are some who have breathing problems. Sometimes the problem is as simple as nostrils that close when the horse is exerting itself and drawing in large breaths.</p><p>The remedy for collapsing nostrils is a large nasal strip, similar to the ones that human athletes wear, but larger. You may not see them at first because many of them are dark or black and blend right in with the horse's natural color. I've seen racing programs that mentioned a runner was wearing a nasal strip and I've also seen horses in the paddock with nasal strips and no mention was made of it. So it's up to the smart handicapper to check the equipment that a horse is wearing.</p><p>The addition of a nasal strip can mean a big improvement in a runner's performance because oxygen is the fuel that the horse needs. Allowing a horse that has been starving for oxygen in the later stages of its races to now have an almost unlimited supply is like adding a super charger to a car.</p><p>Another such device that is often noted in the past performances is the Cornell Collar, a device developed by the Equine Surgeons at Cornell University. The purpose of the Cornell Collar is to treat a condition called "soft palate displacement." Soft palate displacement is a condition that affects some horses when their palate actually closes the "windpipe," shutting off oxygen when they are exerting themselves.</p><p>An alternative to the Cornell Collar is surgery that is sometimes successful. Once again, a smart horse player may note that a horse has been stopping in its last races, perhaps due to a lack of oxygen. If it is now wearing a Cornell Collar, it may be a good bet.</p><p>Understanding the basics of what makes a race horse such a great athlete may also help you to understand equipment changes and to find good bets.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Equipment-for-Horses-With-Breathing-Problems&id=6843104" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Equipment-for-Horses-With-Breathing-Problems&id=6843104</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-758281806813858096?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-42278820178776518432012-01-27T11:31:00.002-05:002012-01-27T11:31:24.346-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>There is no magic formula for picking winners, but there is a method of making a profit from horse racing bets. That may sound contradictory, but it's not, because there is a difference between picking winning horses and picking good bets. The difference between a horse player who looks for winners and a horse player who looks for good bets is the difference between a successful gambler and a gambler.</p><p>Regular gamblers take some comfort in being right and sometimes they even take comfort in commiserating with other losing gamblers. Winning gamblers take comfort in making a profit and usually keep their ROI and other secrets to themselves. You'll hear a lot of horse players complaining about how hard it is to make a profit or about the losing streak they're on, but you'll rarely if ever hear one talking about his positive return or method of picking those good bets.</p><p>Let's be clear on what a good bet is before we talk about the magic formula for determining that bet. A good wager is one that will show a positive return over the course of a season or a meet. That means that is you make the same bet under the same circumstances at the same track, it will pay you back all the money that you bet plus a profit.</p><p>I realize how difficult it is to find such bets, so please don't think I'm being glib. Making money wagering on horse races is one of the toughest things most of us will ever tackle. It requires certain skills, such as good math skills and the ability to keep accurate notes, whether by using a good computer program of just keeping hard copies that you jot down. Fortunately, a lot of the record keeping is now done by the major suppliers of past performances.</p><p>You may have been confused by that line about note keeping. Notes? You may ask. Yes, notes. How else will you know whether a bet is profitable unless you can check its recent track record. If I bet the horse with the fastest pace figures in its last two races at Aqueduct for 6 furlong races over the inner track, will those horses show a positive return on straight win bets if they go off at 3-1 or higher?</p><p>You see what I mean? Maybe those horses don't show a profit every day, but in races where you find such horses and flat bet them to win, knowing they pay a profit is one way to make money, (Please note that was a hypothetical example and not an actual money making example)</p><p>While other horse players are trying to figure out if those horses will win, the smart bettor is trying to figure out if it's a profitable bet. So the magic formula is the number of bets times the amount bet on each horse minus the return on all bets. In other words, if I find 20 such horses and bet $10 on each one, I'll have spent $200. Now I add up all the winners and what they paid and see if I made a profit. If so, then I've just found a good bet and that is how gamblers and horse players make money. To be honest however, it should be noted that it is still a risky way to make a buck and you should never bet money you can't afford to lose.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Magic-Horse-Racing-Betting-Formula-for-Profit&id=6843095" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Magic-Horse-Racing-Betting-Formula-for-Profit&id=6843095</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4227882017877651843?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-58888491400238666412012-01-27T11:26:00.002-05:002012-01-27T11:26:44.684-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Most people believe that the favorite wins a horse race about a third of the time. While many think that is common knowledge and use it to handicap horse races, it is such a broad statement that it often bears little truth. How can that be? You may ask.</p><p>The truth is that there are many different kinds of horse races over different surfaces and at a wide range of distances. The percentage of winning favorites, based on those factors, may be as low as a mere 10% to as high as 70%. While the average is somewhere in the middle and probably around a third, it still leaves a lot of room for adjustment and that is exactly what the smart handicapper needs to do.</p><p>You need to adjust your methods of evaluating horses and betting on horses in order to take advantage of the public's ability or lack of ability to pick winners. Certainly all the people who represent the public bettors don't bet on the same horse, but the largest percentage of their betting funds will be invested in the favorite.</p><p>At the time of the writing of this article, in 6 furlong races at the 25,000 claiming level for 3 year olds at Aqueduct over the inner track, just 10% of favorites have won those races. A full 80% of the winners have been at or below 5-1, however, which shows that second and third favorites have done very well. What does that tell the smart handicapper?</p><p>It shows that the favorites are vulnerable. It also shows that it is possible to play a horse that is almost as good looking on paper as the favorite and to win and possibly to make a profit. When longshots are coming in with little rhyme or reason it's hard to make money, but when those horses that show a bit of run and seem to be contenders win, players looking for value can make a buck or two.</p><p>Before you handicap your next races find out what has been winning and how. Look for races where logical contenders are winning and beating favorites. Those races above all others are where you will find good value bets and your strike rate, how often you cash a winning ticket, will be high enough so you don't tap out before cashing.</p><p>In races where the win percentage for favorites is very high, look for favorites that are legitimate and have done what is being asked of them in today's race.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?When-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-You-Should-Know-the-Percentage-of-Winning-Favorites&id=6840776" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?When-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-You-Should-Know-the-Percentage-of-Winning-Favorites&id=6840776</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5888849140023866641?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-61791888332557293932012-01-27T11:23:00.000-05:002012-01-27T11:23:11.561-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>In order to be successful at almost anything in life it is necessary to have a systematic method or way of doing things. There are rare exceptions to this rule, but the more repetitious the endeavor, the more likely it is that the successful people have found a system that works and they use it over and over again. Horse racing is a good example.</p><p>Trainers who are successful at getting their horses in condition and winning with them have a systematic way of conditioning the horses and then entering them to win. The horses themselves have a systematic way of running. Some win by being front runners and others by coming from off the pace. Then there are those who come from far back and close with a rush, but the one thing they all have in common is that they use their own method over and over again.</p><p>The same can be said for people who bet on the horses. The really successful people who wager on horse races must work very hard and then there are no guarantees. It is one of the most difficult ways to make money, and yet a few rare souls actually do just that. Do you think that each time they win it is in a different way or that each one has found a method that works for him or her?</p><p>Obviously, in order to do it over and over again, they each must have found a method that works. There are a lot of horse racing systems out there for sale, but I can guarantee you that the really successful horse players have gone beyond the basics of the systems. They probably started with those systems and tried them and found some things that worked and some that didn't and then adapted them a little here and there until they could win with them.</p><p>Along the way I'm sure they did more than their share of losing and paid their dues. No one succeeds in life without some persistence. Every failure while trying to pick enough winners in horse races to make a profit was a painful learning experience, a valuable lesson, for those few people who stuck it out.</p><p>So what is the one factor that the winning horse racing systems have in common? Each one has been adapted by the user to fit his or her unique talents and insight into horse racing.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Good-Horse-Racing-Systems-Have-One-Factor-in-Common&id=6840774" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Good-Horse-Racing-Systems-Have-One-Factor-in-Common&id=6840774</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-6179188833255729393?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-64206371996913834762012-01-27T11:19:00.002-05:002012-01-27T11:19:50.616-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>We all know that the class drop is one of the good horse racing angles for finding contenders in a horse race. If a horse has been racing against tougher competition than it is facing in today's race, then it only makes sense that it will do better today. However, though that makes sense intuitively, it doesn't always hold up in real life situations.</p><p>The problem is that while a horse may be dropping in class today, it may also be suffering a loss of form as well. We make allowances for a runner that is in over its head and say that it should have an excuse for finishing poorly, but on the other hand, we do like to see that it tried and even competed at some point in the race.</p><p>There are several ways to approach the problem of whether or not today's class dropping runner will actually be able to compete at today's level. First of all, we have one of my favorite plays in horse racing. That's the one who has been there and done that, as they say. In other words, a horse that has raced at this track, distance, and level and won. For instance, if the race is a $10,000 open claimer at 6 furlongs for older horses and the horse in question has won such a race in the past year, then it has proven it can do what is being asked of it.</p><p>Another good play that I look for is a horse that raced on the lead or within a few lengths of the leader at the second call in its last race. Even if this horse eventually fell far behind, if it managed to show some competitiveness in the early stages of the race, it may do the same today, but since the horses in this race will be of a lower class, it may well hang on today and prevail over them.</p><p>The same is true of a horse that closed well in its last race. I'm not talking about just passing tired rivals, but actually gaining lengths on the leader in the final stages of the race. A strong late run may indicate a horse that will continue to try even when it is clearly beaten at a higher grade. This type of horse often runs closer to the leaders when dropped into a lower level and can win, sometimes at a good price.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Beware-of-Horse-Racing-Class-Drops-That-Are-Phonies&id=6838458" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Beware-of-Horse-Racing-Class-Drops-That-Are-Phonies&id=6838458</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-6420637199691383476?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-38593048879644453092012-01-27T11:16:00.000-05:002012-01-27T11:16:15.291-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>Most horse races are very difficult to handicap, despite what some wise guys may tell you. While it is true that almost every race has one horse that is bet down to low odds and is therefore the favorite, it doesn't mean that one is a sure winner. No matter which horse you look at in a race, you will usually find it is at about the right odds when you figure in the take out and other factors.</p><p>What that means is that the odds reflect the actual chances of a horse winning if you figure in the amount of money taken out of the pools for the track and the state. It's kind of depressing when you think about it because it makes it almost impossible to make a profit. Almost, that is. There are times when a horse will be bet down below its fair value odds and when that happens, another horse must be at profitable odds for the savvy handicapper.</p><p>These are the conditions that exist. In most races, little if any chance of profit and no clear cut great bets, but as I said, in most races, but not all races. There are still times when one horse will have an undeniable advantage over the other horses that stands out so clearly that it makes it an easy choice and an easy winner, if it runs true to form, that is.</p><p>I'm not talking about a horse with a speed advantage or more class than the other runners, though that helps. I'm talking about a horse that fits the race model while the rest do not. The race model is the running style that wins that particular kind and distance of race at that track. It is a style and the beaten lengths from the leader at the first and second calls that tells the tale.</p><p>In most races there will be several horses that fit that model and several others that come close. On top of that, there will be several running styles that could win, but once in a while, if you pay attention to the track model, you'll find a race where only one horse fits and fits so well it is a shoo-in to win. Don't believe it?</p><p>On January 19th, 2012 in the third race at Aqueduct, Unbridled Danger was just such a horse. The race was a mile and seventy yard event for 7500 claimers. The track model shows a strong speed bias, meaning that horses with early speed have a distinct advantage. Looking at the field of 8 horses, only one had an early speed running style with a full seven speed points, indicating a lot of early foot. All the other runners showed presser styles or late running styles.</p><p>Unbridled Danger went to the front as soon as the gate opened and never looked back, posting an easy victory at better than even odds while never being challenged on the lead. For those who watched the race, it was apparent that Unbridled Danger was far better than the rest, mostly because the others were all so far behind and couldn't make up the ground on a speed favoring track.</p><p>The track model showed that the average beaten lengths of winners was 1.7 lengths at the half mile call. Unbridled Danger was a full 4 lengths in front. For handicappers who take the time to familiarize themselves with the track model for each kind of race and then use it, once in a while, an easy winner comes along.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Easy-Winners-in-Horse-Races-Start-With-Handicapping-Models&id=6838465" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Easy-Winners-in-Horse-Races-Start-With-Handicapping-Models&id=6838465</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3859304887964445309?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-40800096144667078272012-01-24T15:42:00.002-05:002012-01-24T15:42:55.719-05:00The first time I went to a horse track I was a kid and things were a lot different than they are now, or so it seems at first glance. For one thing, there were no synthetic tracks back then. Horses raced on dirt and mud and slop and knowing which ones could handle the off track was a valuable piece of information. The public had their choice of the Telegraph or Form and most local newspapers carried information about horse racing, too.<br /><br />The television hadn't made a great impact on the public and finding good entertainment, live entertainment, was still a good way to enjoy an afternoon. Most small towns had a ball field where local teams played and there was usually a race track, too. <br /><br />While insiders often had more information than the general public, it was possible to make a profit at the track with your handicapping. One of the reasons for that was that the takeout was much lower back then. One of the problems with handicapping now is that you have to overcome a very large "Vig.".<br /><br />Some people think that because there is more information available to horse racing handicappers now that it is easier to handicap a race and to make a profit picking winners, but such is not the case. If everyone has access to the same information and tools, why would one person have an advantage?<br /><br />That is all that picking winners for profit has ever required, an advantage. It is a delicate balancing act between being able to determine who is likely to win and how much is a good price. As I have handicapped over the years, I've seen the margin for profit stretched to the limit. It is still possible, but not any easier than it ever was before to make money from horse racing handicapping.<br /><br />What you must do to be successful as a horse racing handicapper in the twenty first century is to practice and pay attention. Your mind and ability to work and stay focused are the most valuable tools and that hasn't changed since time began. While it is true that there is more information available, you just can't process it all and though a computer can crunch large figures, when it comes to day to day handicapping and making a profit on bets, no computer has ever done that except the one between your ears.<br /><br />So how do you practice and learn as a handicapper? First, don't try to play every kind of race or every track. Focus on tracks or a track that you can get good information about and become an expert on that track. Get to know about the trainers and their habits and the jockeys, too. Learn about biases and what race model works for each distance and surface.<br /><br />Handicap the races and create your own morning line. After you get the scratches, make adjustments to that morning line to reflect any changes. Then sit and watch the tote board odds and the pools and amounts and pay attention to how the money is distributed. Compare the odds on the horses and while you're at it, watch the horses themselves and make notes about their condition and the jockey's and trainer's body language. Are you starting to see how much work this is?<br /><br />It can be a lot of fun, because you are playing detective, but it is still work. That is why I suggest you focus on a track and one or two kinds of races, so you won't spread yourself too thin. Keep comparing the actual tote board odds with your morning line and look for good value bets. If you are using a system to handicap the horses, that will help to come up with your own accurate morning line. Your morning line is absolutely essential because it is how you determine if a bet is a good value and your job, as a horse racing handicapper, is to find good value bets.<br /><br />If you have placed low odds on a horse because it looked good on paper, but looks bad in the post parade, adjust your odds accordingly. Keep notes. I can't stress that enough, this is how you will learn and grow as a handicapper and the only way you will succeed. Finally, place small affordable bets at first as you grow as a handicapper. Consider yourself an apprentice and keep honing your skills. There will be time enough for big bets when you are truly an expert. <br /><br />There are a lot of people trying to make a living by betting on horse races and most of them are failing. As times get tougher, more will try. They'll try fancy software programs and fill their minds with so much information they will have to buy a bigger hat. They will continually buy new systems that promise to automatically pick winners and they will be disappointed by them. But very few will do what I have just suggested to you and therefore, if you take my advice, you will have a much better chance to succeed.<br /><br />There are no guarantees, but read over my suggestions again and you will see that they make more sense than all the modern gadgets and get rich quick systems that are for sale today. You and your mind and your experience are the tools that you must learn to use and succeed with, and that hasn't changed since the first horse race thousands of years ago.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4080009614466707827?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-77552421926133452752012-01-20T12:59:00.000-05:002012-01-20T12:59:21.679-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><br /><br /><p>So much attention is paid to the favorites in a horse race, the horse with the most money wagered on it, that we often forget the second favorite, the horse with the second highest total wagered on it. While second favorites may not be an automatic bet because just being the next in line does not mean it's a good bet, it is worth looking at these horses who live in the shadow of the chalk and to ask ourselves, "When is the second choice a good choice?"</p><p>First we start with our own method of handicapping a horse race, whatever that may be. For many horse players it is a matter of using a good racing program and looking at the major factors such as speed, class, form, connections, and pace. Most horse racing handicappers use some kind of system and some use more than one horse racing system.</p><p>Whatever method is used, however, the goal is usually the same--find the best horse and assign odds of probability, then find the next best horse, etc. After you've handicapped the race your next step should be to compare your opinions with the public (the odds on the tote board at post time) and the morning line.</p><p>The track handicapper who assigned the morning line odds will have chosen a favorite and second favorite and so will the bettors. Do you agree with them? Do you think the favorite is the best horse and do you also think the second favorite is second best? That's important as well as the odds you assign each horse. Finding mismatches between your favorite and second favorite can turn up some very good horse racing bets.</p><p>When the chalk in the race is bet way down the second favorite often becomes an attractive bet to the horse players and that may mean that both horses are over bet. Just because the second best horse is getting heavy action, it doesn't mean that it is worth it. It often means the chalk is so ridiculously low that bettors are desperate for another bet on a horse with a high probability of winning.</p><p>On the other hand, when the chalk is a luke warm favorite, it may mean that the bettors will be looking a little deeper in the list of contenders to find a good bet. Identifying false second favorites is often just as important as spotting a false favorite.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Handicapping-Second-Favorites,-the-Ugly-Step-Child-of-Horse-Racing&id=6815194" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Handicapping-Second-Favorites,-the-Ugly-Step-Child-of-Horse-Racing&id=6815194</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7755242192613345275?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-1981755816482256232012-01-20T12:57:00.000-05:002012-01-20T12:57:46.434-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>While there are many factors that can be used to evaluate the runners in a horse race, pace and class are probably the two hardest factors to quantify and use correctly. It's true that statistics can be used to handicap a horse race and a horse's average speed or average earnings per start are finite figures that can be used for comparisons, but when it comes to determining which runner is the best and second best and what the difference between them may actually be, there are no rules and nothing is to be taken for granted.</p><p>Just because one horse has a speed figure of 85 in its last race and the next fastest competitor has an 80, it doesn't mean that the top speed horse has a big advantage. The problem is that you must filter each factor through a net of factors to arrive at a true estimate of ability and projected outcome. For instance, if the 85 was earned against a weaker field that set a slow pace that benefited that horse, then the 85 may be a soft 85 while the horse that earned the 80 may have been in a very fast race against a contentious pace.</p><p>Therefore, when I look at pace I also look at class and average earnings per start. If two horses have an 85 for the average early pace of the race, the average to the first call, I look to see if one has a class advantage over the other. I give the edge to the classier horse, naturally. I look for pace matchups during the race and then use class and recency to help sort out which of the runners will expend the most energy to maintain the position in the race that it wishes to hold.</p><p>That means running style, of course, and that along with pace and class tells a lot about the final outcome of the race. I look at the race and picture it in my mind's eye then note where each runner will be at each call in the race. Class horses always get the edge in pace matchups.</p><p>The final outcome is what I am trying to determine, naturally, and placing a few runners in front at the finish line really narrows down the field. Once I am able to do that the next job is to set what I call fair value odds for the horse. In other words, what is a fair price to expect for this runner so that if I bet this same horse ten times under identical conditions, my bets would make a profit?</p><p>After all that the next step is to watch the tote board and see if there is any value to be found in the race. If neither of my top contenders is at the odds I require to make a profit, I sit the race out, but I do watch it, just to see how my pace handicapping shakes out in real life. If you want to make money betting on horses, you have to be able to evaluate the race and runners and to know what the true probability of each one winning may be. It is very difficult and risky, however, so always budget your money carefully and never risk money you cannot afford to lose.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Tips-for-Pace-Handicapping-and-Smart-Betting&id=6818605" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Tips-for-Pace-Handicapping-and-Smart-Betting&id=6818605</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-198175581648225623?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-89890000388943250872012-01-20T12:46:00.002-05:002012-01-20T12:46:34.647-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Some of us handicappers love statistics and often get caught up in the notion that if we just cram enough information into our heads, facts and figures, we'll somehow be able to make a profit handicapping horse races. After decades of handicapping horse races, I can truthfully say that it is one of the most difficult pursuits and never ceases to surprise me. One thing I have learned and also re-learned is that you have to actually know what happened in past races in order to evaluate the runners in today's race.</p><p>For instance, some of the best suppliers of horse racing past performances list the horses who ran the fastest first quarter or last quarter in their last races. So if you are trying to figure out the pace of a race and get lazy, you might only look at that column and not bother looking at each horses' last running line. That can be very risky and misleading.</p><p>If you think there will be a pace battle on the front end of the race which sets it up for a late running type, you might then look in that column to find the horse that closed the best in its last race. While it may have earned the highest pace figure in its last race, however, it doesn't mean that it is really the best closer in the race.</p><p>Here is what you may have missed. First of all, those figures do not distinguish the horses according to how long the race may have been. Secondly, they do not tell you what the pace scenario was in that last race that set up that last quarter figure. You're not getting the whole picture and picking winners and good horse racing bets is hard enough with all the facts, so just taking one tidbit of information and hanging your hopes on that is foolish.</p><p>What if the first half of that race was ridiculously slow? Where did the horse finish in that race. If it lagged behind the field by 20 lengths but then made a furious dash in the last quarter, it may still have finished out of the money, but that last figure will look impressive unless the viewer knows all the facts. After you see that the horse had the fastest time in the final quarter of its last race, go and dig a little deeper, look at the actual running lines for that race and find out how and why it earned such a high figure.</p><p>Only when you have all the facts can you make an informed decision and place fair value odds on each runner in the race.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Statistics-and-Figures-Arent-Enough-to-Handicap-a-Race&id=6818604" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Statistics-and-Figures-Arent-Enough-to-Handicap-a-Race&id=6818604</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8989000038894325087?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-25430218515129617672012-01-13T06:37:00.000-05:002012-01-13T06:37:03.048-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Speed points are often used to determine where a horse will run or try to position itself during the early stages of a race. Speed points were the brainchild of a handicapper named Quirin who developed a simple but very useful method for determining where horses run during the early part of a race. If you've been handicapping for a while you probably know about speed points and also that early speed is critical, even in long races.</p><p>The old saying, "pace makes the race," is often true. However, pace and speed and position are not all the same. Let's say you have a horse with the top speed point rating of 8. That means the horse is a front runner and will try very hard to got to the front and stay ahead of all the other horses. The horse doesn't want to see another horse ahead of it.</p><p>The only problem is that while this one wants to lead, its best time in a quarter mile, the first fraction of the race, is only 24 seconds. There are other horses in the race with early speed who can run the quarter in 23. Now what happens to that front running horse? It will often wear itself out trying to get to the top and then fade in the later stages of the race unless the jockey can slow it down, getting it to "settle," as it is called. Front runners with speed points of 8 rarely want to settle for less than the front, however.</p><p>Early speed battles soften up front runners and early speed types so that horses that come from off the pace can sometimes pass them in the stretch and win. So comparing speed points to actual pace figures is a good way to determine who the real contenders in the race may be. You will often find horses with high speed points who are unable to maintain the fast pace of the race that are over bet, opening up the possibility of finding another horse with more or a chance of winning at good odds.</p><p>Position and ability go hand in hand and one plays off the other. Wherever a horse wants to run in the race, it has to have the ability to actually run there and compete against the other runners in that part of the field in order to finish well. If you learn to break the field down according to where they want to run, based on speed points, then compare their actual pace figures, you will often find one horse in each position, front, middle, back, who appear to have an advantage.</p><p>You will often find the exacta from among these horses and sometimes even the trifecta.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Positions-Affect-the-Outcome-of-a-Race&id=6807918" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Positions-Affect-the-Outcome-of-a-Race&id=6807918</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2543021851512961767?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-37577659742074216932012-01-13T06:34:00.000-05:002012-01-13T06:34:07.564-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>There are so many factors involved in a horse race that it is virtually impossible to prepare for every contingency and then to accurately assess each factor and to successfully incorporate it into your betting system. That's why horse racing handicapping is such a challenging intellectual sport. Like many things in life, however, you don't have to be right all the time, just often enough to make a profit.</p><p>Too many horse players are looking for the perfect system when, in fact, no such method exists. Can you think of any other human endeavor that is perfect? Therefore, if you think in terms of probability and chance, you'll be on your way to successfully wagering and making a profit. Don't let that fool you, however, because it still won't be easy.</p><p>By far the most important factor in maiden races is speed. Raw speed wins more maiden races than any other single factor. That, however, once again, can be misleading because in maiden claiming races class can be a dominant factor if a horse is dropping into claiming races after having raced against better horses in the msw ranks. It is up to the astute prognosticator to judge whether the class drop indicates a superior animal.</p><p>In races over the classic distances breeding is the most important factor. When races go for a mile and a half or more the field of eligible winners begins to get winnowed down and only horses from a sire line that shows the ability to run that far should be considered. An excellent example of that is the great horse Shackleford.</p><p>With an amazing early foot he was capable of setting the fast fractions in the triple crown races of 2011, but was only able to win the shortest of those three races for three year olds. While people who bet on exotic races would be crazy to leave such a great competitor out of their combinations, putting him in the win spot for any but the shortest race was a waste of money.</p><p>So in the classic races, to evaluate the runners and come up with a list of contenders, start by eliminating horses based on inferior breeding. In maiden races, look for horses with speed, especially early speed. In all races, the cheaper the race, the more important average speed of the runner becomes. These are just two examples of the top two factors in horse racing handicapping; speed and class.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Top-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factors-For-Wagering-and-Winning&id=6805132" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Top-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factors-For-Wagering-and-Winning&id=6805132</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3757765974207421693?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-22303925077774022082012-01-13T06:30:00.000-05:002012-01-13T06:30:35.225-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>While most people think the key to making money betting on horse races is to pick winners or even to pick trifectas or exactas, the real key to handicapping is spotting a good bet. It is the same with any form of risking money for gain. Whether you invest in the stock market, commodities, precious metals, or any other market, it's the same. Risk must not exceed reward or return on investment.</p><p>Horse racing handicapping is the art of evaluating all the horses in a race and determining what the odds are that any one of them will win the race. Handicapping is not the art of finding a good bet, that's called speculation or gambling or even investing. We'll call it playing the horses and that makes anyone who tries to make a profit betting on horses a horse player.</p><p>How do you become a successful horse player? The truth is that it is one of the toughest ways to make money consistently due to the multitude of ever changing factors involved in evaluating the runners in each contest. No matter how you go about determining each horse's chance of success, however, it all boils down to odds. A horse at 1-1 means it will pay even money. For every $2 wager on that runner the bettor will get back $4.</p><p>The catch, of course, is how likely is it that the horse will really win? If the horse has an even chance, say 50-50 of winning, then the best the horse player can hope for is to break even on such bets. That certainly isn't very attractive considering the time and effort put into handicapping the race. So the goal of each horse player is to put in a nickel and get back a dime, or in other words, to make a profit by betting on a horse(s) whose post time odds are higher than its actual chances of winning.</p><p>If your horse has a 3-1 chance of winning and it is at 4-1, that's a profitable bet. So just how do you know what a horse's chances of winning may be? Most professional horse players use a systematic method of evaluating the runners and assigning odds to each horse. They then watch the tote board and when they spot a horse that is going off at odds that are higher than the expected probability of winning, such as in the example above, they place a wager.</p><p>Most wait until the last minute because the odds do change up to and a little after the race goes off. This is a form of arbitrage betting and has considerable risk because about half the money bet on the race doesn't get calculated in until after the betting is closed. A good horse player needs several skills. First of all he or she must be able to evaluate horses. Secondly he or she must be able to predict how the odds will wind up after the pools are closed. Finally, he or she must have patience and perseverance.</p><p>Most horse players who succeed work at it very hard and use a system that they have adapted over time. They either devise their own systems or buy a system and then through the process of trial and error they adapt it to suit their own style of betting and to accurately reflect the peculiarities of the race tracks they play.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Spot-a-Good-Horse-Racing-Bet&id=6805133" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Spot-a-Good-Horse-Racing-Bet&id=6805133</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2230392507777402208?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-74186180077805568012012-01-13T06:00:00.000-05:002012-01-13T06:00:33.584-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>How to handicap a horse race is one of the great puzzles in life. While many people know how to read a racing form or program and know the difference between speed figures and pace figures, very few actually know how to turn all that information into a good wager. It all boils down to knowing how important each factor is and then using that information to project how well each horse will run based on how it compares to the other runners. It is a projection into the future based on past performance.</p><p>The problem is that each race is a new and unique problem, but then again, some races do have similarities. One place to start is the age of the horses. Generally speaking, the younger and less experienced the horses the more likely they are to run without saving something in reserve. Therefore, in races for younger horses, especially maiden horses, look for speed to be the predominant factor.</p><p>In races for older horses it becomes a little more tricky, while speed is still a factor to be considered, you do have to start factoring in the class of the horses and also that hard to define ingredient, pace. When handicapping races for older horses a lot of smart handicappers start looking for pace scenarios that favor a particular runner. This, in turn, is based on the track model for that particular kind of race at that track. In other words, looking at the running styles of past winner, how did the majority of those runners race in order to win?</p><p>Finding a situation where one horse has the correct running style and also a form (recent running ability) advantage often points out a very strong contender. On the other hand, finding a pace scenario that goes against the grain but may actually work due to the match up of the horses sometimes produces nice long shot bets.</p><p>In order to know which factors are the most important, start by looking at the track model and the conditions of the race. The only way to know which horse is the most likely candidate for the win today is to know which one most closely matches that profile of a winner from the track model and past races of the season. You can keep records yourself or buy those statistics. Some suppliers of past performances now show a brief snapshot of what has been winning the races at each distance and surface.</p><p>A little research and knowledge of what a winner looks like will go a long way in figuring out fair value odds for each runner in the race.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Picking-the-Top-Factor-to-Handicap-Horse-Races&id=6800861" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Picking-the-Top-Factor-to-Handicap-Horse-Races&id=6800861</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7418618007780556801?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-81466836593080655442012-01-13T05:55:00.002-05:002012-01-13T05:55:59.296-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Many people wonder if it is possible to make a profit betting on just one successful jockey. While some riders do show a flat bet profit for their mounts in certain meets, it's been my experience that they are too inconsistent to risk backing all the time. When you wager on every horse a jockey rides what you are really doing is betting that he or she has chosen the right trainer to ride for and that the trainer will have a good meet.</p><p>If you look closely at any rider's statistics, you'll find that most of them, even the good ones that get a lot of mounts, only win for a handful of trainers and that most of their income comes from a few top trainers. The question then becomes, how well is the trainer prepared for this particular meet. You may look at how that rider did last year at the meet and say that since he rode a lot of winners last year he is bound to do the same this year. On the other hand, what if he is no longer riding for the conditioner who gave him those good horses last year?</p><p>Things change in the world of the backstretch including liaisons between successful riders and trainers. Rider s usually depend on an agent to spot good horses and to convince the trainer to let their man or woman ride them. The better the agent, the better the stock that the jockey will get. Sometimes riders and their agents have a falling out or decide to go their separate ways.</p><p>What I am trying to say is that if you're going to use the approach of picking a successful reins man and backing him for a meet, make sure that whatever made him successful last time around is still in place this time. Make sure he is riding for the same barns and that they have good stock. Pay attention to those stories you hear about people who are having personal problems in their lives.</p><p>While I'm not a big fan of soap operas and all the dirt you hear at the track about the various people who train and ride the horses, knowing that a trainer is distracted because he has a family problem may help you to avoid backing a string of losers.</p><p>As long as everything is the same as last year, barring bad racing luck, it is safe to assume a good rider will probably have a good meet. As long as you can get the right odds, then it is probably safe to try to flat bet that one for a small return on your money.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Systems-Based-on-Jockey-Statistics&id=6800859" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Systems-Based-on-Jockey-Statistics&id=6800859</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8146683659308065544?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-62655685638225542822012-01-04T06:31:00.000-05:002012-01-04T06:31:12.021-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>Whether you go to the horse races or play them from home on your computer or even drop into the local OTB parlor, your goal may be one of two things. You either want to have a thrill, want to make some money, or both. Nothing is more thrilling and profitable than picking a winner at long odds, in other words, a good long shot bet. You can do it just by chance or luck, but as you've probably learned in life, luck and chance are pretty unreliable and will let you down just when you need them the most.</p><p>You may get the occasional tip that puts you on a good winner, but those, too, are few and far between and my experience with tips has been that they are unreliable in the long run. What you really need is a dynamite, easy to use, quick, and reliable, horse racing system that nails long shots one after another. That is almost every horse player's dream. Unfortunately, as far as I know, no one has managed that yet, though the internet is full of ads for that very thing. There is hope, however.</p><p>Let's face it, horses that go off at very high odds do so for a reason. They are unlikely to win the race. The only way to catch the ones that actually do win once in a while is to identify some characteristic or property that they possess that the others don't have. That and the understanding that it's all based on probability and chance will help you to make sense of the business of picking horses at astronomical odds that make your heart pound, your palms sweaty, and several other bodily phenomena that we don't have to go into right now.</p><p>Obviously, all horses that have that characteristic or hidden key to good horse racing bets won't win. That's where probability comes into the picture. Set your sights for a horse racing system, a method for picking good bets on runners at high odds, that wins often enough to make a profit. If your average bet is on a runner at 25-1 you can't expect to win half the time, but on the other hand, if you can win even 10% of the time, you'll still make a profit from your wagers.</p><p>So a good long shot horse racing system will be one that spots a key or trend that points out a horse that has something going for it that isn't readily apparent to the crowd. Obviously, it won't be high-speed figures or fantastic breeding. You won't usually find them running for the top trainers, either, though the best jockeys do win on them now and then.</p><p>What you will usually find is a trainer who wins with long shots now and then and studying that conditioner is a start in the direction of finding that key to his or her methods that shows a horse is ready to fire at big odds. Another thing you will find is that he or she will have a jockey that almost always rides those horses for him or her and wins on them. That jockey may not have a great winning average, but if you check the stats, you'll often find that rider wins on high odds horses and shows a profit for that trainer.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Systems-for-Picking-Good-Long-Shot-Bets&id=6788943" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Systems-for-Picking-Good-Long-Shot-Bets&id=6788943</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-6265568563822554282?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-7084926721088388002011-12-15T13:07:00.002-05:002011-12-15T13:07:46.082-05:00<p>By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Multiple leg wagers are very popular at the horse races and may offer the best opportunity for handicappers to make a profit over the long run. One of the reason is that some race tracks offer at least one of those multiple leg bets per day with an extremely low takeout or even for a 0% takeout. If the whole pool is redistributed to the winners, that is a very attractive bet and helps to overcome the biggest obstacle to long term profits, namely, the vig, or vigorish.</p><p>Even if the actual takeout is the standard amount that the track charges for that type of bet, however, it may still be a better bet than win bets or other straight bets because the pool is only hit once. If you play win bets on four races you pay the takeout on all your winnings in those races. If the track's take is 19% then you pay that amount four times! That's 76%. On the other hand, if the takeout on the pick four is 20%, that's all you pay and you've covered four races.</p><p>On the other hand, you have to play four races and pick the winner in every one of them. That's the rub when it comes to multiple leg, or multi-race wagers. While you may be able to choose the winner of a few of the races included in the bet, you'll often find a few of the races are very difficult to handicap. The key is to cover as many possibilities as you have to cover without going broke.</p><p>As in all handicapping, the first horse you have to consider is the likely favorite. That will be your first horse in each leg of the bet unless you can find a very good reason for leaving it out. They win about a third of the time. That means that statistically they are going to win at least one or two of those races. If you feel very strongly that a horse is a false favorite and has little chance to win, then that makes that race very valuable because it will make the payoff for the wager a good one.</p><p>The more favorites that win in your multi-race bet, the lower the payoff, naturally. If you make a pick four bet and you only have the favorite in one or two of your bets, you'd better go back and handicap those races again to make sure you haven't missed something. If you still like the wager, then you may have a very good bet.</p><p>Spot plays, horses that have a particular reason or fit a particular profile or scenario often win races. Horses with the lone early speed in a race or big class drops or even horses that pick up the services of a better jockey, though you can see no reason for that winning rider's choice, often win. If you have spot plays that you can identify, you'll have to play them unless you feel strongly about one or two runners in the race.</p><p>That leads us to the subject of singles, or in other words, races in which you feel so strongly about one horse that it is the only one you play in your wager. That is a great scenario, if that runner wins because it helps you to limit your expenses while still covering the bet. Whether a pick three, pick four, or even a pick six, the more times you can single, the better your payoff, but be very careful because it makes your whole bet rest on the strength of one runner and as you probably already know, there are no guarantees in horse racing.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Win-Pick-Threes-and-Pick-Fours-and-Even-Pick-Sixes&id=6713338" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Win-Pick-Threes-and-Pick-Fours-and-Even-Pick-Sixes&id=6713338</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-708492672108838800?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-75353490037855645422011-12-15T13:00:00.000-05:002011-12-15T13:00:02.608-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>If you've ever placed a bet on a horse race or tried to make a profit from gambling, you've probably asked yourself this question,<em> "Can anybody really make money betting on horse races or gambling?"</em></p><p>One of the biggest problems with trying to verify the information and claims made by people who say they do or don't make a profit is that the people who really can make money gambling aren't about to broadcast it. That makes sense considering the fact that they have to pay taxes on that money and also that they would be hounded by other people who want them to teach them how to do it. So let's look at the issue and see if we can clear a few things up.</p><p>The IRS is very good at finding people who owe money and then determining how much they owe. They wouldn't waste their time with special forms for gambling winnings and losses unless they were trying to figure out what horse players and gamblers owe. The fact that the Internal Revenue Service invests time and money so that it can try to fairly tax gamblers is proof that someone is indeed making money betting on horse races.</p><p>Play trifectas and exotic bets long enough and you'll hit a large enough payoff so that you have to fill out an IRS form in order to collect your winnings. Then you'd better declare those winnings when you file your income taxes. You can also write off gambling losses if you keep accurate records, but the fact that these forms and procedures exist prove that some people do make money playing the ponies and gambling.</p><p>The next question is how do they make money? Naturally, a lot of those IRS forms involve an exotic bet that some lucky race track goer hit on a whim or a hunch. Every one who fills out an IRS form isn't a professional gambler, but some people are and the ones who do it regularly are using a system. It only makes sense when you think about it. In order to repeat the same results over and over, no matter what you're doing, you need a systematic method.</p><p>There are good horse racing systems and a bunch of duds, too. One thing is certain, as good as they are, it takes some effort to learn them properly, some skill to know when to use each system, and experience to know how to customize them so they really work for you at your favorite track. No one sells a horse racing system that works all the time or automatically produces massive profits with no effort. The best systems and wagering methods require the user to use his head and figure some things out for himself.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Systems-and-Wagering-Schemes&id=6712933" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Systems-and-Wagering-Schemes&id=6712933</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7535349003785564542?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-72756288100153123972011-12-15T12:57:00.002-05:002011-12-15T12:57:42.567-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>When you go to the horse races and make your bets your money is co-mingled with the money from all the other people who make a similar wager on the same race. If you look around at the crowd, you may wonder just how smart those people are. You'll see people who may not look all that smart and others who are drinking and probably not making great decisions. If these are the people you have to beat it may seem like you should be making a profit. But the fact remains that most people leave the race track a loser, and my guess is that most of the people who are reading this horse racing handicapping article are included in that group.</p><p>The problem isn't that you have to be smarter than all the people, you just have to be smarter than some of the people and most importantly, you have to be a smart bettor by avoiding a few simple mistakes that ruin most horse players. How many things do you do in life that one or two simple mistakes can ruin or sabotage? You probably have quite a list.</p><p>For instance, when you're driving down the road, just getting distracted and not paying attention for a few seconds can lead to disaster. You may pay attention for 59 minutes and 50 seconds of the hour, but get distracted for 10 seconds and you may get in a horrific accident, may even kill yourself or someone else. That may seem like an extreme example, but the fact of the matter is, it's the little mistakes we make in life that often lead to our failures.</p><p>At the race track, when you're betting on horse races, you may make the same mistakes a lot of other people make and not even realize it. Do you bet on the favorites? I'm not saying you should never bet on the favorite in the race, but if you do it a lot, you'll have a hard time making a profit. The reason is that there are some horses who should be the favorite and others that shouldn't be the favorite. On top of that, some favorites are at fair odds while many are bet down below the probability of winning.</p><p>If a horse has a one out of three chance of winning but pays less than $6 to win on a $2 bet, you can't make money in the long run. Yes you may cash tickets, but you'll be steadily losing your bankroll. That's what happens to most people. They pick winners, cash tickets and still wind up losing money. The reasons are the vigorish, or vig, the money the track takes out, and false favorites.</p><p>How do you avoid these two pitfalls? Start by betting fewer races. Each time you bet, win or lose the track takes a percentage of your money. If it costs you 17% each time you make a win bet and you bet ten times, guess what, your's spent 170%. On the other hand, bet 5 times but get the same results and you'll only pay 85%. How do you weed out the bad bets?</p><p>The number one way that I've found to weed out false favorites and bad bets is by never ever betting on a horse that hasn't proven it can do what is being asked of it today. That means any horse that hasn't won at the distance, class level, and on the same surface, is a lousy bet unless the odds are astronomically high and you have a strong feeling it will win based on breeding (the horse's, not yours) and the trainer and jockey's ability.</p><p>Eliminate false favorites and you'll wind up sitting out some races which takes care of the problem of betting too many races. It will also eliminate a lot of losing bets. It will also put you ahead of the crowd because every day, at race tracks all over the world, the crowd makes one of these false favorites their choice and that's why they almost always go home a loser.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Bet-Smarter-Than-the-Crowd-at-the-Horse-Races-and-Win-More&id=6712926" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Bet-Smarter-Than-the-Crowd-at-the-Horse-Races-and-Win-More&id=6712926</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7275628810015312397?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-81803489192501789152011-12-15T12:54:00.002-05:002011-12-15T12:54:59.856-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>When trying to find good bets in horse races we sometimes work so hard we might be considered obsessive. While doing your best is always a good thing and I don't want to discourage you from working hard at finding winning horses, a little caution should be used. For instance, sometimes, when we try too hard, analysis becomes paralysis, as the saying goes.</p><p>First of all, think of all the things that can happen in a horse race. There are so many factors that should be considered when you look at the runners, jockeys, trainers, and other people involved in a race. What other people re involved, you ask? How about the owner, who may be calling the shots or a racing steward who might write the race conditions to favor one particular horse?</p><p>With all the things that can go wrong in a race and all the split second decisions a rider needs to make, how can you possibly think you can cover all the contingencies? You can't. The best method for handicapping that I've found is to look at the top factors like speed, class, form, and connections (trainer-jockey combinations).</p><p>Then look at the race conditions and see if they favor one or more of the runners in the race. They usually do. Next, look at the racing model to see which running style usually wins this particular race. Now look over the horses to see who has an advantage based on the race model or conditions of a race. Make any adjustments accordingly and then set up a morning line for the horses.</p><p>Your morning line should be based on what you think each runner's real chances of winning may be. After you've done all that, stop handicapping and second guessing. You've done all you should do unless you get some reliable last minute advice. Look the runners over in the paddock and post parade to make sure they look fit and ready then make your bet if you get a horse that offers value according to your morning line.</p><p>That's all there is to it and should be all you do. Nothing more and certainly nothing less. If you have a particular horse you're following and it seems to be in the right spot, you should still handicap the race just to know what competition your horse is facing in today's race. Naturally, if you've been following that one, you know what it's ability is compared to the others and therefore, once again, should be able to determine the chances of that one winning and therefore, what fair odds may be.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?When-Handicapping-Horse-Races-Keep-It-Simple-for-Best-Results&id=6704284" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?When-Handicapping-Horse-Races-Keep-It-Simple-for-Best-Results&id=6704284</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8180348919250178915?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-72096122071111656172011-12-15T12:48:00.002-05:002011-12-15T12:48:25.248-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>While betting on horse races is a lot of fun for many people, it is still a risky proposition so very few people do it for more than recreation. Those people who actually make a profit from it all have their different handicapping methods or horse racing systems. One thing that they all have in common, however, if they do it consistently, is that they can spot a good bet when they see one.</p><p>While you may think that any bet that is a winner is a good one, a professional horse player might disagree with you. Would it surprise you to know that those pros actually pass up many winners--horses that they had picked as their top horses? They do and while it may seem crazy, remember, they're the ones making money so they must have a good reason.</p><p>Why do they pass up winners? They let those winners go without a bet and even sometimes bet against them because they're a lousy bet. In other words the wager is an unprofitable one. You see, horse players don't think in terms of one race, they think in terms of units and sets. A unit is a base amount wagered on a horse. Let's say your bankroll is $1,000 and you're a pro. You would divide that amount up into increments, say ten $100 amounts and then play $100 per day. You would be continually adjusting that $100 amount according to whether you won or lost each day.</p><p>On days when you did bet, you'd make wagers in increments of say, $10 (one unit). As you can see, they look at a bigger picture and treat it as a game with a long range strategy. Now here is how they find best bets. It is all based on probability and odds. They can accurately judge a runner's chances of winning and then compare that number to the actual odds offered on the horse. When the horse will pay more than the risk involved, they bet it if the margin is great enough.</p><p>The way they determine that is by thinking in terms of sets of bets. A set may be 20 bets or 100, whatever number the handicapper chooses. He has watched enough races and followed the results to know that if he bets on a certain horse in a particular scenario, it will win a certain percentage of times. For instance. let's say you follow the claiming races at your favorite track. You know that horses with the fastest time in their last race and dropping down one level in class typically win 30% of the time.</p><p>That means for every ten times you wager on one of those horses you will have three winners. Divide 3 into 10 and you now know what the minimum payoff is per dollar wagered in order for you to make a profit on such horses. As long as you stick to this simple system, your bets will make a profit and you'll be a winner over time.</p><p>So to find your own best bets, keep good records at your favorite track of one kind of races and look for factors such as a class edge, speed edge, etc., and then wait until the odds are right before betting. If the odds aren't right, even if you think the horse might win, it's a lousy bet, so don't bet it.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Find-Horse-Racing-Best-Bets-For-Yourself&id=6705490" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Find-Horse-Racing-Best-Bets-For-Yourself&id=6705490</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7209612207111165617?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-20309556830318896152011-12-15T12:43:00.002-05:002011-12-15T12:43:54.829-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>With the economy tanking and money getting harder to find, many people are scrambling looking for ways to make money and one of the possibilities that often presents itself is horse racing betting. Unfortunately for many people, that is a one way ticket to the poor house because betting on horse races and handicapping horse races is difficult and risky. However, if you have your heart set on trying to make money betting on horses, here are some tips so you can at least do it in a businesslike fashion.</p><p>First of all, think of it as a business that requires a skill that you'll have to develop. It doesn't happen over night and you can't depend on luck to make money at the races. That is just foolish. You may as well buy lottery tickets and try to get lucky and you know the chances of that. Since you will have to develop your skill handicapping horse races, that should be considered part of your education and like any education, it can be expensive.</p><p>While I don't advise you to bet large sums of money until you are a proficient handicapper, I do say that you'll have to make real money bets at some time because that is the only way you learn how to make decisions while under pressure. Start with small bets, however, and practice, practice, practice. Almost all the decisions you make will be about money, managing it, increasing it and protecting it. Your starting bankroll is your capital and also your tools.</p><p>When you wager on a race you will use your skill at evaluating bets and your tools to wager on those bets. Since I can't tell you how long the learning curve is for you, you'll just have to try to budget your money and hang in there as long as possible. One thing is certain, however, it takes money to make money playing the horses. You won't support yourself on $2 win bets. You'll have to invest considerable sums of money. If you have that much money to begin with, you may want to find a less risky and easier way to make a living.</p><p>Keep accurate records of your betting decisions so that you can learn how to make good judgments and keep accurate records of your money so that you can manage your money wisely, just like any other business. Make a plan and stick with it, but allow yourself some leeway to adjust it as time goes by and you become more experienced and knowledgeable about what you are doing.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Handicap-and-Play-Horse-Races-Like-a-Small-Business&id=6705486" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Handicap-and-Play-Horse-Races-Like-a-Small-Business&id=6705486</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2030955683031889615?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-51207702455620806952011-12-15T12:38:00.000-05:002011-12-15T12:38:15.434-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>I work very hard at picking winners and sometimes make a profit, but anyone who thinks that they are going to get rich handicapping horse races needs to have a talk with a good financial consultant or someone like my Uncle Mo. He isn't a horse player at all, in fact he is against gambling except for his investments in the stock market. He's a banker. Though he is against gambling and playing the horses, it is interesting to get the opinion of a man who is pretty sharp at making money, though you can rarely get him to spend a buck.</p><p>I was going over the Santa Anita past performances yesterday and Uncle Mo came in and asked what I was doing. I told him I was trying to evaluate the runners using my horse racing system. He rolled his eyes and gave a big sigh. Uncle Mo may be one of the greatest sighers of all time. He was all dressed up so I knew he going to one of those dinner parties for big shots, no doubt a black tie affair at the country club.</p><p>"You spend so much time working at picking winners. Why don't you just go out and get a real job?" he asked.</p><p>"This is a job," I replied. "I work and get paid."</p><p>His words got me thinking, though. How would you classify handicapping horse races for a profit? It is work, but it's also an investment. I think of myself as an entrepreneur. I've developed my own horse racing handicapping methods and though I don't always come out ahead, I love it and there is money in it.</p><p>Uncle Mo picked up the racing form I was reading and said, "Look at these headlines. It's the same every weekend. They tout horses on Saturday and make a lot of noise, but when the races are over Saturday's hoopla is just Sunday silence."</p><p>'I don't pay much attention to that," I told him. "I think for myself, but while we're on the subject, I've seen you reading some financial magazines. Don't you get a tip once in a while or study the market?"</p><p>"That's different," he said. "It's real."</p><p>"What could be more real than thousand pound thoroughbreds pounding down the stretch?" I asked. Obviously he and I were never going to agree about horse racing and investing.</p><p>"So where are you off to tonight?" I asked.</p><p>"I'm going to Drosselmyer," he said.</p><p>"Drosselmyer? Isn't that in New York?" I asked.</p><p>"No, Drosselmyer is right here in Kentucky. If you really read the news more often, you'd know that." He gave one last great sigh and left to go to his meeting.</p><p>As he left, I thought to myself,"He may be one of the greatest sighers in Kentucky."</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Is-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-a-Real-Job-or-Just-Foolish-Pleasure?&id=6704265" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Is-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-a-Real-Job-or-Just-Foolish-Pleasure?&id=6704265</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5120770245562080695?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-72065198938061627452011-12-15T12:34:00.002-05:002011-12-15T12:34:22.465-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Do you look at the weight that each horse carries in a race and figure that into your handicapping decisions? When people were more involved in pace handicapping and tried to figure out where each horse would finish the race in terms of lengths, it seemed that a lot of people would look at weight and figure that each pound equaled a certain number of lengths at the finish.</p><p>I've tried that approach, but never had much luck with it. In fact, trying to handicap pace and then place horses within a few feet of each other based on my figures seemed to be trying to put too fine a point on it, though I have to admit that they often do finish just inches apart. Does that mean we should disregard the load that a runner carries? How can we not assume that it must have some impact on the outcome of a race?</p><p>Obviously, any weight on the back of a horse will slow it down a little or a lot, depending upon how much it is carrying. The question is, how much and does it really matter? While we're looking at weight as a handicapping factor, however, let's think of what else we can learn from the amount a horse carries and the changes from race to race.</p><p>Ironically, as we talk about handicapping, it is weight itself that racing stewards use to try to make the race more competitive and therefore more difficult to handicap. Yet ask any horse player what the most important factor is in a race and he or she will rarely tell you it is the weight a horse carries on its back. As a stand alone factor, I'll admit it rarely can be used to pick winners, but it does matter.</p><p>Not only must it be considered as a hindrance to the horse, but also as a gauge of how well the horse fits the conditions of the race. Any horse getting a break on the weight probably fits the conditions and that is important. Sometimes race conditions are written for certain runners. Read the conditions at the top of the page and then look down at the horses. In non-winners races it may be that one barely qualifies because it has won a certain number of races.</p><p>When the conditions are based on earnings, it may also look like a certain horse just barely qualified because it almost made too much money. Looking for the horse that should be the chalk? Look at the odds and then the horse that seems to fit the conditions best. Then look at the weight each one is carrying. Weight is definitely important, not only because of what it does, but also because it helps you to find the best horse in the race. Now just get the right odds and you have a good bet. Maybe even the best bet of the day.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Weight-and-Conditions-As-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factors&id=6704263" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Weight-and-Conditions-As-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factors&id=6704263</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7206519893806162745?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-31793145999715216942011-12-15T12:33:00.000-05:002011-12-15T12:33:02.240-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Racing form is the actual physical shape a horse is in at the time of the race. There is thought to be an actual cycle that a runner goes through in which it gets into good physical shape and holds that form for a while before losing it as it gradually declines due to the stress of racing. Knowing about this cycle may help handicappers to know whether a horse is likely to improve, stay the same, or regress since its last race. That is the biggest question most of us try to answer when we handicap a race.</p><p>The reason that is so important is because nothing in life stays the same and that is true of horses. They're living creatures and therefore, they're subject to the same natural forces that we all face. The way to make money betting on horse races is to watch the odds and to find a horse that is better than it appears to the crowd.</p><p>In order to do that you must be able to accurately gauge how it will run today and how the others will run, too. Naturally, that isn't an exact science and you have to leave yourself some leeway. Overall, however, it is the surest way to make money from your wagers. You have to be better at predicting the future. The best way to do that is by looking at the past and to see patterns or trends.</p><p>Almost all human knowledge and thought is based on recognizing patterns. It is how we know people and also how we react while we are driving a car. If you have a skill or trade, it probably involves recognizing a pattern and then reacting to it. The form cycle is a pattern, though it may vary from horse to horse. Then there are the trainers and their patterns that must also be taken into account.</p><p>Some trainers try to defy the laws of nature by conditioning a horse so well, it won't need a few races to get into mid season form. Typically, many trainers try to use both conditioning and races to bring their horses into good form to win races. You have to know how your particular trainer prepares his or her charges before you make a final judgment. If you are evaluating a horse and know that the trainer will need a few more races to get it into shape, that's fine, you may dismiss the horse.</p><p>On the other hand, if you know that this conditioner may bring a horse to its first race of the season ready to fire, then you must not dismiss it. You'll have to evaluate it and compare the odds to what you think the probability of winning may be to make a decision about betting on it or against it.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Racing-Form-and-Conditioning-As-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factors&id=6704260" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Racing-Form-and-Conditioning-As-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factors&id=6704260</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3179314599971521694?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-10803218560074926802011-12-15T12:31:00.002-05:002011-12-15T12:31:28.771-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Many people spend countless hours handicapping horse races trying to figure out which runner will win the race. Since there are so many variables, it really is very difficult--almost impossible, in fact--to pick the winner. Most horse races are an enigma and the best a smart horse player can do is to find the best bet and play the percentages.</p><p>That's okay if you're a great handicapper and have the ability to pick winners and evaluate each runner like a pro, but what about the casual horse player who wants a good bet? The bad news is that the average or casual horse player or punter doesn't have much of a chance of long range profits betting on horses.</p><p>The good news, on the other hand, is that there are a few races, now and then, that do offer a really easy chance for a player to have an almost sure winner. Here is what you need to know and also how to know if a longshot is likely to win or if the favorite is the most likely bet.</p><p>Imagine that the money you're about to bet on that horse you've chosen is the only money you have in the world. You lose this and you're flat broke--without a penny. Now how certain must you be that the horse is going to win? If you answered very certain, you're right. How can you be sure that horse will win? There are no guarantees in horse racing but there are some basic truths and certain trends that seem to repeat over and over.</p><p>Every once in a while a race comes along that has all the ingredients you need to be almost certain that a horse will win. It is all based on what I call the acid test, or "been there--done that." In other words, you want a runner that has won at the same class level or higher. If it is racing at the $20,000 claiming level, that is where you want to see it today. It must have won in a $20,000 race and it cannot be a non-winners race. In other words, if it just won a non-winners of 3 races and is now in a non-winners of 4, it is not at the same class level: It's moving up.</p><p>An open $20,000 claiming race, on the other hand, is fine. It must also have the fastest average speed rating in the last three races as well as the fastest speed rating in its last race compared to all the other horses in the race. Finally, it must be racing on the same surface and the same distance as its last winning effort and that effort must have been no more than 30 days ago.</p><p>While there are no guarantees in horse racing, these horses are the most likely winners. If you see a horse that is made the favorite in a race and it has not won on the surface, at the distance and class level, it may be considered a false favorite if there is another horse in the race that has done all three. Just remember, horse racing betting is risky betting so you should never wager more than you can afford to lose.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Finding-Easy-Winners-at-the-Horse-Races&id=6700778" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Finding-Easy-Winners-at-the-Horse-Races&id=6700778</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1080321856007492680?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-10218106429785387142011-12-15T12:27:00.002-05:002011-12-15T12:27:45.109-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Speed points, as you may know, were originally conceived by Dr. William Quirin and introduced to the world in 1979. They are a useful tool to measure the race to the first call. The higher the speed points given to a runner, the more early speed that one has, sort of. Therefore, if you're looking for the early speed in a race, you need only check the speed points that are included in many past performances--at least that's the theory.</p><p>While I wouldn't dispute the usefulness of speed points, I'd like to take them and their utilization one step farther. Combining them with speed makes them more accurate and even more accurate. You see, the trouble with using them as they stand without combining them with a horse's real. ability, that it the speed figure it is capable of, is only looking at part of the handicapping picture.</p><p>Dr. Quirin meant them to be used to tell where a horse likes to run in the early stages of a race. Horses like people and most living creatures, have personalities and traits. They often show this by their running styles. Some have the ability or predilection to go faster than the others at the beginning of a race. As long as the runner has that ability, that's fine, but if he or she doesn't then it will wear itself out in the early stages of a race just to get to the front.</p><p>Then again, there are races that favor early runners and there are races that favor those that close from off the pace. In those races where closers have the advantage, the speed points may have little value. In races where early speed is king, however, they are a useful tool as long as you remember one thing, they indicate running style, but not always ability.</p><p>To determine if a horse with the speed point advantage really does have the early speed in the race, look at the class of the horses tit raced against and also the final speed figures in its last races. If it is moving up in class, you may have to adjust those speed points down. For instance, if a runner was in $5,000 claiming races and had 5 speed points, but is moving up to a $10,000 claiming race, you might want to adjust that 5 down to a 3, particularly if there are other early speedsters who will contest the early pace.</p><p>If it has been racing against easier company, that 5 point rating was earned against inferior stock compared to today's field. When the runner encounters the classier horses battling for the lead, it will probably still do its best to get to the front, but the toll on its energy will also probably make it fade in the later stages of the race, unless the jockey can throttle it back early saving something for the stretch drive.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Use-Speed-Points-and-Figures-in-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=6700782" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Use-Speed-Points-and-Figures-in-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=6700782</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1021810642978538714?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-6558792576978630122011-12-09T11:21:00.003-05:002011-12-09T11:22:26.711-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>There are people who spend their lives learning how to handicap horse races so they can pick winners and make a profit betting on horse races. While the ultimate goal is to make a profit, it all starts with being able to determine which horse is most likely to win. If that sounds a bit simplistic, you're right, it is simple, but on the other hand, very difficult to do.</p><p>Looking at a horse race using past performances, you may make a few assumptions, such as that the speed figures are fairly accurate and speed wins most races. The problem, of course, is that they are past performances and only show what has happened in the past. The race that you are concerned with is in the future. So an accurate description of what a handicapper does would be to predict the future based on the past.</p><p>You may get involved in many handicapping angles if you want to become a serious professional horse player. For the sake of brevity and sanity, however, let's stick with just a few of the simpler methods of picking winners. Since races are won by the fastest horse, let's start with that method. The past performances list speed figures so what you may do is to pick the horse that had the fastest speed figure in its last race.</p><p>Another popular horse picking angle is to bet on the people instead of the runners. I know that sounds strange at first, but when you think about it, horses do not set up races and run them on their own. People are the reason the horses run. The most important people in any race are the trainer and jockey.</p><p>You'll find that there are some jockeys (or drivers in the case of harness races) that win a lot more than others. For instance, at some tracks there may be one or more riders who win at a rate of over 20%. At the same track you'll find riders with a win average in the single digits. Let's say you are comparing two horses and one jockey has a win average of 7% while another has a win average of 21%. That means that the second rider wins three times as many races as the first rider. Play that top jockey to win all day and you'll probably cash at least once.</p><p>The same is true of trainers, the ones who condition the horses. You will find top trainers and then you'll find the rest. Play the top trainer at any track and you'll have your share of winners. Now before you quit your daytime job to become a horse player, here's the bad news. Being a professional horse player and making a living at it is a lot more difficult than just playing the horse with the fastest speed figure or top jockey. It is a risky business and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose. Unless, of course, you're willing to spend many years learning how to pick good bets. For that you'll need a good system and lots of hard work.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br /><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Pick-Winners-in-Horse-Races&id=6694964" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Pick-Winners-in-Horse-Races&id=6694964</a><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-655879257697863012?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-25539435117498275372011-12-09T11:00:00.002-05:002011-12-09T11:00:34.134-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>If you're like most people who are betting on horse races and trying to make a profit, you probably know about the most important factors. I'm talking about class, speed, form, connections. You could also throw pace and trip handicapping in there, though they are a little harder to quantify and lead to using more judgment and intuition and less of a mathematical approach.</p><p>The biggest challenge most handicappers face -- other than money management (and we can save that topic for other horse racing articles) -- is how much weight to give each factor. In other words, how important is class compared to form or speed? It seems in some races that you could just bet on the horse with the fastest time in its last race and you'd have the winner.</p><p>There are days when handicapping does seem that simple. if you start to rely on that method, however, you'll soon find that it stops working and class horses are coming in, or perhaps horses that are part of a trainer angle. At other times it will seem that one horse lays over the field, but then an insane pace battle will do it in and another horse who appears much less talented will win.</p><p>Striking the ideal balance is tough and it is also what being a horse player is all about. I call it knowing when to zig and when to zag, because you can't use just one method and you have to know, or sense, when to use speed more than form or class or connections.</p><p>With all that having been placed on the table, however, let's get back to basics and start with what I consider a balanced approach. By balanced I mean using the right factors and giving them the correct weight. In maiden claiming races its all about speed. In allowance NW races it is class and speed combined. It is also seasoning and conditioning, so a horse may look great coming off a win in a NW-2 race but if it is going against some horses who have been campaigning in NW-3 races and they have been competitive, the jump in class will usually be too much for it.</p><p>These types of horses are usually false favorites and using speed and class will usually get you a winner. By class, I mean a horse that has had a few races at the NW-3 level and is developing the skill and stamina to compete at that level, in other words -- working its way up through its conditions.</p><p>In stakes races and handicaps look at the quality of the competition a runner has faced and how it has fared to determine class. That's the main consideration along with earnings per start in open company.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Balanced-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Methods&id=6694544" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Balanced-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Methods&id=6694544</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2553943511749827537?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-45931078121333771452011-12-09T10:56:00.002-05:002011-12-09T10:56:52.484-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>There is a lot of information in the racing forms and past performances that are sold to handicappers. One good horse racing angle is to see which horses have been claimed and then to follow them as the new trainer tries to get a win. That, however, is not the only angle that works when there is a change of ownership or trainer.</p><p>Horses don't just change hands when they are claimed. A lot of people don't pay much attention to who owns a horse or a trainer change in the past performances, but it is significant and should be followed. The reason that the owner makes such a difference is that they pay the bills and may or may not call the shots when it comes to which races a horse is entered in and other important moves.</p><p>While some owners are hands-off types, some are involved in decision making regarding which races to enter and how to train. Then there are the type that like to micro-manage, though most trainers won't put up with them. Some trainers are fortunate enough to get a real savvy owner who is helpful in making decisions and can help to plan a good campaign for a horse.</p><p>What this all means to you is that if you're trying to make money betting on horse races, once you figure out how a particular trainer-owner relationship works, then horses changing hands can be a good bet at certain times. While following trainer patterns is one way to make money handicapping horse races, the same trainer may use different moves and angles and it may seem confusing at first. But for the horse player, figuring out which owner is responsible for each move is very helpful.</p><p>For instance, some owners may be content to slowly bring a new horse up to a win, while another owner may want almost instant results. You see that the trainer has a new acquisition that is running today. By knowing which owner the horse belongs to, you will also have a clue as to whether they will just give the horse a race to figure it out and condition it, or if they will immediately go for the win.</p><p>The same is true of first time starters -- one of the biggest questions in horse racing. If a trainer sometimes wins with first time starters, check to see which owner that trainer wins for first time out. You will often find that some owners don't want to push a good youngster too hard and will ask the trainer to take his or her time, while others want to try to win first time out. The new barn or fist time starter angle is a good way to cash good win tickets, if you take the time to check the owner-trainer patterns.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Angle---New-Barn&id=6694541" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Angle---New-Barn&id=6694541</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4593107812133377145?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-92007301434369931312011-12-09T10:54:00.000-05:002011-12-09T10:54:14.614-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Finding a good horse racing system that will make a profit is one of the dreams shared by a lot of handicappers. Unfortunately, the truth is that if anyone has such a method of picking winners, it is a well kept secret. There are plenty of advertisements for horse racing systems that "...really do make money," but they never pan out and a lot of people have been disappointed.</p><p>When it comes to betting on horses--like any endeavor where money is involved--you have to beware of scams and frauds. The best way to avoid an unpleasant experience is to ask yourself the following question, "Does this sound too good to be true?" If anyone really has a money making system, they aren't about to sell it to the public--they'll just use it themselves.</p><p>That being said, there are people who make money every day using horse racing systems. Some of them developed their own methods and then started using them. Others bought them from reputable sellers and then learned how to use them intelligently. One secret to making money betting on horses is to learn several of these methods and then to use them at the right times. The reason is one of the other secrets--nothing works all the time, but almost everything works some of the time.</p><p>When I use my systems to handicap the horse races I also use my handicapping skill and intuition. I don't use the same systems all the time or in all situations. I don't make a profit all the time. I have bad days and good days, bad weeks and good weeks.</p><p>I also combine methods and improvise and adjust them according to track conditions and biases and even the weather. Knowing how and when to alter these things requires experience and patience. I may use my workout system to spot a horse that had a bad race, but will now score and combine that horse with another that regular factor handicapping tells me is a contender to play an exacta.</p><p>The secret is to know when to play a particular system, when to use regular handicapping methods, and when to skip a race. Intuition and experience are the tools used to make that decision and no one can sell those two important assets to you. You have to earn them on your own. The final secret is that any method of picking winners is only as good as the person who is using it and that means you must practice making decisions.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-System-Secrets-Revealed&id=6683660" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-System-Secrets-Revealed&id=6683660</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-9200730143436993131?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-58301022716547779802011-12-09T10:45:00.002-05:002011-12-09T10:45:33.397-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Many people ask me how I came to be a horse player and how I learned to handicap horse races. Betting on horse races is a risky business and the life of a horse player is filled with ups and downs. It is often a financial and emotional roller coaster--not for the weak-hearted. Based on my family history and my own personality, there was no other life that suited me, but I can't say I'd wish it on anyone else, even though I've enjoyed it.</p><p>I've written over 1,000 horse racing articles, a book filled with my best articles, and a few horse racing stories, and several popular horse racing systems. You can buy my book or any of the many fine books that have been written by some of the great handicapping writers and you may let them teach you some very valuable handicapping lessons and tips.</p><p>In order to be a true horse player, however, you'll have to go one step farther. Though it is just one step, it covers a lot of ground, because it will include a lot of time and some tough experiences, too. I'm talking about doing as opposed to studying. You can study for years, but until you do it, you won't know how to do it or be able to do it. The same is true of many other things in life. For instance, you can read a book that includes lessons on swimming.</p><p>You can stand on shore and watch an instructor giving lessons on swimming, as well, but until you get in the water and actually try it, you'll never know how. Part of the reason for that is that we as humans need confidence. Without the confidence gained from the actual experience, we are unable to do the simplest of things--even walking.</p><p>Many years ago I was struggling and a wise old man said something simple, yet profound, that opened my eyes and helped me to become a better handicapper and it has also helped in other areas of my life.</p><p>He said, "Bill, do you know the difference between learning and being taught?"</p><p>Until that moment I hadn't really given it much thought and accepted that they were pretty much the same thing. He opened my eyes when he said, "When you learn something you go out and get the information for yourself and you earn it. It becomes yours and you value it. But when someone teaches you something it is a gift and it didn't cost you anything. You may appreciate it, but you won't value it as much as what you went on and learned on your own."</p><p>That is so true and that is why you must let good handicappers teach you through books and horse racing systems, but then you must go out and use the knowledge and learn for yourself how to use them in the real world and in real life situations. So go ahead and read the books and systems, but know ahead of time that reading them is not a complete education. You will have to go to the races and practice and grow as a horse player.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Learn-How-to-Handicap-Horse-Races&id=6683653" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Learn-How-to-Handicap-Horse-Races&id=6683653</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5830102271654777980?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-82855176257715769252011-12-09T10:42:00.002-05:002011-12-09T10:42:32.067-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Many people have asked me, "What is the most important factor in horse racing?" Some wonder if it is speed, class, pace, form, or even the connections of the horse (owner, trainer, jockey). While all these things must be considered when handicapping a race, the most important factor, and perhaps the hardest to measure, is simply the unknown.</p><p>The unknown comes in several flavors. First of all, there are those things you don't know about the horse and its training, condition, etc. If there are 8 horses in a race, that means there are 8 horses that may be sick, or may have just gotten over a physical problem that hindered them in there last performances.</p><p>There may also be things you don't know about handicapping a horse race. Let's face it, no matter how long you've been picking winners, there is always some new horse racing angle or system coming along. None of us can know anything about something as complicated and challenging as handicapping a horse race.</p><p>The next variety of the unknown is also often referred to as, <em>racing luck.</em> While it is called racing luck because it relates to those things that happen during a race, you might just as well call it fate or kismet. It is what happens while the race is run and may be as mundane as a horse getting blocked and boxed in on the rail or as wild and unexpected as some idiot running out onto the track.</p><p>There have been strange occurrences during races. Horses have been known to jump over the fence because they shied at a shadow and at other times, wild animals have run onto the track and hindered the runners. Wild birds, including geese, have been known to change the final results of a horse race.</p><p>The upshot of what I call, "The Big U," is that you can only go so far in picking winners and the rest is left to fate. If you handicap and do your best, but still go home a loser, don't beat up on yourself. Once you've calmed down and rested, go over your notes and think about what happened. If there are any areas you can improve upon, by all means, learn from your mistakes or experiences and move on. Otherwise, write it all off to the big U and do your best the next time. There's always tomorrow.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Unknown-Is-The-Most-Important-Factor-In-Horse-Racing&id=6683649" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Unknown-Is-The-Most-Important-Factor-In-Horse-Racing&id=6683649</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8285517625771576925?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-15189573145840126312011-12-09T10:38:00.000-05:002011-12-09T10:38:28.146-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>There are a lot of ways to try to make a profit betting on horse races and quite a few of them are called horse racing systems. It is true that you can learn how to handicap and then evaluate the horses and wager on them using your own style and method, but even at that, you will have developed a system, no matter what you call it.</p><p>There's just no getting away from the fact that you need a method to look at the runners and figure out which ones are good bets and which ones are over bet by the crowd. Of course, that brings up an interesting point that we shouldn't overlook. When you look at the pools and see how much money is wagered on a horse, you never know if a lot of people put that money in or if just one or a few bettors wagered all that money on a horse.</p><p>It may be that one plunger decided to put a large bet down and plunked his or her money down on a horse and now you're scratching your head trying to figure out why the odds are so low on a horse that seems to be a stinker. While you must pay attention to the odds, it is best to remember that you won't always know why a certain horse has been backed the way it has and you are better off handicapping based on what you see and not what some other person may think he or she sees.</p><p>Getting back to systems, the above example of irrational betting makes using the odds as a handicapping tool seem a little too unreliable most of the time. Therefore, tote board systems have their uses but may not be the best choice.</p><p>A handicapping system that evaluates the runners would appear to be more reliable, although they are limited by what you can learn from the past performances. We all know that they are usually pretty accurate but there are no guarantees. Finally, there are systems that follow a particular horse based on something such as trainer moves or workouts. They try to identify patterns and then to cash in when it appears the trainer is ready to make a move. While these methods are often very profitable, they can be long and drawn out and very tedious.</p><p>The best systems that I have found rely on a few of these factors and combine them in a sophisticated but easy to follow method. There is no reason why you can't take a little something from each method and combine the elements into one very good handicapping method.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Which-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-System-Is-The-Best?&id=6689632" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Which-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-System-Is-The-Best?&id=6689632</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1518957314584012631?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-45219017529632807672011-12-09T10:36:00.002-05:002011-12-09T10:36:50.937-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Trying to make a profit playing the races is a never ending battle of evaluation and judgment. First you have to look at the race and decide if it is playable, of course that means handicapping the horses. For many horse players it also means looking at trainer angles and the riders. Some players will back a jockey or trainer while others look for spot plays.</p><p>The real pros look for the right odds, but before they can tell you which horse to bet on, they have to know how good the horse is, so once again -- it's back to handicapping. It seems there is no way around the fact that if you're going to bet on horses, you have to handicap. But that doesn't mean you have to make all your decisions based on how good a horse may be, because you may be handicapping the jockey and trainer.</p><p>This brings up an interesting point. Do you bet based on jockey, trainer, angles, a morning line you assign based on the merits of the horses, or some kind of combination of these horse racing factors?</p><p>Do you wonder what real pros do to find good bets and to make money betting on horses? First of all, let's clarify what we mean by a pro. I'm talking about a man or woman who makes a profit on a consistent basis wagering on horse races. These people usually handle large sums of money and expect to make a small percentage profit, say in the 10% range.</p><p>I can tell you one thing that many of these people have in common and if you'd like to join their elite ranks, you'll have to start doing this -- if you haven't already started, that is. I am talking about finding good bets based on probability and odds; what I call fair value bets.</p><p>Whether horse player, sports bettor, poker player, or any other kind of gambler, one thing that the pros all have in common is that they know the risk and reward and always take the greatest reward for the least risk. In poker the pros know pot odds and the probabilities based on the cards they are holding. In horse racing the pros know the likelihood of a horse winning and the payoff based on the odds compared to the risk. That is what you must know whether you bet trainer angles, follow jockeys, or use some other handicapping system.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Are-You-Handicapping-Horse-Races,-Jockeys,-Trainers,-or-the-Crowd?&id=6689637" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Are-You-Handicapping-Horse-Races,-Jockeys,-Trainers,-or-the-Crowd?&id=6689637</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4521901752963280767?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-87760558289424107782011-11-25T16:21:00.002-05:002011-11-25T16:21:28.255-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>Many people think the secret to successful horse racing handicapping is picking winners. They reason that the better you are at figuring out which runner will win, the more money you will make betting on horses. While that is partially true, there are some points that need to be considered if you're serious about being a professional horse player.</p><p>First of all, picking winners can mean different things to different people. To me, a winner is a bet that makes a profit over the long run. If I make 100 bets in a month, and make a profit from those bets, then I figure I've been picking winners. I may have 25 winners in that group or I may have 10. Another horse player may play the same 100 races and pick 30 winners, but if he or she doesn't make a profit, then I have done better.</p><p>The whole idea is to make money from the horse races and your bets. Those wagers that consistently show a positive ROI (return on investment) are the ones that are really the best bets. So when I evaluate the runners in a race I am trying to estimate each one's chances of winning. Next, I look at the morning line to see just how close the track handicapper and I are on our evaluation.</p><p>The morning line notwithstanding, it isn't until a minute to post that I know the real story as to which of the horses is the best bet. It will be the one with a better chance of winning than the crowd's odds indicate. For instance, if they bet a runner down to 3-1, it will pay $6 for every $2 wager. If I estimate its chances of winning at 50% however, it will pay $6 and win half the time, so I only have to invest $4 for every $6 I collect. That is a 50% profit.</p><p>The trick, of course, is in finding these little gems and they are few and far between. While you may see track handicappers and touts advertising best bets, what they really mean is horses that are most likely to win. Sometimes that is the same thing, but other times, a horse may only be likely to win one out of ten races, but still be a profitable wager.</p><p>Learn to think in terms of profit as the determining factor in the quality of your bets and you'll make more money betting on horse races, though you may actually cash fewer winning tickets.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Picking-Winners-and-Best-Bets-Are-Two-Different-Things-at-the-Horse-Races&id=6688360" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Picking-Winners-and-Best-Bets-Are-Two-Different-Things-at-the-Horse-Races&id=6688360</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8776055828942410778?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-83019248707453033102011-11-25T16:20:00.000-05:002011-11-25T16:20:09.480-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Is there a secret to making money betting on horses? Can it all be reduced down to a single simple number? There is a number, often referred to as, "<em>The Golden Mean</em>," that is found throughout nature and geometry. It has been studied for thousands of years and is thought by some to be the key to all things in the universe, if used properly, that is.</p><p>The number has also been referred to as the <em>Fibonacci Ratio</em> or <em>Golden Ratio</em>. The number is 1.61803398874989. As a ratio it is used as a key to find the natural amount of increase or proportion between two numbers and that is why horse racing handicappers who use numbers and statistics to evaluate the runners in a race often look for that ratio between numbers.</p><p>Since the <em>golden ratio</em> is an approximate number, people who seek it often shorten it to 1.618 or even just 1.6. It has been found in nature in the ratio of branches and stems on plants and in the human body in the circulatory system, in fact, it pops up everywhere.</p><p>The reasoning behind its attractiveness is that if nature and the universe use it so frequently as a model for systems that work very well, it must be a powerful number with special properties. Since horses are animals and part of the natural world, it is assumed by some that they improve according to the golden ratio and often lose their form accordingly.</p><p>The equation for the golden mean is A+B is to A as A is to B.</p><p>While you may find that relationship in many places, finding it in the ratio of improvement in workouts or races may indicate a horse that is a perfect fit to run the race of its life, or it may simply mean that you may expect it to improve by that much again. Assuming it doesn't bounce of course, but then again, would a horse that is improving according to the perfect proportion bounce?</p><p>When using the number, don't use the total speed figure or time for the race, but rather, use the difference in actual time to the par (which will function as a constant in this case) and compare the improvement or decline between races after subtracting the par time.</p><p>When you find that horse that is improving according to the golden proportion it may be reasonable to assume that it will continue to do so until it reaches its limit.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Horse-Racing-Secret-Number-That-May-Be-the-Key-to-Profit&id=6688359" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Horse-Racing-Secret-Number-That-May-Be-the-Key-to-Profit&id=6688359</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8301924870745303310?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-8771165576438003872011-11-25T15:47:00.002-05:002011-11-25T15:47:58.233-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>It's hard to put your finger on it, but for some reason, racing on the weekend, and on Saturday in particular, is different than other days of the week. Purses are part of the reason that more favorites seem to win and the races appear more predictable. Do racing secretaries really put together races for beginners and weekend warriors?</p><p>Everybody knows that race tracks struggle to survive and theirs is a business, like any other business--so it's all about the numbers. The bottom line number is handle. The more money they handle, the more they make. Another important number is attendance. The more people who attend, the more drinks, food, programs, etc., that they sell.</p><p>On the weekend the scramble is on for your entertainment dollar. Casinos have give-always. Theaters advertise and try to draw you in to see the latest movie. What can race tracks do to compete? They must offer a product that will bring the horse player in and that is good for horse racing and people who bet on horse races. On most Saturdays, the one day when the casual race goer usually goes to the track or OTB, they offer the best races possible; the stakes races.</p><p>Why are stakes races easier to handicap? Why are they more predictable? The reason is that the horses are in better overall condition and because they are better quality stock, they hold their form and have fewer physical problems. In a cheap claiming race, the question often isn't which horse is the fastest, it is which one is the healthiest?</p><p>Another question in a cheap race is whether or not they'll stiff the favorite in order to make a killing at the windows. That isn't a problem in the stakes races with larger purses because those horses can earn their owners and trainers plenty of money by winning or finishing well.</p><p>The upshot of all of this is that <strong>you get the best races for betting on a Saturday</strong> if you're a casual handicapper. On other days, it takes considerable skill to separate the phonies and pretenders. There is money to be made on any day, but the skill it takes increases as the purses go down.</p><p>Therefore, if you are just starting out as a handicapper, you're probably well advised to confine your efforts to Saturday until you master the game. Look over the programs and find stakes races for older horses and play the contenders in those races that offer a good price.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Saturdays-Races&id=6688367" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Saturdays-Races&id=6688367</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-877116557643800387?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-18434955965550273802011-11-25T15:45:00.000-05:002011-11-25T15:45:05.752-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Harness racing handicapping, especially on half mile or five eighths mile tracks, is all about the trip. Getting cover behind another horse or getting over to the rail for a ground saving trip means a lot and often determines the final result in a harness race.</p><p>Handicappers know this and will try to figure out how the race will start and who will get into the garden spot and sweet spots that make or break a good horse. That being said, your horse's style of running and the horses to its left are the most important considerations when trying to evaluate the pace and trip.</p><p>Admittedly you have to consider every horse in the race, but the ones to the left pose the biggest strategic challenges. For instance, let's say you're handicapping a race on a half mile track and you are evaluating the horse in the 3 post. It seems to have some early speed and a little late kick. It fits the class of the race and has a competent pilot.</p><p>Looking at the 1 we find a horse with no gate speed, so it shouldn't be an early factor. It does have a good late kick, however, so we'll have to consider it for the late stages of the race. The real question is the 2 and how it will affect the 3. The 2 is the early speed in the race and it looks like it will probably get the lead. So how will that affect the 3?</p><p>Knowing that the 3 has early speed, it will either contest the lead with the 2 and they may leap frog with one or the other getting the lead. If the track has a passing lane in the stretch that may be good ness if the 3 has cover or bad news if it doesn't and the 2 settles in behind it for the perfect trip. This makes a bet on the 3 risky but not unreasonable, depending upon the odds of course.</p><p>If the 1 also had early speed, the scenario could be much worse for the 3 and extreme caution should be taken when considering a bet on that one. The one 1 and 2 have the advantage to the rail. If the 3 mixes it up early and doesn't manage to get a sweet spot, it risks using too much energy. Because there are two other horses, both the 1 and 2 that could figure in the picture, the 3 could spend energy beating one of them early only to be passed by the other late.</p><p>In the case of two horses to the left with early speed, it is sometimes better for the 3 to have more late speed and to come late rather than get mixed up in a three way speed battle on top. Depending upon the drivers and speed figures, I would consider the second scenario a no-go unless the odds were very generous.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/harness_racing_system.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/harness_racing_system.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Be sure to download the FREE harness racing system. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Harness-Racing-Tip---Look-Left-When-Trip-Handicapping&id=6683767" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Harness-Racing-Tip---Look-Left-When-Trip-Handicapping&id=6683767</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1843495596555027380?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-55682800014624172972011-11-25T15:42:00.002-05:002011-11-25T15:42:42.944-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>For years the big deal in horse racing handicapping was pace capping. Then along came speed and everybody was talking figs and exploiting that angle until everybody and his barber knew about figure handicapping and it was no longer profitable. Then came bloodlines and breeding and sire handicapping. Armed with a list of turf sires and two year old sires a handicapper could simply pick un-raced or lightly raced horses from the right sires and profits could be made. Like all good and easy things, however, that ship has sailed and will never be seen again.</p><p>For the last few years trainer angles and moves have been the hot topic when it comes to picking winners in horse races. Because human beings are usually creatures of habit, and most horse trainers are human, well okay, I guess all of them are, but you get the idea--trainers repeat the things that make their horses win. The only problem with using trainer angles as a handicapping tool is that everyone is on to them and they rarely pay well anymore.</p><p>If you don't believe that it's almost impossible to make a profit with them, try this little experiment. Many racing programs and forms list trainer angles in them for each race. Many show the ROI (return on investment) for each angle, as well. So doesn't it seem like a simple way to make a profit betting on horse races would be to just bet those angles that show a positive ROI? How can that fail?</p><p>If an angle shows an ROI of 150% and $3.00 then all you have to do is bet that angle. Admittedly it won't work all the time, but over the long run it should, right? You will find that if you do this you'll lose your shirt. Why? Because that positive ROI is history. It shows that the angle did show a profit, but that was when very few people were onto it. Another problem with this plan of just playing angles with positive returns is that things change.</p><p>While the trainers may keep making the same moves, it doesn't mean they will continue to win with the same frequency. Statistics are subject to change and variation, just like anything else in life. Another problem is that you don't know all the conditions that were met. You only see one particular figure or angle, not all the conditions that were present on the day when the other horses won. There are no shortcuts to horse racing handicapping success and all factors must be considered before betting.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Trainer-Moves-Myths-Debunked-in-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=6683759" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Trainer-Moves-Myths-Debunked-in-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=6683759</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5568280001462417297?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-58642320617754398232011-11-17T18:02:00.000-05:002011-11-17T18:02:09.578-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>If you want to win more money at the horse races, or stop losing so much, here are a few tips that might help. The first tip is more of a disclaimer. Maybe you've heard it before but I'll repeat it before we get into the business of betting on horses. Here it is; horse racing is a risky business and you should never bet more than you can afford to lose, because there are no sure things.</p><p>Now that we've gotten that out of the way, here are tips to lose less. Start out with a mindset that you're going to control you money by doing simple things that will make money management automatic so you can concentrate your full energy on picking winners. One way to do that is to only take as much money as you can afford to lose into the race track or otb. If you're betting online, then set a limit for your self and stick to it. This may mean that you keep a little pad beside the computer and write your bets, wins and losses on it.</p><p>"Wait a minute," you may say, "I can just check my balance online, I don't need anything as hokey as a pad beside the computer to know how much I've spent."</p><p>You're right, in a way, you don't have to write it down as long as you don't mind constantly clicking on that button to check your balance. You'll have to keep it in the back of your mind and it may hinder your thought process, however. That's why I like the simple pad and total idea. It is right there, easy to see, and always handy. You'll know how far ahead or behind you are.</p><p>Now that we've got limiting losses taken care of, let's talk about picking more winners. Betting on long shots is one way to hit big winners and make serious money. Chasing horses at long odds because you want a big score is also a good way to go broke. After all, they are long shots for a reason. Longshots that really do win and make money are rare and you should have a system to rate horses at long odds to know which ones have a chance.</p><p>I don't say you shouldn't bet longshots, some of my best days at the races were thanks to long odds horses. I am, however, recommending that you stick with horses in the mid odds range for most of your play. Favorites just don't pay enough to make them profitable and longshots win so rarely that you need a sizable bankroll to hang in there. In order to actually make a profit and stay in the game, the mid range odds horses are the best bets most of the time.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html">http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Several-Horse-Racing-Tips-for-Winning-More-and-Losing-Less&id=6681093" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Several-Horse-Racing-Tips-for-Winning-More-and-Losing-Less&id=6681093</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5864232061775439823?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-75016285899298228012011-11-17T17:57:00.002-05:002011-11-17T17:57:43.327-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>You may have recently come to the conclusion that you need to learn more about picking winning horses if you're ever going to make a profit betting on horses. Many people do realize that they can't figure it out on their own. Horse racing handicapping is very difficult. It is often referred to as an intellectual sport. Whether you call it a sport or game, one thing is certain, it is very hard to make a profit playing the horses.</p><p>Like many difficult things in life, some people go into wagering on horse races without much planning and they soon find themselves behind. You really do need a plan, but why is that so surprising? Don't you have to plan everything else in life? The problem is, who do you trust to teach you how to handicap horse races? Race tracks and the colorful characters who frequent them aren't known for their honesty or beneficence.</p><p>There are some excellent books on the subject of horse racing handicapping and they will help you to move forward in your quest for profit. Reading a few good books by the top authors will certainly help. On the other hand, some people read the books and come away with more knowledge but they still lack the skill to apply that knowledge.</p><p>What you really need is a teacher. Wouldn't it be great to go to the races with someone who had figured it out and was willing to teach you how to bet on the races? There are some people who sell picks and some of them are pretty good at picking winners. One of the problems with the services who sell picks, however, is that soon their picks are bet way down and they are no longer profitable. Not all services are honest and that is another consideration.</p><p>Here are a few tips about systems that may help you to shop around and find something that clearly spells out a method for picking winners. Just remember this, however, no one is going to sell you a horse racing system that automatically picks winners and always makes a profit. If anyone had anything that good, they would keep it and use it themselves. If the ads for a system sound too good to be true, then they probably aren't true.</p><p>The next tip is that a system should be simple. If it is too complicated and has too many conditions and factors, there are just too many things that can go wrong. Keep it simple. Finally, and this is the acid test for whether or not you should plunk your hard earned money down, the system should have a simple, money back, guarantee. You shouldn't have to prove that you bet on the system or used it for a certain number of races or to have to jump through any other hoops. If you're not satisfied you should be able to ask for your money back and get it.</p><p>You'll find very few horse racing methods that offer that kind of deal, but the few that do are sold by honest people and that is where you should put your trust. A good system probably won't make you rich but it will teach you how to look at horses and evaluate them.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">http://williewins.homestead.com</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?A-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-System-Buyers-Guide&id=6681081" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?A-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-System-Buyers-Guide&id=6681081</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7501628589929822801?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-30878271083300415072011-11-17T17:56:00.000-05:002011-11-17T17:56:15.098-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>You can use the place and show pools to find good win bets at the horse races if you understand the psychology of the bettors. Maybe that sounds complicated and you're saying to yourself, "I'm not a psychologist." You may not be a head shrink but I'll bet you've learned some things about your fellow man or woman that you can apply to betting on horses and understanding the betting habits of the other people at the races.</p><p>Let's face it, are you really trying to beat the horses or are you trying to beat the other people who are betting on the horse races like you are? Pari-mutuel wagering means that all the money wagered goes into one pool and the winners take their share from that money. It means that what you're really doing at the races is playing a betting game against the other people.</p><p>While it's true you are trying to figure out the horses by handicapping using whichever method you like, the key to profits is out betting the other players. You have to be better than most of them at spotting a good bet and taking a chance on it. I know it sounds easier said than done, but maybe you know more about it than you realize.</p><p>If not, you can quickly learn. Start by asking yourself a few simple questions.</p><p>1. What does it mean when there is more money (a higher percentage) bet on a horse to place than to win?</p><p>2. What does it mean when the odds suddenly drop on a horse?</p><p>(1.) If you use the notion that a horse that has 20% of the win pool bet on it should also have 20% of the place pool bet on it, then looking at those pools should tell you something. First of all, if it does have about the same totals and percentages, then it is probably a choice of the public.</p><p>On the other hand, if there is more bet on it to place than to win, is that a good sign? If people really think it is more likely to place than win, perhaps the horse has a serious flaw or there is another horse that is much better and it is obvious to many bettors. The best way to learn the answer to these questions is to watch the pools for a week and write down the figures for the top four horses at post time. Then see whether or not the disparity in the pools makes a difference.</p><p>(2.) When a large amount of money is placed on a horse right after the post parade, it may mean that the horse impressed the people who watched it as it entered the track. On the other hand, if a large amount of money is dropped on a horse and it isn't during the post parade, it may mean one person is plunging on that runner. That doesn't necessarily mean that it will win. It may mean that someone has money to throw around or an enthusiastic owner thinks his or her horse will win.</p><p>The best advice is to pay attention to the pools, but think for yourself and rely on your handicapping skill when it comes to worrying about the occasional large bet in the win pool. You'll find that the plungers win about as often as everyone else and the really well prepared handicapper always has the edge.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">http://williewins.homestead.com</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Using-Place-and-Show-Pools-to-Find-Good-Win-Bets&id=6681072" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Using-Place-and-Show-Pools-to-Find-Good-Win-Bets&id=6681072</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3087827108330041507?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-46658071060880777512011-11-17T17:54:00.002-05:002011-11-17T17:54:58.904-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>After you evaluate the runners in a horse race by handicapping their recent form, the next step in the process of making money betting on horses is to use that information to find a good bet. Whether you play exotic bets or straight bets (win, place, show), the process starts the same. You must find a key horse that is not being backed by the crowd at the odds it deserves. In other words, if--in your opinion---the horse has a 1 in 4 chance of winning and it is at 5-1; then it's a good bet.</p><p>More sophisticated horse players realize that no matter how hard they work or how much they know, they will still encounter losing streaks. While statistics will help you and indicate that favorites win about a third of the time, any horse player knows that the favorite doesn't win every third race. Out of a sample of 100 races the favorite will win about 30-33, however, in a smaller sample, that percentage of winning favorites may be skewed.</p><p>Therefore, smart bettors mix their bets up and try to cover a wide range of odds. Betting lower priced horses--favorites and those at lower odds--will result in more winning tickets. Backing longshots means bigger payoffs and less wins per betting run. The wise gambler knows that cash flow is critical: You must keep the money coming in.</p><p>So the answer is to select bet ranges and then to structure your wagering campaigns to encompass all betting ranges from chalks to long shots and everything in between. Because you include longshots in your scheme, you will have the occasional big hit, but also, since you've included favorites, you will cash many tickets.</p><p>The key to successful betting is to allocate funds not to always have the biggest ROI (return on investment). On the other hand, you should set a cutoff point for your bets--a minimum ROI that you find acceptable. Many horse players consider a 10% profit good, so shooting for 10% by spreading your bets is a good practice, if you're of that mindset. When investors set out to make long term profits from their investments, they diversify their portfolios. When people who bet on horses for a living set out to make a year's pay, they also diversify with security and rate of return as their two main concerns.</p><p>Take a look at your bets and see if you aren't leaning too heavily on one odds range and if that might account for your lack of profit or losing streaks.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">http://williewins.homestead.com</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping information.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Betting-Strategy-to-Win-More-and-Lose-Less&id=6678350" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Betting-Strategy-to-Win-More-and-Lose-Less&id=6678350</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4665807106088077751?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-23317646856819500982011-11-17T17:53:00.002-05:002011-11-17T17:53:41.135-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Are speed figures just as relevant as they have ever been for handicapping horse races? Just betting what appears to be the fastest horse does seem to no longer be financially prudent. Let me ask you this, however, if you think that speed figures aren't useful in making money betting on horse races, why have them in a program or racing form?</p><p>Almost all handicappers do look at speed figures, the problem isn't that they are irrelevant, it is that they are confusing and knowing how to effectively use them is at the heart of the problem. For instance, one horse in the 6 furlong race may just have posted a 78 in a 6 furlong sprint while another posted a 60 in that race but in the previous race at one mile it registered an 81. How do you compare those horses?</p><p>Obviously, you need more data. For instance, why the 60 from a horse that seemed capable of much more? How long ago was that 81 scored and was it on a fast track? It becomes apparent that speed figures do matter, but they must be applied with other information as filters that affect how we look at those ratings.</p><p>Some handicappers have tried to quantify the filters that they apply to speed figures. While no horse racing system is perfect, anything that helps to sort out the mystery concerning "figs," as they are sometimes called, may be helpful. let's say that for every day past 25 days you deduct a point from the rating? That 81 was earned 35 days ago so maybe now it is actually more like a 71. This seems to help adjust the number for form (that may be lost over time).</p><p>While using filters as modifiers is helpful, others argue that because some run better at certain distances or on particular surfaces, you must look at the best figure ever earned for the distance and surface of today's race. The only problem with this, obviously, is that if the figure was earned a year ago, a lot can change in that amount of time.</p><p>The form cycle, or recent form, is critical to evaluating a runner here and now. That is the first and foremost consideration, but not the only one. Pace is perhaps the second consideration after form. Pace in relation to ability equal an expected speed figure for the horse in the race. The closer the pace scenario and track model support the running style of the runner, the more reliable a recent rating may be.</p><p>I recommend that you allow one bad race and go back to the next race in most cases as long as it was on the same surface and close to the same distance, say within a furlong or two. Otherwise, you have a runner that is too difficult to accurately evaluate and caution should be taken betting on that one or against it.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">http://williewins.homestead.com</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-Many-Speed-Figures-or-Races-Should-You-Use-to-Pick-Winning-Horses?&id=6678344" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-Many-Speed-Figures-or-Races-Should-You-Use-to-Pick-Winning-Horses?&id=6678344</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2331764685681950098?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-15026364203621152952011-11-17T17:49:00.002-05:002011-11-17T17:49:53.456-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>Is there any single key or clue to finding long shot winners? A look at the results of the Breeder's Cup 2011 results will answer that question for handicappers who take the time to do their homework. Long shots won all day and many others came in second or third to complete massive exotic payoffs. How could you tell which ones to play?</p><p>The biggest factor in picking longshots is finding a horse that has improved since its last race. Horse racing handicapping is based on past performances. The biggest mistake that horse players make is in wondering if a runner will equal its last performance. For instance, if Horse A lost its last race by 5 lengths and earned a speed figure of 90, will it be beaten by Horse B who won last time out and scored a 100?</p><p>If horses were machines that always duplicated their past performances, that methodology for handicapping would work, but horses are living, breathing, animals---they change from day to day. On top of that you have a trainer whose job it is to condition the horse to win. The one thing a smart horse player should ask is which horse in the race is moving forward in its training and may surprise?</p><p>Bullet works are an excellent example of conditioning and trainer intent. If you don't believe that, look at the sharp workouts of the long shot horses that won or hit the board in the top races of the year--the Breeder's Cup. One of the top trainers of all times (and a man who has won his share of graded stakes races) is Bob Baffert. He uses fast workouts and bullet works to prep his horses.</p><p>Secret Circle, winner of the Breeder's Cup Juvenile Sprint scored a 58:40 workout and was second best of 67 horses who worked at Santa Anita on 10/30/2011. While that wasn't a bullet work, it was certainly impressive for a 2 year old and was an indicator of a horse ready to fire. A bullet work is one of the main tools that Mr. Baffert uses to finish prepping a runner for a big race. Any runner saddled by Bob Baffert and sporting a fast or bullet work must be taken into consideration when playing exotics.</p><p>Another example of a Baffert runner that ran well off a bullet work was Game on Dude, the pacesetter in the Breeder's Cup Classic on November 5, 2011. The Dude--as he is often called--gave a gutsy performance under the urging of Chantal Sutherland, only to be beaten at the wire. Using the Dude in exotics returned some big figures because he went off at a generous 14-1. The point is that great trainers use fast workouts as an important tool in winning big races, but the runners may be overlooked in spite of the obvious indicator of superior conditioning because many handicappers don't use workouts correctly.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Bullet-Works-and-Fast-Workouts:-The-Key-to-Long-Shot-Horse-Racing-Winners&id=6673953" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Bullet-Works-and-Fast-Workouts:-The-Key-to-Long-Shot-Horse-Racing-Winners&id=6673953</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1502636420362115295?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-48465031647600565022011-11-17T17:48:00.000-05:002011-11-17T17:48:16.399-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Want to pick more winners and make money betting on horse races? Then you should be able to answer this simple question. Which horse racing handicapping factor is the most overlooked and least understood? Give up? It's workouts. One reason for this problem is that workouts mean different things in different races.</p><p>Stakes races, with the best horses at the track (or maybe even in the world), almost always have horses that are in top physical condition. The result is that most stakes horses will show a fast recent workout. Any horse that doesn't, that is entered in a stakes race, should be considered a marginal performer, unless you know the reason for the lack of a good fast conditioning work.</p><p>Some people will argue that the bullet workouts, or workouts that rank high among the runners who exercised that day, are to be expected since the stakes horses are in great shape and top quality horses, but there is more to the story than that. The fact that the best trainers in the world realize a fast gallop is essential to bringing out the best in a runner validates the argument that those hard exercise runs do something important to a thoroughbred.</p><p>What do they do? First of all, they are the best way a trainer can gauge the fitness and willingness of an animal. A horse standing is a beautiful sight, indeed, but running, they are poetry in motion and also an open book. All questions about how fast and perhaps how far they can run are answered to the trained eye of a clocker, or conditioner. So what does this mean when you are evaluating the runners in a lesser event such as a claiming race, maiden race, or allowance event: Plenty.</p><p>Another benefit of seeing actual workouts is that you know the trainer's intent. If he or she pushed the animal, it usually means that the intention is to try for a win very soon. Does this sound strange? Perhaps you think that trainers always try to win the race. Nothing could be farther from the truth. While it is usually the case that horses are well meant in big stakes races--with healthy purses---horses in other races may be running for exercise or training purposes.</p><p>Workout patterns and races when used correctly constitute some of the best horse racing systems because trainers are creatures of habit. When they find a combination of works and races that results in a win, they use it over and over again. Some use a specific combination of fast and slow works. Learning how to spot the patterns and to know when to bet the runner is a very good way to make a profit from horse racing handicapping.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Best-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factors-and-Systems-Include-Workouts&id=6673951" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Best-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factors-and-Systems-Include-Workouts&id=6673951</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4846503164760056502?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-41128790378209442682011-11-11T17:43:00.002-05:002011-11-11T17:43:37.130-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Is it possible to find an easy horse racing system that uses only one handicapping factor and still comes up with good bets? The answer is a definite yes, but there are a few caveats. The whole goal of evaluating runners and betting on them is to find a horse with an edge that is underestimated by the other bettors so it is what is known as an overlay. That's academic and common knowledge to most horse players.</p><p>The big problem, of course, is to actually pull that intellectual feat off. You're up against a lot of other people and many of them are really good at what they do. There are also people with inside knowledge and last--but certainly not least--there are people who control the race by riding the runners or training and preparing them. There you sit with your racing program thinking that maybe, just maybe, you can beat them.</p><p>Well you can't beat all of those people, but you can beat the other ones who have no more information or influence than you do and the way you do it is by knowing which factor is important in a race and which ones to throw out. After you manage that tough job, the next problem is whether or not the race is playable. What makes a race worth playing? Two things.</p><p>First of all, you must have an opinion about a horse and it must be that the horse has an edge. In many races you'll find a horse with a slight edge in class, speed, or form, but not enough of an edge to make it worth your while. On the other hand, sometimes you'll find a race where one runner does have a big enough margin in the speed or class department to make it a good bet if one other condition is met.</p><p>Of course I'm talking price. Your risk must be more than offset by possible reward. The irony of this approach is that it only works in races with a runner with a big edge in one department and yet we often use many factors to quantify each runner's chances and then somehow try to put a price on that. Some people try to total the disparities in factors and then use the final result to make a morning line.</p><p>What actually happens in these cases is that we start comparing apples and oranges, so to speak, and then try to make sense of that. We may think, "Well this horse has a five point edge in class and that horse has a six point edge in speed so this horse or that horse is better." You may as well play Russian Roulette with your bankroll.</p><p>In order to make money betting on horses, handicap each race on the program and find those few horses that have a big edge in just one category. I like to see at least 2-1 odds on such a horse in order to make it profitable, but you'll have to use your own judgment and decide if the odds offered are worth it. Forget races where all the runners are too evenly matched. Those races are crap shoots.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Easy-Horse-Racing-System-Based-on-One-Handicapping-Factor&id=6673950" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Easy-Horse-Racing-System-Based-on-One-Handicapping-Factor&id=6673950</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4112879037820944268?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-32315394673964410612011-11-11T17:41:00.002-05:002011-11-11T17:41:44.595-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Many horse racing handicappers know that speed is the most important factor in maiden horse races. However, as is often the case, a little knowledge may be a dangerous, or in the case of betting on horses, expensive thing. The problem is that handicapping horse races is an intellectual sport that involves many variables such as recent form, breeding, luck, and trainer moves.</p><p>Each of those variables is important and sometimes cannot be quantified or evaluated, in fact, as in the case of luck, some factors can't even be known until after the race. To the more conservative investors, betting on horse races, especially non-winner races, may seem too risky. The best advice for anyone thinking of putting a flutter on a race is, "Take a dip, but don't plunge."</p><p>The first place to start with baby races, as maiden races are often called, is to check to make sure each runner has had at least one race. Two races are preferred but that is rarely the case in maiden races. You will usually find at least horse that has only one race. You may also encounter runners who've never raced in their short lives and they are called first time starters (FTS). FTS horses should be looked at with great skepticism because you just can't tell what they might do and how fast they might run. Therefore, I advise skipping baby races with more than one FTS.</p><p>On the other hand, in maiden races for horses who've all raced before you will have some indication of how fast each one can run. Maidens usually lack finesse and will run as fast and as far as they can. Most will improve a little from race to race unless a trainer manages to intervene with an equipment or medication change. In maiden races these changes can amount to a big difference, so as in the case of the races with FTS, I recommend you don't bet on any race that has more than one equipment or medication change.</p><p>The more changes and variables the harder it is to handicap. On the other hand, if there aren't many changes, the wonderful thing about maiden horse race handicapping is that it usually comes down to a matter of speed. Look for the biggest change or improvement in horses who've had only one race. They often improve a lot in their next race. There can be two reasons for this, first of all many trainers instruct the jockey to just get the horse around the track in its first race and the race is considered a training event and nothing more. Secondly, because they've had a race and now know what is expected of them, they can actually race harder and improve over their green efforts.</p><p>Among the rest of the field look for steady though slower improvement. Therefore, give each horse a projected speed figure based on the above information and their last effort. Then look at the odds and decide which one gives the best value based on ability. Don't just focus on the horse you think will run the fastest based on your projections. Remember luck as a factor: Many things can happen in a race.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Maiden-Horse-Races-and-Speed-Handicapping&id=6673949" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Maiden-Horse-Races-and-Speed-Handicapping&id=6673949</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3231539467396441061?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-18997133085006656942011-11-11T17:40:00.002-05:002011-11-11T17:40:22.314-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>There are some very complicated methods of picking winners at the race track and there are also simple handicapping systems as well. Which one is the best? That is the question that has challenged horse players since humans started betting on horse races. The most honest answer is that almost any system of picking winning horses will work sometimes, but nothing works all the time.</p><p>Part of the secret to making money betting on the runners is to know which system or method to use with a particular kind of race at a certain track on a given day. I know that doesn't sound very easy, but it's the truth. On the other hand, it is possible to quickly and easily evaluate the horses on a superficial basis. In other words, to have some idea of which ones are most likely to win.</p><p>First of all, of course, there is the morning line. It is the odds that the track's handicapper gives each runner. This is meant to be a representation of what the odds will probably be when the race goes off. So if the morning line odds on a horse are 2-1 and yet the horse is bet down to 1-1, you can assume that many bettors think the horse has an excellent chance of winning. That doesn't necessarily make it a profitable bet, because such horses may not win often enough to return your money and make a profit. On the other hand, historically, horses at 1-1, or even money as it is called, often do win.</p><p>You have to decide if you want to bet the horse and have a good chance of winning, or bet against it in hopes of making a profit on another horse. The question of which other horse becomes the subject of this horse racing handicapping article. Once again, using the morning line, find the top three horses with the lowest morning line odds, in other words, the ones that the handicapper thins are most likely to be contenders and possibly win the race.</p><p>Now, of the other two horses, is any of them bet below the morning line odds? If so, that means that many still feel that one may win. Since the even money favorite often wins and the second favorite often wins, the winner of the race is probably to be found among those two horses. If the favorite is over bet, then the second favorite may be the horse to bet.</p><p>Then, of course, there is the third horse that is not bet down below the morning line odds. This horse often offers the most value because it is at higher odds than the morning line and still is considered competitive by the handicapper. If it has a jockey who is in the top five jockeys for that track, in other words, a rider who knows how to win, it is often a good bet. Of course, horse racing is risky and you should never bet on the horses with money you cannot afford to lose.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">http://williewins.homestead.com</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?An-Easy-Way-to-Pick-Winners-at-the-Horse-Races&id=6675484" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?An-Easy-Way-to-Pick-Winners-at-the-Horse-Races&id=6675484</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1899713308500665694?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-42360382479371466812011-11-11T17:38:00.002-05:002011-11-11T17:38:57.906-05:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Tough economic times have a lot of people searching for new and inventive ways to make money. Everyday, all over the world, some people sit down at their computers and bet on horse races and make a profit. This is a brief and broad outline of how you can make money betting on horses using your computer.</p><p>First of all, let's do a reality check and take care of the disclaimers. The first thing you should do, if you're thinking of betting on horse races on the internet, is to make sure that it is legal where you live. Each state in the Untied States has different laws so you should check with your local government to make sure you will not be breaking the law by wagering online.</p><p>Secondly, while betting on horses sounds like fun and an easy way to make money, the opposite is often true. It isn't easy. You need more than luck. You have to develop skill at handicapping horse races and then you need to develop skill at spotting a good bet. You have to evaluate the runners and then decide what each ones chances of winning might be. Then you have to determine if a horse is being under bet, meaning the odds are higher than what you'd expect considering its chances of winning.</p><p>Several good horse racing systems are a must along with an account at what is known as an advanced deposit wagering (adw) site. You open an account and deposit money and then use the money to bet the races. They often offer video of the races so you can watch them as well. The systems help you to evaluate the horses, but be warned, you'll see advertisements for systems that automatically pick winners and make a profit. That's not true.</p><p>There are no horse racing systems that automatically make a profit. If there are such systems, the people who own them aren't about to sell them: They'll use them themselves. On the other hand, there are systems that will teach you some good skills for evaluating horses and bets and mastering a few of them will take you a long way toward making money. You'll need to practice and develop your skill, however, and that takes time and money. Horse racing handicapping is considered an intellectual sport, meaning, you have to use your brain to compete against other people who are doing the same thing.</p><p>It is possible, but difficult and requires real work. The few who actually manage to make a profit are the ones who work hard at it and stick with it, just like so many other things in life.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">http://williewins.homestead.com</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Make-Money-Betting-on-Horse-Races-Online&id=6675488" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Make-Money-Betting-on-Horse-Races-Online&id=6675488</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4236038247937146681?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-65314165007980872332011-11-04T16:55:00.000-04:002011-11-04T16:55:27.707-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>One thing that really stinks about horse racing in the winter time is when they cancel a program after you've spent time and effort handicapping the races. You may put hours into evaluating the horses and feel that you have spotted a few good bets, only to find out that the track management canceled the program due to bad weather.</p><p>That's one of the reasons I like to play the southern tracks in the winter time, but let's face it, there are some opportunities at northern tracks that we hate to pass up. If you spend hours going over the races only to find out there will be no racing there are ways to spend your time constructively and to keep you busy until the sun shines on your favorite ovals again.</p><p>One thing I like to do is to review my play over the last month to see if there are any areas that need improvement. There are always ways to become a better handicapper. In this constant battle to beat the races, we must always be looking for ways to improve ourselves. One way to do that is by looking at your past bets and re-thinking what you might have done differently to make a higher profit.</p><p>Another good way to invest your time is by reading some of the better writers on the subject of horse racing handicapping. I am signed up for several good newsletters, but don't always have the time to read them when they first come out. While some of the information in them is timely and relates to upcoming races, other articles and tidbits may be something about handicapping in general and I can gain useful knowledge from it any time I read it. I always save old newsletters and look over them when I have the time, usually in the winter when tracks cancel.</p><p>Then again, there is that other thing they call a life that we all have and often put on hold for handicapping horse races. When a track cancels it is an excellent time to do something spontaneous like calling an old friend. As they say, "Life is what happens while we're making other plans." So why not do something that isn't related to picking winners when the weather changes your plans for you?</p><p>The point is that just because you can't go to the races it doesn't mean that you can't be thinking about them or making yourself a better handicapper or taking time to relax. That time away from handicapping may be just as important because it allows you to recharge and refresh yourself and all handicappers need that.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Tracks-Cancelled-Because-of-Bad-Weather-May-Be-an-Opportunity&id=6661717" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Tracks-Cancelled-Because-of-Bad-Weather-May-Be-an-Opportunity&id=6661717</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-6531416500798087233?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-75803329804547856632011-11-04T16:53:00.000-04:002011-11-04T16:53:32.565-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Lately a lot of people have asked me which bets are the best at the horse races. When I started playing the races many years ago there were still a lot of people who believed that any bet other than win was a bad wager. Times have changed, however, and now people who play the races are more sophisticated and look for value in all the pools.</p><p>Exotic wagers such as trifectas, exactas, doubles, and multi-race wagers were once called gadgets because they were thought of as complicated and tricky, not to mention losers. But race tracks have responded to the needs of their clientele and have also tried to entice bettors to play different wagers. They are constantly looking for ways to bring gamblers back to their venues now that casinos have taken a lot of their action away.</p><p>If you must play exotic bets, here are a few tips. The best trifecta tip I can give you is to play a race where there are one or two horses you can key on who are not prohibitive favorites. Wheeling or partially wheeling a horse at very low odds is financial suicide because the return just won't cover all the combinations. The only time you should consider a tri bet with a horse at even odds or lower is when you have a longshot to also key it with that you think could even beat it. Then the obvious play is your long shot on top and the favorite in the second spot.</p><p>Another trifecta tip is to look for tracks with the lowest vigorish. Vigorish, or<em> vig </em>as it is sometimes called, is the amount that the track takes out of the pools for their profit and to satisfy the state. This amount can vary widely and has a direct impact on how much bang you get for your buck. When payoffs may sometimes be in the hundreds or even thousands of dollars, a few points difference in the amount you pay the track for the privilege of playing the races can really add up. So shop around for the best deal.</p><p>Like any other wager, triples are only good some of the time and it's up to you to decide when to play and where to play. It isn't just about finding good key horses, but that certainly helps. You don't want to play any more combinations than you have to so boxing 5 or more horses is a bad strategy. Shop around and get a good deal and then play races where you have a clear idea of which horses are superior to the field so you can play an inexpensive key bet. If you can find those conditions, the trifecta is a good bet, but just remember, all horse racing wagers are risky.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Are-Trifectas-Good-Bets-at-the-Horse-Races?&id=6657904" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Are-Trifectas-Good-Bets-at-the-Horse-Races?&id=6657904</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7580332980454785663?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-71257854044453524382011-11-04T16:51:00.002-04:002011-11-04T16:51:56.860-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>Because horses race outdoors the elements play an important part in racing and which horses are good bets and which ones are at a disadvantage. Most people who handicap horse races know about rain and muddy tracks. There are some horses who race better when the surface is muddy, sloppy, yielding, or good. There are also tracks that have a bias when the weather is bad. It may be because the inside of the track collects water due to the slope of the grade or for some other reason.</p><p>Wise handicappers familiarize themselves with the bias at their favorite venues and use it to evaluate each runner's chances. But how many people know how to use the wind as a factor or realize the important part it plays? It is important in thoroughbred racing and especially important in harness racing.</p><p>Fortunately for handicappers, most race tracks fly flags in the infield of the track so the direction and speed of the wind are apparent. Cross winds and head winds play differently. A cross wind is one that blows across the stretches at approximately a 90 degree angle. It will therefore be blowing into the faces of the runners on the turn or will be blowing at their backs.</p><p>In the case of a headwind, the breeze is blowing in the same direction as the stretches and will be in the faces or blowing on the rumps of the runners. In races where the margin is sometimes only a nose or a head, this can make a huge difference. Imagine a 20 or 30 mile wind blowing against a horse that is running in front in the stretch. Any horse behind it has the advantage of cover, but the front runner will encounter the wind head-on at some time, whether it is running down the back stretch or in the homestretch.</p><p>On days when there is a strong wind blowing head-on, look for more closers to win. They don't necessarily have to come from far off the pace but they will be a horse that sat behind another and benefited from that. If you handicap using track models and running styles, take into account the effect of the wind and adjust your play accordingly. On windy days, particularly if it is blowing into their faces, only play a front runner that is very strong. Such a horse will probably be over bet anyway, since most people don't use the wind as a factor, so you may want to look at any horse that will run close to that one, but benefit from cover.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Wind-As-a-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factor&id=6657902" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Wind-As-a-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factor&id=6657902</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7125785404445352438?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-7627119710529584442011-11-04T16:50:00.002-04:002011-11-04T16:50:37.731-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>If you're new to horse racing these tips and information about horse racing systems will help you to sort out the truth from fiction. If you've been handicapping for a while you may just consider this a very simple review. Whatever level your handicapping is at, you may find something you can use to pick more winners and back fewer losers, the whole secret to making money betting horses.</p><p>First of all, here are a few tips for finding good bets and making a profit. The best advice I can give you is that playing the horses is risky and making a long term profit is very difficult. If you're worried about races being fixed or dishonest, then only play the races at the best race tracks and for the highest purses. Let's face it, with $100,000 on the line most jockeys and trainers will try to win the race, but if the purse isn't enough to cover their expenses, then you have to wonder where the inventive is to win, other than bragging rights.</p><p>When there is a lot more money to be made in the pools, the chances of someone fixing a race and trying to make a killing on bets is always there, so don't play big favorites in little races. Horses racing for higher purses are the better athletes and will usually hold their form much better than the horses that are struggling at the lower levels. Cheap claiming races are the bane of favorites and the people who back them so steer clear of chalks in those races.</p><p>Another good piece of advice is to only play the races that you have an opinion about. If you don't have a reason, and I mean a good one, to back a horse, then sit out the race. It is tough enough to beat the game when you selectively play the races that you can figure out, but if you try to win every race, you're doomed to lose money right from the start.</p><p>When it comes to horse racing systems, take this one piece of advice from a man who writes systems and has been using them for years. Nothing works all the time. There is no horse racing method that you can make money with all the time. Part of being a good handicapper is knowing that and also developing the ability to know when to apply a certain system and when to give it a rest.</p><p>Also, and this is probably the best advice you will ever get about horse racing systems, never waste your money on any horse racing method that doesn't come with a no questions asked, money back guarantee.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Tips-and-Systems&id=6657895" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Tips-and-Systems&id=6657895</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-762711971052958444?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-42567952795935759402011-11-04T16:49:00.000-04:002011-11-04T16:49:13.131-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>There are as many ways to pick winners as there are kinds of races. One way to play your favorite racing circuit and to find plenty of good bets is to follow a few jockeys. There are always a few top jockeys who get the best horses and win more races than the rest of the riders. Focusing on a few of them and using the following tips will help you to have plenty of winners and maybe even make a profit from your horse racing bets.</p><p>First of all, don't spread yourself too thin. Just pick a few jockeys and stick with one or two circuits. The big circuits will naturally attract plenty of people, but don't overlook the secondary circuits with tracks that have smaller purses. A $10 winner is the same whether you cash a winning ticket at Belmont or Suffolk, Santa Anita or Golden Gate. If you start with a race track that you're familiar with the process will be easier.</p><p>As I said, the top riders win more races and have a higher win average. I wouldn't recommend using any rider with less than a 15% average. On the other hand, some riders such as Russell Baze, get bet so heavily that it is often difficult to make a profit when you wager exclusively on their mounts. What you're looking for is a good rider with good payoffs.</p><p>Naturally, if you wager on every mount that a jockey has you will find it hard to make a profit. You must be selective, but that is a good thing, because most people only look at the horse or horse and trainer and under estimate the rider's influence. Take some time and start writing down every horse a particular rider has and notice which ones he or she wins on. You will start to notice patterns in the odds and trainers.</p><p>A jockey may be winning at 16% but that doesn't mean he or she wins at that rate for every trainer or on every surface. You may find your pick wins 5% on the turf in sprint races, but wins 25% on dirt in route races. Look closely at those races and see if you can find any other factors that you can use as filters to narrow it down even more. For instance, what is the odds range that he or she wins with? Is there one particular owner that he or she wins for and if so, at what odds?</p><p>After a while, you will have to handicap the horses very little and only look at the race conditions, connections, and odds to tell if the mount is live and your rider has a chance to win. You'll find several good bets on most programs and if you follow several riders you'll get action in many races. On the other hand, you'll eliminate a lot of useless bets. That means more good bets and more profit for you.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Handicapping-Horse-Races-by-Jockey-Instead-of-Horses&id=6657006" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Handicapping-Horse-Races-by-Jockey-Instead-of-Horses&id=6657006</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4256795279593575940?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-73318717870203257632011-10-29T10:07:00.000-04:002011-10-29T10:07:15.408-04:00<p>By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><br /><p>First of all, let's face it, betting on horse races is risky and you should only do it with money you can afford to lose. Very few people who attempt to make a living from horse racing actually do succeed. For most people, it becomes a pleasant way to spend an afternoon and an intellectual challenge or just a release from the cares of the day.</p><p>On the other hand, it is possible to make a profit, but the margin over the long haul is incredibly small. Therefore, you may wipe out all your profits or most of the profit simply by making one or two mistakes. Here are some horse racing tips to help you avoid the losses and maximize the wins.</p><p>Never bet when you are tired, sick, or drinking. What, no drinks at the track? That depends, if you're simply casually picking horses and hoping for a little luck, there probably is no harm in a drink or two, but it you are seriously working at handicapping horse races, even one drink may dull your mind enough to cloud your judgment, so I advise against drinking if you want to win money.</p><p>If you must drink, save a drink or two as a treat for after the races or when you've placed your last bet. Drinking and serious gambling do not mix. Secondly, have a reason for making a bet. In other words, when you bet on a horse in a race you should have a reason that makes sense. The horse must have some attribute(s) or be in a situation that you feel is potentially profitable. Just betting for the sake of having a bet on is the fastest way to lose your money.</p><p>Always keep track of your money and know what you bet on and why. Money management is the biggest problem that most horse players have and the number one reason that they go home with less money than they started with even though they've cashed some winners. A big part of money management is keeping notes and knowing where each penny goes. Only take as much money as you can afford to lose and if you can't afford to lose, you don't belong at the races or betting shop.</p><p>Never chase your losses. If you're having one of those days when everything you bet on seems to come a cropper, then it's just not your day. Luck comes in streaks, both good and bad. So if it seems that luck is against you, put what's left of your bankroll in your pocket and take it home. There's always tomorrow.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Betting-Mistakes-You-Should-Avoid&id=6653671" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Betting-Mistakes-You-Should-Avoid&id=6653671</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7331871787020325763?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-4671229790052096942011-10-29T10:05:00.002-04:002011-10-29T10:05:40.501-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>Looking at a horse race on paper and trying to handicap it can be confusing and if you look at it too long, <em>analysis may lead to paralysis</em>, as they say. After a while it seems like you can make a case for any one of the runners to win the race. What should you do and how can you avoid over-handicapping?</p><p>First of all, if you get to the point where you think any horse can win the race, you are probably right and you're just seeing all the possible scenarios and any one of them might occur. That's horse racing. That's what makes it such a challenge to pick winners consistently and to make a profit for your efforts. You shouldn't let that stop you from trying to make a living from horse racing or to at least come out ahead. On the other hand, you should be realistic and realize how risky it is to bet on a race because anything can happen.</p><p>Because you've come to the conclusion that it would be possible for any one of the runners to win, the correct approach is to determine how likely it is for each one to win and then assign the correct odds. When I say, correct odds, I mean the odds that will return your investment and a profit. Using basic statistics is the place to start and they offer the best clues as to what you should look for when you're determining whether a horse is a good bet.</p><p>Let's start with favorites. They are the horses at the lowest odds and with the most money wagered on them. The favorite with the most money in the pools is also known as the<em> chalk.</em> Then there is the second favorite and third favorite. Among those three horses you will find the winner of the race 70% of the time. Naturally, this number does vary a little from race to race depending upon the size of the field. The more runners in a race the more competition and the more chances that a longshot will come in, but overall, the top three 70% rule usually applies.</p><p>Therefore, unless you can find a horse in the field that has a reason to win, such as racing for a new barn or a real hot trainer, or perhaps one that is on lasix for the first time, then you should probably expect your winner from the top three. Looking at the top three, is one of them under valued in your opinion? That will probably be your best opportunity to make money on the race.</p><p>If you can find one of the top three betting choices that is under valued, you will have found an opportunity to make a profit. That usually occurs when the chalk is a horse with a reason to lose, such as one returning from a layoff or bouncing off a huge effort. Naturally, when the chalk is over valued it means that some other horse must be under valued.</p><p>So the clue to a good bet in the top three horses is an over valued chalk.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Clues-to-Picking-Winners&id=6653675" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Clues-to-Picking-Winners&id=6653675</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-467122979005209694?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-56623751285623322062011-10-29T10:03:00.002-04:002011-10-29T10:03:50.177-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><br /><p>If you think of handicapping horse races as a job or task, then what are the tools you might use to accomplish that task, to do the job? Handicapping systems immediately come to mind. Speaking of mind, however, what about the mind of the person who is trying to evaluate the runners in a race? That is actually the most important tool we each have and our first line of defense against losing our bankrolls.</p><p>Developing your skills as a horse player means schooling yourself and training yourself to make good decisions and to store as much useful information in your head. Admittedly, computers do make the job easier, or so it seems until you have to actually learn how to use a new software program, but first and foremost, as in almost all human endeavors, it is our brain, the grey matter itself, that we must rely on.</p><p>Does that mean you have to be a genius to succeed at picking enough winners to make a profit? Absolutely not. You will have to acquire data and interpret it, however, and the best way to do that is by making judgment calls. It doesn't matter which handicapping system you use, sooner or later each one will have a bad run. There are no automatic programs that always pick enough winners to make a profit. Then how can you use your brain to make money handicapping?</p><p>The answer is that you have to develop your intuition. Intuition is without a doubt the most important tool or ability you can have and I say this speaking as a man with decades of experience in the racing game. Intuition is perhaps the hardest human skill to quantify or describe, but may be the most powerful. Knowing when to play a horse that is picked by a method you are using and when not to play, is the most important part of the game.</p><p>There are races you should skip and there are whole days you should not play your favorite track. The hard part of that decision making process is that if you're like most horse players, you want action and you want to bet. It is hard to sit out a race or two, but to actually look at the races and make the decision not to bet any of them is even more difficult. On the other hand, it is the one thing that you can do to really improve your bottom line.</p><p>It doesn't come easy and there are days when you won't play your system only to see it pick some nice winners, but as you develop this skill, you'll find that you get better and better at weeding out those bad days and lousy races that destroy your bankroll.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Best-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-System-Tools&id=6644908" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Best-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-System-Tools&id=6644908</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5662375128562332206?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-34217736823920658442011-10-20T14:50:00.000-04:002011-10-20T14:50:19.773-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>When handicappers first start betting on horse races they often ask the same questions. It is a tough sport and of the many who try to make a living playing horses only a very few ever accomplish what they set out to do. It is extremely risky and demanding and will keep challenging you every day. The fact that the best handicappers in the world choose to make a living writing books about it is an indication of how much work it is.</p><p>Some of us can make a profit for a while and enjoy the challenge of picking winners, but eventually we all burn out and need a rest. It's that intense. I've just answered two of the most common questions I hear about handicapping horse races. Yes, some people do make a profit, but it is very difficult, and we usually do it for short periods of time and then need to rest and re-charge ourselves.</p><p>Another common question about this business of playing the ponies, or punting, as it is sometimes called, is how long does it take before a student of the game can become successful. I'm afraid I can't give you a definitive answer to that one. It varies widely and also it is often hard to know when you've made it. For instance, I may have a successful season at Belmont only to lose at Santa Anita.</p><p>The question then is, have I actually become a success? My best answer is, you're only as good as your last set of bets. I like to break my bets down into sets depending upon which horse racing system I am using at any one time to beat the races. If I am using a system that follows the horses and trainer moves like true handicapping, then I will need a lot of time and won't know how successful I've been until I've followed and bet on at least 20 horses. That can take a considerable amount of time.</p><p>Other systems, like the longshot system, for instance, are much quicker and it doesn't take too long to find 20 bets so I will know how well I've done and how my system is holding up quicker. The point is that not one of them always works and I'm not successful at implementing them correctly all the time. For as long as I've been playing the horses, the simple truth is that it is still difficult and there are no guarantees of success no matter how long you've done it or how good you are.</p><p>Learn as much as you can and master a few good systems is my best advice.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Answers-To-Common-Questions&id=6633752" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Answers-To-Common-Questions&id=6633752</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3421773682392065844?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-14507004770490518002011-10-20T14:48:00.002-04:002011-10-20T14:48:52.270-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>So you want to be a horse player? I mean a real horse racing handicapping, betting, living by the seat of your pants, punter? Let me tell you a few things before you jump into the game and then perhaps you can make an informed decision.</p><p>First of all, I've been going to horse races for well over 50 years. I started as a toddler because my grandfather was a horse man and worked the tracks in New England. One of my first recollections is looking up under the rails and watching the horses legs go by during a race. So you could say I've been around it all my life.</p><p>I've met some colorful people who played the ponies or owned them or just had plain old, "horse fever." For many, life was tough and there was a lot of pain. One thing I did learn, however, was that many of them had developed a philosophical approach to life that kept them going through the ups and downs of horse racing and living day to day, which is what most of them wound up doing, despite their best intentions.</p><p>At some point, most of them found some other way to make money that they could fall back on and most of them did fall back on those ways often because when you make a living betting on the future, which is what this is, then you're going to make some mistakes and lose often. You may go to Florida and have a good season, but travel North in the spring, full of hope and big plans for the New England and New York circuit, only to hit a rough patch and wind up losing it all back. That's when that other profession will come in handy.</p><p>Here's an example of the glamorous life of a horse player, it happened in 1986 when I was a curly haired wise guy living off a little Dutching system I'd developed back then. I walked out of Gulfstream Park and found two beautiful young women sitting on the hood of my vintage Triumph sports car. They'd seen me around and knew I was a sport and wanted to have some fun.</p><p>The only problem was that I had just bet my last $640 on a race only to watch both my horses come up short so I was flat busted. I had enough gas in the car to make it back to the apartment and to make some phone calls to set up some work for that week and I don't mean playing the ponies or hanging out with pretty girls.</p><p>Imagine how I felt telling them that I didn't have enough for a cup of coffee and that any joy riding or fun would be on their dime. They quickly left and I set out to work and build up another bankroll. I went back up North and had a good summer at Rockingham, but the point is that I'd been doing well and then tapped out on a losing streak which happens often in this game.</p><p>Yes you may have some fun times but be ready for the downhill slide because it does happen and when it does, you'll have to pull yourself back up by your boot straps and start all over again. Along the way you won't be able to hold onto much. Have a few good systems, learn to bet with your head and not your heart and also, and most importantly, don't take losing personally, but don't ever get cozy with it. Bad breaks and mistakes should be considered unwelcome house guests. Be polite, but get rid of them as fast as you can.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Handicapping-Horse-Races-and-Living-the-Life-of-a-Horse-Player&id=6633746" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Handicapping-Horse-Races-and-Living-the-Life-of-a-Horse-Player&id=6633746</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1450700477049051800?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-72574323001055985652011-10-20T14:47:00.000-04:002011-10-20T14:47:11.367-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Are you trying to make money betting on horse races? It doesn't matter whether you are wagering on thoroughbred horses, harness horses, jump races or flats, it is very difficult to make a profit handicapping horse races. If you've been trying to make money playing the ponies then you know what I mean. A lot of people spend a lot of time and effort trying to beat the races every day.</p><p>Some of them believe that the whole game is about finding the winner of a race. If you can pick enough winners, then you will make a profit, they think. Nothing could be farther from the truth unless you can pick the winner of every race that you handicap and that just isn't going to happen. Making aliving as a horse player is a matter of understanding probability.</p><p>How likely is it that the horse will win? What is the payoff if it does win? That is what matters. Yes, you have to estimate the horse's chances, but you also have to understand the money angles. So one part of the game is about handicapping and the other part, that is equally as important, is whether or not a bet is a good bet or a bad bet.</p><p>A handicapping system is all about evaluating the horses while a betting system is all about evaluating the actual bet itself and determining if it is profitable, in other words, do you have the edge?</p><p>While a handicapping system should make a profit as long as you can manage your money properly and know when to use it and when to use a different system, a betting system only looks at the actual probability and the payoff. For instance, a person who uses such a system may know that a horse at 2-1 odds will actually win the race 25% of the time and that a horse at 3-1 actually places 15% of the time. Using these odds and probabilities he may then look at the exacta pool to see what the exactas with such horses pay and find one that pays more than the actual probability suggests.</p><p>That is an example of a betting system. The user doesn't have to handicap the race and may not even know the names of the horses, jockeys, etc. If the betting system is based on statistics, it should work, but statistics do change and they can only be used to predict the future within a range of numbers. Therefore, no system, whether handicapping or betting will always win. The handicapping system, however, will often require more judgment by the user whereas the betting system often has more concrete rules and fewer options.</p><p>The success depends entirely on the user and his or her judgment of when to use the system. Overall, however, betting systems, since they solve the crucial question of profitability, are more successful.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Which-Is-More-Successful:-A-Horse-Racing-System-or-A-Betting-System?&id=6629392" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Which-Is-More-Successful:-A-Horse-Racing-System-or-A-Betting-System?&id=6629392</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7257432300105598565?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-87352523186993539592011-10-20T14:45:00.002-04:002011-10-20T14:45:30.360-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>Are you having a hard time trying to pick enough winners to make a profit handicapping horse races? If the answer is yes, rest assured, you're not alone. Betting on horses to make a profit is one of the toughest things most people will ever attempt. Knowing why it is so difficult to come out ahead may help you to succeed.</p><p>First of all, there are a few facts you should face and own up to before you set your sights on being a handicapper. It is brutally difficult to consistently make money and therefore you should never risk money you can't afford to lose. Taking your life's savings to work a horse racing system is a bad idea. Use money that you can afford to lose without compromising your future or security.</p><p>Secondly, know what you're up against and go into it with your eyes open. You should know the amount that you are paying for the privilege of betting. How much is the vig and breakage? They are the amounts the track takes out of the pools before the winners get paid. The higher the vig the harder you have to work to just break even.</p><p>This is a game where you bet with dollars, but in the final analysis you win nickels and dimes. I mean that the profit margin is often a few percentage points so for every dollar wagered, at the end of the year, you've made a small percentage. Put $100,000 through the windows and get back $110,000. It's that kind of game.</p><p>Obviously, in the above example, you didn't risk it all on one bet, but every bet you make does count and the amount of risk in each bet should be offset with a higher probability or gain. The problem is that nothing is static in horse racing handicapping and the system that works today won't work tomorrow. There is no handicapping system on the planet that works all the time.</p><p>Does that mean that the answer is to bet on horse races without a system? Absolutely not. It means that you as the horse player must learn when to use a system and when to switch to something else. That zigging and zagging, as I call it, is one of the most difficult things to master. You must also learn how to manage your money properly and that opens up a whole 'nother can of worms.</p><p>Gambling and money management do not seem to be compatible. You may call it managed risk or anything you like but the fact of the matter is that the same personality traits and characteristics that make you take chances do not usually lead to being a bean counter. On the other hand, without good money management skills, no horse player can make a long term profit.</p><p>There are times when you must handicap like a cowboy and bet like an accountant and other times when you must handicap like an accountant and bet like a cowboy. It is another example of a zig zag course through the minefield of human decision making. Learn how to make the right choices between betting and handicapping styles as well as the system you use and you might beat the horse racing game. You'll find, as you get deeper into the whole intellectual sport, that the biggest problem is managing yourself and making the right choices.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping---Problems-to-Overcome-for-Success&id=6629369" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping---Problems-to-Overcome-for-Success&id=6629369</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8735252318699353959?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-47442047986551980932011-10-20T14:43:00.002-04:002011-10-20T14:43:55.392-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>So you want to pick winners and make easy money at the race track, good luck. That is exactly what you'll need, luck, and lots of it. The problem for most would be horse pickers is that luck comes in equal amounts in both varieties, the good kind and the bad. Almost everyone who tries to make money handicapping horse races will agree on two things, however, and that is that you need luck and a good system.</p><p>I've lived with horse racing systems for many years now and I can tell you few simple truths about the methods I've used over the years that may save you a lot of pain and lost money. Listen up. No horse racing system works all the time but almost every one of them will work sometimes. At first, that may not seem like much of a revelation, but if you have your heart set on betting on horses, you better pay attention, because the above statement, though pithy, is very important.</p><p>Even the simplest and easiest system for picking winners will work sometimes. In fact, on some days, just playing the horse with the highest speed rating in its last race will show a profit. Now that is about the easiest method I know of for choosing a horse to bet on. But don't rush off to the track and try it, because on most days it will come up a stinker and you'll lose your shirt. The point I am trying to make is that it is up to the handicapper to decide which method to use to pick his or her bets.</p><p>Once you've mastered a few horse racing systems it is time to learn the most important system of all and that is which one of your methods to use on any given day or in any particular race. That, my horse playing friend, is the key to the whole Megillah. It takes years of practice and hard work and there is no guarantee that you'll ever get it right. It won't help to make things more complicated and it also doesn't help to combine systems because then you're just muddying the waters and will wind up with results that are half right and half wrong.</p><p>What you really need to do is to learn some horse racing systems that you can implement without going crazy or spending too many hours on each day and then keep notes and watch which system works and note the conditions under which it worked. Time and experience are the real keys to learning which method to use and there are no shortcuts.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Easy-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Systems-Are-Rare&id=6631467" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Easy-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Systems-Are-Rare&id=6631467</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4744204798655198093?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-48927018736074249482011-10-20T14:42:00.002-04:002011-10-20T14:42:47.417-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><br /><br /><p>When you're betting on horse races using real money, and assuming its your own money that was legally obtained, it is no joke to lose. While a day at the track may be considered pleasant entertainment and the price of losing bets may be considered the price for that entertainment, losing is a way to pass time, but isn't much fun. If you haven't had much luck at the races in the past, here are a few horse racing tips that may help you to pick some winners and perhaps have a good time, even if you have to bring your mother-in-law along.</p><p>There are some excellent books on the subject of handicapping horse races and you could study some of them to learn the art of picking winners. That requires a lot of time and effort, however, and if the idea is just to have a day at the races without working too hard, it becomes counter productive to have to study and learn a difficult procedure in order to win. So for now, we'll talk about simple things you can do to increase your chances of winning.</p><p>Tip number one is a real peach. Stay away from long shots unless you have a very good reason to bet on one. The winner of most horse races is usually found within the ranks of the top three favorites. In other words, the horses with the lowest odds usually have the best chance of winning. That does not mean you should just bet on the runner with the lowest odds, otherwise known as the chalk or favorite. It does mean, however, that if a horse is getting betting action from the crowd that you should look it over and decide if you like it as a bet.</p><p>Now here comes the big key to all this horse picking stuff. Look at the horses. I mean put down your drink, and actually go outside where the horses are and look them over. They're animals and you can learn a lot by looking at them. If a horse is prancing and looks excited and eager to race, that's a good thing. If it happens to be one of the top three horses in the odds, in other words one of the crowd's favorites, it may be a good bet. Just don't bet on a horse that is sweating excessively. It's called being, "Washy," and it's not a good sign.</p><p>You might also want to check out the jockey, that would be the person riding the horse. Does he or she have a confident look on his or her face? What does the rider's body language tell you? Here is a really bad sign. If the rider has his or her feet out of the stirrups during the post parade or while the horse is being led around the track, that is not a good sign. It usually means the jockey has little interest in the race and is just taking a breather.</p><p>A horse that is being bet by the crowd and that is, "on it's toes," as it is sometimes called, is usually a horse that will run well and finish in the money. Rather than just betting to win, you may wish to bet it to win, place, and show. It's called an across the board bet and if your horse finishes first, second, or even third, you'll collect some money.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Sniff-Out-Horse-Racing-Winners-or-How-To-Win-By-a-Nose&id=6631462" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Sniff-Out-Horse-Racing-Winners-or-How-To-Win-By-a-Nose&id=6631462</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4892701873607424948?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-59533745488375691772011-10-20T14:41:00.000-04:002011-10-20T14:41:11.769-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>If you've been trying to pick winners at the horse races for a while, you've probably come to the conclusion that it is pretty tough to do it with any consistency. You may go and have a good day and come back with more money than you left with only to go back to the races again and lose it all back, sometimes with a little interest. You may study horse racing books, and there are some good ones out there, only to find that you're more confused by all that knowledge than you were when you started.</p><p>Now here is one truth that may sound inane, but is actually very important and that you should learn and keep in mind whenever you go to the races. No one can win at the races without a little luck from time to time. When you go to the races or otb next time, look around and see who is happy and winning and who is down in the dumps and not having a very good time. Sometimes, the people who are the most upset and unhappy are the ones who are trying the hardest and losing the most.</p><p>There are people who gamble for a living. The ones who do it the best understand whatever game it is that they are playing and know the statistics and probabilities associated with that game, whether it is poker, black jack, or horse racing. I will guarantee you that they all have a story or two about a lucky turn of the cards or a horse that ran better than expected or overcame a bad start. At some point in our horse playing career we all have an experience that humbles us and makes us realize that no matter how much we know, we still need a little good luck from time to time to win.</p><p>Admitting that to yourself is the first step in being lucky. Admit that life isn't cut and dried and just a matter of numbers and statistics. Consider the fact that sometimes, something will happen out of the ordinary or expected that will turn the tide. Just don't depend on it to make a living and whatever you do, don't get too cocky if you happen to have a run of good luck. Like all things in life, it will run hot and cold and may change in an instant.</p><p>The best way to be lucky is to take a chance, but don't get greedy. Betting on a horse that is one of the top three or four in the odds, in other words one that probably has a legitimate chance of winning, is a good way to get lucky. Listen to your hunches, but don't depend on them all the time. Use your head, make your best decision, but allow for the unexpected.</p><p>For instance, if the favorite looks unbeatable, allow that some other horse may beat it and find a good horse that has a chance if the favorite fails. Don't just bet the longest shot on the board. Favorites that look unbeatable do lose races and when they do, it is usually a horse that looked pretty good on paper that wins the race. So take a shot on a horse that has a chance, not on a rank outsider. Give luck a chance, but don't push it too hard.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Be-Lucky-At-the-Horse-Races&id=6631458" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Be-Lucky-At-the-Horse-Races&id=6631458</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5953374548837569177?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-55954035238639464852011-10-20T14:39:00.000-04:002011-10-20T14:39:24.831-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>If you're trying to beat the races you know that you must have a method that works over and over again. Trying to figure out each race and coming up with realistic bets without having a systematic method of comparing the runners is like trying to re-invent the wheel each time you open a racing form. Consistency is the key to long term profits and that means finding one way to do something and then replicating it.</p><p>Before we go any farther, however, let's clear the air on one very important point that a lot of seasoned veterans of the handicapping wars will tell you. Nothing works all the time and that means any system that works today may not work tomorrow. Go to any thoroughbred or harness track and ask the horse players how they are doing and a lot of them will tell you, "Up and down."</p><p>They mean that sometimes they win and they are ahead, or up, and other times they lose and they are down. What happens for most people who play the game long enough is that they trade the money back and forth and eventually their bank roll gets worn down by the vig. The reason for that is obvious. They play the horses the same way, week after week and sometimes their method, or system works and sometimes it doesn't. On the other hand, the vig is always there, chipping away at your capital.</p><p>Now let's think about what we just discovered about horse racing handicapping. Most people use some kind of system or method to handicap. Most players win sometimes and lose some times, but eventually lose their bankroll due to the vig. Then which system is the right system? The answer is that there is no right system, but rather, there are systems and one of them is right at some time, though not a single one of them is right all the time.</p><p>If you want to find the right system, keep track of how several systems perform at your favorite track. You will find that sometimes one works better than the other. It may be a matter of the time of year, or the day of the week. There may be a pattern to it and if there is, it will help you to know which system to use and at what time to use it. It is a matter of experience and skill that takes time to master. The key to finding it, though, is to realize that you need to be familiar with more than one system.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Find-the-Right-Horse-Racing-System-to-Win-Consistently&id=6629366" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Find-the-Right-Horse-Racing-System-to-Win-Consistently&id=6629366</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5595403523863946485?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-22846032739212347942011-10-20T14:37:00.002-04:002011-10-20T14:37:34.586-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>While many people bet on horse races every day and of them, many handicap the horse races, few actually make a profit in the long run. There can be many reasons why so many try to make money but few actually do. One of the biggest problems that the would be turf accountants have to overcome is knowing when a wager is a good one or a bad one.</p><p>That involves several mathematical equations, but can finally be boiled down to just one. While the calculations may appear simple, however, it is diabolically difficult to arrive at the correct conclusions. That is where experience and knowledge come into the picture. You may have played the races for many years, but do you know how to pick winners that will show a long term gain?</p><p>Don't feel bad if you don't. First of all, the deck is stacked against you. Back in the good old days, when horse racing was in it's golden age, legal bookies used to set up shop on the lawn at Saratoga race track and compete for the horse players' business. That competition was good for the horse player because it meant that he or she could get the lowest takeout imaginable. The book makers would operate on slim margins in order to attract the action.</p><p>It wasn't uncommon in those halcyon days for a man to make a living playing the horses. He might only be making ten percent on his bets, but if he placed enough wagers and handled enough money, he'd come out ahead with some good handicapping and often with inside information. Like all good things, however, the legal book makers came to an end, thanks to government intervention. When pari-mutuel wagering replaced them, the take out or vig, short for vigorish, went up and the nut that the gambler was trying to crack got bigger and harder.</p><p>If a bookmaker was charging 5% and a horse player was 15% better than the crowd, he could make 10%. Now, if a player is 15% better than the crowd, he'll be lucky to break even with the average win takeout well above 15% in many areas. You also have to figure in breakage and when you do, goodbye profit and hello poverty.</p><p>So just what is that equation that will turn you into a profitable horse player? It is probability and odds. In other words, how likely the horse is to win against what it will pay when it does. Simply put, you are betting situations, not horses. You look for situations that have historically produced winners at a certain rate and then look for horses in that situation that are at odds that offset the cost of the bet.</p><p>If a horse in a certain situation, things you've noted in the form, will win half the time, then you need odds of better than even money to make a profit. If you spend a base bet of $2 on 10 races, you've invested $20. If your horse wins 5 times and pays more than $4 each time, you've made over $20. It sounds deceptively easy, but horse players spend hours, days, months and sometimes even years trying to identify those situations.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Equation-for-Profit&id=6611341" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Equation-for-Profit&id=6611341</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2284603273921234794?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-67984738535881489072011-10-20T14:36:00.000-04:002011-10-20T14:36:15.831-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>They say that too much analysis leads to paralysis and that can be true in horse racing handicapping. Because there is real hard cash on the line, we sometimes try too hard to analyze a race and that leads to information overload. That, in turn, leads to being unable to make a form and concise opinion about a race. Without an opinion about the outcome, you shouldn't bet on a race.</p><p>One thing you have to remember about horse racing is that anything can happen in any event and always insisting on a concrete picture of how the race will shape up is not practical. On the other hand, not having a picture of possible pace scenarios can lead to disaster as well. The fine line begins and ends with profit and probability. If you can look at the field and identify the contenders, that is a very good start.</p><p>Next you have to put them in a hierarchy of best to worst. Which horse do you think is most likely to win? Which runner is second best, and so on? Once you have them in that order you can begin to determine probability. It will be based on pace, speed, jockey, post position, and any other factors you feel are relevant. If you know that post position one has a big advantage in turf races at your favorite track, for instance, you may give special consideration to any horse that has shown some recent form that is also in that post.</p><p>You may not hang your hat on one statistic, but with the knowledge that it has a big advantage and it also has run competitively at this level, it may be that the horse in post position one is a good bet at anything over 3-1 odds. Now if you start looking for flaws and find only one or two, it may still be a good bet at 5-1. Just how much should you dig?</p><p>Look at it this way, if horses and jockeys didn't overcome adversity and minor setbacks long shots would never win and favorites would always win. The reason you can make a profit betting on horses is because handicapping isn't a finite science, but rather an art. In art, flaws may actually add character and be overlooked. In horse racing they add value because other bettors who look too closely and expect races to always go according to plan will let those flaws scare them off a competitive horse.</p><p>If a horse has several good reasons for winning and the odds are right, stop looking for the perfect bet and take the best one you can find, the one staring you in the face.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-to-Know-When-You-Are-Done-Handicapping-a-Race&id=6611337" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-to-Know-When-You-Are-Done-Handicapping-a-Race&id=6611337</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-6798473853588148907?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-28202581994622369532011-10-20T14:34:00.002-04:002011-10-20T14:34:48.769-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>Are you looking for good horse racing bets? Are you trying to find a good, simple horse racing system? That means you are one of thousands, perhaps even millions of horse players who is trying to win. Many people keep notes and statistics and try to find situations that lead to profits. That is probably the best way to beat the game, but there is one very serious flaw. I call it the big switch.</p><p>I'm not trying to discourage you. As I sit here writing this I am surrounded by racing programs and stacks of paper with copious notes about races past that I hope will help me to make a profit. On the other hand, I've learned a secret about horse racing over the years and I'll share it with you.</p><p>What can they be worth if a man is willing to give away horse racing secrets? Plenty, but because you know this one, I won't lose a thing, so here it is and it's free. There are times when you will keep notes and watch races for weeks, perhaps even months and find something that works on paper. You will think you've found your own personal money machine. If you had bet on those horses in that situation at those odds in those races, you would have made a nice profit.</p><p>Your next step will be to take your bankroll and to start betting on these little gems whenever you find them running. You may make money on them for a while, but horseplayer beware, there is a big switch that you don't know about and a hand is reaching toward it and when it reaches the switch and pushes it to the off position, your little money maker is going to turn into a losing system. As a man who develops horse racing systems for a living, let me tell you this one truth that I have learned that may save you thousands in lost bankroll...</p><p>Nothing works all the time, but everything works sometimes.</p><p>That's not double speak or double talk, it's the truth. I've watched systems pick winners for months and the totals would have paid off mortgages and bought fine new cars. They would send your kids through college and bankroll your retirement. Remember this, however, while that system is winning, another is losing, but nothing lasts forever and change is constant.</p><p>There is no law of averages to help you out. You may have twenty winners in a row and then twenty losers in a row. Knowing when to quit is the whole key and it takes experience, intuition, and luck for that. You never know when they'll throw the switch and today's winner is tomorrow's loser is the winner next week. That's the way it goes. Learn to handicap as well as you can and watch trends carefully. Have several good systems you can rely on and switch between them whenever that invisible switch is thrown and you might come out a winner. But be warned because betting on horse races is risky business.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Dealing-With-the-Big-Switch-in-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=6611334" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Dealing-With-the-Big-Switch-in-Horse-Racing-Handicapping&id=6611334</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2820258199462236953?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-92009181646060519142011-10-20T14:33:00.000-04:002011-10-20T14:33:21.732-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>Do you ever look at the morning line odds and let them influence your wagering decisions? There are horse racing systems based on the odds the track's handicapper places on the runners and there are people who use them efficiently to make betting decisions. As you probably know, there are almost as many horse racing angles as there are horse players.</p><p>Because the business of picking winners has become so complicated and because the person or persons who set the odds beside each runner's name is anonymous to most of us, many people discount the value of the morning line. It is, after all, just one person's opinion and is meant to reflect what odds that horse will go off at and not necessarily what the handicapper thinks the horse is worth. Many people do not understand that.</p><p>Another thing that they don't understand is that no horse owner wants to see his investment going off at 40-1 or 50-1 odds. So race tracks and their handicappers try to keep from insulting or discouraging owners and trainers by keeping the odds lower on horses that have little chance to win and who should be in the morning line at much higher odds. What effect does that have on the other horse's odds? Plenty.</p><p>The morning line is supposed to be based on each horse's share of the win pool. It is also meant to be a reflection of how the crowd will bet each runner. The win pool is divided by the handicapper among the field. If a favorite is going to go off art 6-5, it's going to have a large portion of the pool wagered on it and that means that there will be some horses going off at very long odds if the field is large enough. But the public handicapper is in a bind and can't put a horse at 6-5 unless it is one fantastic horse because that means there won't be enough money to go around and he'll have to make some of the runner's odds very high.</p><p>In most cases where there is a very good horse that deserves morning line odds of 6-5 or even less, the odds will be much higher. It is often the case that you'll see the actual odds on a horse at 6-5 or even money and yet the runner is at 2-1 or 5-2 in the morning line. So what can you learn from this? First of all, the favorite should be bet down below its odds in the program. If it isn't then one of two things has happened.</p><p>It may have been compromised by a recent event that was in the news and that lowered the crowd's opinion of the horse. It may be that the handicapper just made a mistake and overestimated the runner's chances. Another possibility is that some other horse in the race is getting a lot more action than the odds maker thought it would. That maybe because a rich owner dropped a bundle on his or her horse or because the insiders know the horse is primed.</p><p>Does that mean you should also bet on that horse that is getting hammered? Absolutely not. Owners are notoriously bad handicappers and bettors. If a rich owner dropped a wad on the horse it means nothing other than that person has lots of money to throw around. It most cases such as this, unless you can figure out what is going on, it is best to look for value in one of the other runners or simply skip the race. Save your money for a race with less intrigue.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Angles-and-Clues-From-the-Morning-Line&id=6599597" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Angles-and-Clues-From-the-Morning-Line&id=6599597</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-9200918164606051914?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-88036145400997076432011-10-20T14:31:00.002-04:002011-10-20T14:31:38.620-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>The digital age is upon us and there's no turning back. Picking winning horses is often a matter of comparing statistics that have been gathered and stored in a computer. There is such a wealth of information available to us it is almost impossible to imagine actually handicapping a horse race without a computer. However, it can be done and may actually help you to get back to the basics.</p><p>When I say without a computer, I don't mean without the information that is supplied by a racing program or form. What I do mean is using one of several horse racing handicapping methods from the old school. First and foremost among these is actually looking at the horses and their riders. Would you buy a house without looking at it? Would you buy a car without a test drive or at least kicking the tires?</p><p>While you wouldn't invest without checking the prospectus, you wouldn't buy without looking over the merchandise, many people do bet on horses without actually looking at the horse. I've seen horses in the post parade who were completely washed out and obviously nerved to the point where they'd already sweated the best out of themselves who were also the post time favorite. One look at the runner would tell you that it wasn't going to be very competitive, but the crowd still hammered it.</p><p>Sight handicapping only involves your eyes and that computer between your ears. It may not be foolproof but the big advantage it has over the computer generated stats is that it can tell you what the horse looks like in real time, not what it did two or three weeks ago. Most players handicap the past to predict the future and that's a tough job.</p><p>Another way to handicap is by using the newspaper handicappers and their comments and morning line. It obviously isn't foolproof or going to make you rich, but it is amazing what they can tell you about some horses. The public handicappers keep a lot of good information about the runners and dispense it in their columns and consensus. Using their information and looking at the odds board can tell you a lot and help you to spot a good bet.</p><p>Nothing beats in depth handicapping, but both of the above methods come pretty close if you practice them and get proficient with them. Now just imagine putting both of these methods together. Reading the handicapper's insightful notes and looking the horses and jockeys over to get valuable clues from their body language is a good way to handicap and frees you from sitting in front of a screen for hours.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Picking-Winning-Horses-Without-a-Computer&id=6599602" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Picking-Winning-Horses-Without-a-Computer&id=6599602</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-8803614540099707643?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-41441301865201883522011-10-20T14:29:00.002-04:002011-10-20T14:29:46.674-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><br /><p>I recently received and interesting tweet from a fellow horse racing fan. He said he doesn't play a race unless he feels there is a strong angle. Years ago the saying was that you shouldn't play a race unless you had a strong opinion about the race. Whether we're talking opinions or some other slant that gives you the edge, playing horses is really about being able to see a way to put in a nickel and get back a dime.</p><p>The only way that is going to happen is if you make it a habit to only bet overlays. Whether you are betting straight win or place bets, exactas, trifectas, or pick <i>whatevers,</i> there is only one way to make a profit. You must be able to accurately estimate each horses' chances of winning and find one that is under valued by the crowd. If you stick with those bets, you'll be a winner.</p><p>This is much easier said than done, however. First of all, betting on horse races is subject to the market and that means that the pari-mutuel pools. While the pools do close once a race begins, the actual totals and final odds are not posted until the race is underway. So if you make a bet based on a slim margin, that margin may be wiped out and you may actually be making a poor bet.</p><p>There is no way around this. Some advance wagering companies on the internet allow a bettor to set a price and time for the bet so that if the odds dip below a certain amount by so many minutes to post, the bet is not made, but that is still subject to the final unknown tally. Experience would seem to be the best teacher and an experienced horse player may be able to guess pretty accurately just what the odds will be on a particular horse at post time. If you are lucky enough to be one of those experienced players, then the next thing you need is a reason to bet.</p><p>Just how important is a reason or horse racing angle? What other decisions do you make concerning money that are not based on information and logic? It all comes down to this single question. Are you playing the race for the thrill of watching the race and maybe winning, or are you playing the race to make a profit? If you are a recreational player looking for a thrill, an angle may not be necessary, but if you're serious about making money, then an opinion based on an edge is essential.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?How-Important-Is-a-Horse-Racing-Angle-When-Deciding-to-Play-a-Race?&id=6596902" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?How-Important-Is-a-Horse-Racing-Angle-When-Deciding-to-Play-a-Race?&id=6596902</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4144130186520188352?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-25282048983649606042011-10-20T14:27:00.001-04:002011-10-20T14:28:02.063-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>Learning how to handicap horse races and to bet on them and actually make a profit is the goal of many people, but most usually quit before they make the grade. Like many things in life, it looks deceptively easy, but is in fact a brutal way to try to make a living. It reminds me of peeling an onion. As you slowly start to learn the intricacies of handicapping you are peeling away layer after layer and never seem to get to the most important factor or find anything but another layer, another twist.</p><p>How can you possibly ever win with so many considerations, so many things that can go wrong? The answer to many of the challenges you face as a horse handicapper are found in life. Though you may spend years learning how to pick winners, you are already well on your way if you've lived a full life and have been paying attention.</p><p>What lessons have you learned from life? Have you finally reached the point where you can take a philosophical approach? That is a very handy skill to have because there will be days when you are playing the races when you'll need to step back and let it all go and just realize that you can't and won't win all the time. The truth of the matter is that you probably won't even win most of the time.</p><p>If you're doing this right and looking for good value bets, you're not going to be playing favorites. Your strike rate will probably be well below fifty percent. Thinking about the rest of life, however, isn't the same true of the other things you've tried to accomplish. When something is big and important in life, it is also usually difficult and most people fail at it. That is why people who do succeed at difficult things are often paid more than people who do jobs that require less skill.</p><p>Handicapping horse races and making a living at it comes under the heading of very difficult jobs.</p><p>Therefore, when you begin the process, I encourage you to review what you've learned about life and apply those lessons to your handicapping and don't take the job or yourself too seriously. You will have to work at it very hard and there are no guarantees, but if you can't keep your sense of humor and laugh at the irony, you'll never survive.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br /><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-and-Life-Its-Own-Self&id=6563224" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-and-Life-Its-Own-Self&id=6563224</a><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2528204898364960604?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-11126901455299663672011-09-30T07:39:00.001-04:002011-10-13T08:36:10.888-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><br /><p>While in-depth handicapping and hard work may be the only way to make a long term and consistent profit at horse racing handicapping, there are some simple methods that you can use to pick some winners. Whatever you do and however you go about finding horses to bet on, one thing is certain, betting on horse races is risky and you should never risk money you can't afford to lose. Let's start with the simplest and probably the oldest method of picking winners first.</p><p>If you can actually get to the race track and watch the races you have the benefit of seeing the horses up close and can see more than the people who watch the races on a television monitor at an OTB facility. You have an advantage and if you're smart, you'll use it. The smartest and most successful gamblers realize that the key to winning is in getting an edge over the other players. Seeing the horses live is just such an advantage because horses, being living creatures, do reveal a lot about their physical condition by their appearances.</p><p>Go to the paddock and look at the horses as they are being saddled. Watch them in the saddling ring and paddock as they are being walked. Watch them when they enter the track for the first time and also as they warm up. Look for a horse that is alert, it's ears will be pricked forward and then turn back to the rider. This is a horse that is paying attention and listening to the jockey. Its coat should be shiny and though race horses are slim when they are in condition, you shouldn't see too much rib.</p><p>The horse that looks the best is often the most fit and healthy and will win many times. With a little practice you'll be able to spot potential winners just based on appearances. This has to be the fastest and easiest way and some people become expert horse pickers just using this one method.</p><p>Another good way to spot winners is to find horses that are staying at the same class and who finished within two lengths of the winner in their last race. Look for horses who finished well and who have one of the top jockeys on them and you'll cash many tickets. Shy away from riders with a win percentage below 12%. Sticking with the top two or three jockeys at the track will get you winners on every card and if you stick with horses that have shown recent form and ability and who are facing horses of equal quality today, you'll cash many tickets.</p><p>Go through your racing program and circle any horse who raced within the last 35 days and finished within two lengths of the winner at the same class. Now scratch out any horse who has a low percentage jockey (any rider who can't win more than 12%). Between sight handicapping and picking horses who finished well, you will find many plays on a day's program.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br /><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Simple-Handicapping-Methods-to-Pick-Horse-Racing-Winners&id=6563218" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Simple-Handicapping-Methods-to-Pick-Horse-Racing-Winners&id=6563218</a><br /><br /><br /><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-1112690145529966367?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-28644491357260896442011-09-30T07:35:00.002-04:002011-09-30T07:35:41.992-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a></p><p>Learning how to handicap horse races and to bet on them and actually make a profit is the goal of many people, but most usually quit before they make the grade. Like many things in life, it looks deceptively easy, but is in fact a brutal way to try to make a living. It reminds me of peeling an onion. As you slowly start to learn the intricacies of handicapping you are peeling away layer after layer and never seem to get to the most important factor or find anything but another layer, another twist.</p><p>How can you possibly ever win with so many considerations, so many things that can go wrong? The answer to many of the challenges you face as a horse handicapper are found in life. Though you may spend years learning how to pick winners, you are already well on your way if you've lived a full life and have been paying attention.</p><p>What lessons have you learned from life? Have you finally reached the point where you can take a philosophical approach? That is a very handy skill to have because there will be days when you are playing the races when you'll need to step back and let it all go and just realize that you can't and won't win all the time. The truth of the matter is that you probably won't even win most of the time.</p><p>If you're doing this right and looking for good value bets, you're not going to be playing favorites. Your strike rate will probably be well below fifty percent. Thinking about the rest of life, however, isn't the same true of the other things you've tried to accomplish. When something is big and important in life, it is also usually difficult and most people fail at it. That is why people who do succeed at difficult things are often paid more than people who do jobs that require less skill.</p><p>Handicapping horse races and making a living at it comes under the heading of very difficult jobs.</p><p>Therefore, when you begin the process, I encourage you to review what you've learned about life and apply those lessons to your handicapping and don't take the job or yourself too seriously. You will have to work at it very hard and there are no guarantees, but if you can't keep your sense of humor and laugh at the irony, you'll never survive.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com"> Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-and-Life-Its-Own-Self&id=6563224" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-and-Life-Its-Own-Self&id=6563224</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2864449135726089644?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-79550983195637388522011-09-16T07:38:00.000-04:002011-09-16T07:38:13.889-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>Why does it matter which horse will be in front or behind at the beginning of the race? Isn't the winner the horse that can run the distance of the race in the shortest amount of time? For instance, if one horse can run six furlongs in 1:10 and another can only run it in 1:10.2, isn't it obvious which horse will win?</p><p>The answers to those questions are as follows, it matter where a horse runs because certain races favor different running styles. Just because a horse can run the distance faster than another it doesn't mean it will win the race because the horse is racing against others. The fact that there are other horses running beside it and perhaps in front or behind it, does affect how a horse will run and whether it will be able to run its best race.</p><p>Let's use runner A as an example:</p><p>Let's imagine that runner A usually runs the fractions of a six furlong race in the following times</p><p>1. 24</p><p>2. 47</p><p>3. 1:09</p><p>It would be nice if it was merely a matter of dividing the race into quarter calls and fractions and then adding them to determine which runner is going to win, but it is much more complicated than that. As you can see from the projected times, runner A likes to take his time and runs a slow first quarter before gradually pouring on the speed as the race progresses, but on one occasion there is another horse just slightly faster, but with a similar running style.</p><p>Even though they aren't in front, if they hook up and runner A tries to keep pace with the slightly faster horse, it will mean expending energy that will cost it dearly at the end of the race. If the horse averages a first half mile in 47 flat but today, because of the pressure of trying to keep pace with the competition runner A runs it in 46, its final time may be 1:10.2.</p><p>You see, the 5 extra ticks it pared off its time in the first half became 7 ticks at the end of the race. This often happens when a horse is pushed too hard at the beginning of a race to keep pace. The jockey or runner may have mistakenly thought the other runner was running slowly and it tried to keep pace. It isn't merely a matter of adding the fractions of a second gained at the beginning to the final fractions, sometimes that energy that is used early takes more of a toll.</p><p>This is just one example of how knowing how fast your horse will run each fraction of a race and what pace duels within the race may develop will help you to determine which runner will run truest to its own favored running style and therefore manage to post the best winning time.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Using-Pace-As-A-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factor&id=6560438" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Using-Pace-As-A-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Factor&id=6560438</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-7955098319563738852?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-34091005885922380512011-09-16T07:35:00.002-04:002011-09-16T07:35:40.086-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>If you're like many people who are struggling through the tough economic conditions in the United States, you may have thought of winning money at the horse races as a possible way to supplement your income. While it is possible to win money betting on horses, doing it consistently or making a profit over the long haul is very difficult. One of the biggest mistakes you can make is to think that you have a good chance of succeeding with a small amount of cash.</p><p>A big bankroll doesn't guarantee success at horse racing handicapping, but it does help. The average horse player goes through many ups and downs, just like the economy. There are good cycles and bad cycles. Having the money to survive them is important and the under funded player often loses it all on a down turn only to see many winners that he would have had if he could have lasted long enough to stay in the game.</p><p>Does that mean that the amount in your bankroll is the most important number in your horse racing handicapping career? No, it doesn't. While bankroll is important, it isn't the most important thing. The next number that comes to mind is the number of races played. While you have to play enough races to win enough money, there is no magic number of races that will insure success or lead to failure.</p><p>If you try to play every race rather than picking your spots and best bets you will almost certainly lose, but the number of races isn't more important than another number. You may call this the golden mean of horse racing. Similar to the Fibonacci number found in the natural world. It is the ratio between the odds on a horse on the tote board, in other words the price it will pay if it wins, compared to the actual odds of the horse winning.</p><p>The whole point of handicapping is to determine the actual chances of each horse winning. When playing exotic bets it also becomes important to determine where a horse is likely to finish if it doesn't win, for instance, which one will be second and third, etc. Why is this comparison of its chances of winning to the actual payoff so important? The reason is that it is impossible to make a profit betting on horse races unless you bet on horses that will pay enough to cover all bets and make a profit.</p><p>For instance, if a horse has a 30% chance of winning, it will win 3 out of 10 races. If you bet it in each of those races for the minimum $2 bet, it will cost you $20. That means that those three winning tickets will have to pay a total of $20 just for you to break even. Anything over the $20 is a profit. If you manage to master handicapping so you can accurately tell what a horse's chances of winning may be, then you simply need to watch the odds board to find good bets.</p><p>I know it is easier said than done, but that is how it is done and the only way you can survive as a horse player and therefore, it all comes down to that one number, what the horse will pay.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?The-Most-Important-Number-In-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-for-Making-a-Profit&id=6560433" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?The-Most-Important-Number-In-Horse-Racing-Handicapping-for-Making-a-Profit&id=6560433</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3409100588592238051?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-45281704122291324762011-09-16T07:31:00.000-04:002011-09-16T07:31:30.400-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>Handicapping horse races and picking winners can be as complicated or simple as you want it to be. Of course, the more good information you have, the better your chances of picking winners and making a profit. That's because you can more accurately evaluate a runner and make a good estimate of its chances of winning.</p><p>Though good information is essential to making the correct decisions when picking winners, too much information or analysis can be a bad thing. As they say, at some point, analysis becomes paralysis. So knowing when to use what you have and to make the final decision is an important component of successful horse racing handicapping.</p><p>I recommend that you use the same factors for handicapping each race until you become comfortable with them. How much you weight each statistic in the game is another matter and will vary from race type to race type. For instance, early speed and pace are much more important in sprints for young horses than they are for routes for older horses, particularly on the turf.</p><p>The three factors that I think are the most important for handicapping are, speed, class, and form. When I say that these should be used to handicap I mean that the totals for each horse must be compared in order to come up with a method for evaluating a horse's chances of winning. How you total them is very important. Taking the speed figures for the last 60 days and determining an average is one method.</p><p>Form is recent ability. Ability is speed and pace in light of class. A horse that manages a 100 speed figure in a race with cheap claimers, while impressive in that race, is not the same as a horse who manages the same fig. in a race with stakes caliber horses. That is how class is determined. You may add purse values or winnings, but in the end, it's all about the money that the horse raced for and that will determine the quality of competition it faced.</p><p>So a total speed figure based on average speed over the last 60 days and the average purse value raced for over that same time period will give a pretty good indication of recent form. The higher the speed figure and the more recent, the more likely the horse is to run back to that same level. That is how the three factors work together to give and indication of the best horse in the race.</p><p>How much better that top horse is compared to the next horse gives a good indication of what odds you should look for to make it a profitable bet.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Picking-Horse-Racing-Winners-Using-Three-Factors&id=6560441" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Picking-Horse-Racing-Winners-Using-Three-Factors&id=6560441</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4528170412229132476?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-67753307925680664502011-09-16T07:29:00.002-04:002011-09-16T07:29:53.106-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>Making a long term profit betting on horse races is not easy. However, once in a while, an angle or tip comes along in a particular race that makes it all appear academic. While these are often over bet so the horses go off as heavy favorites, it isn't always the case. Here are a few angles I look for that you may consider tips from a horse player who has been around for a while.</p><p>First of all, before you bet on a horse race know this, betting on horses is risky no matter how good a horse may look. Anything can happen once the race begins and I've seen some weird things including a horse who stepped on a goose and another who jumped over the fence and into the infield lake.</p><p>When looking at what makes a runner a good bet, no matter what kind of race it may be, early speed is usually a good thing. This is particularly true of races for young and inexperienced horses. Here is one of my favorite angles. Just look for a race with maiden runners that has only one front runner in the race. While that one may have been caught in a previous race, he or she will often prevail with a little experience, especially if there is no other horse to challenge the leader.</p><p>Another good angle that has served me well is what I call, <em>been there done that. </em> I like to find races where there is only one horse who has won on the track and at the distance. Why? Because this is a proven runner and there is no doubt that this one likes the distance and surface. That's often a big problem when a horse has never raced on the track or tried the distance before. It seems so obvious, but these little beauties often pay double digits.</p><p>Multiple changes off a class drop is another good play. Horses go up and down the class ladder all the time, particularly in claiming races. When I see a young horse dropping in class with an equipment change or a new rider, I take this one's chances very seriously. The trainer is obviously trying very hard to win and if a better rider is getting on board, it means this one may have shown something in its workouts that the jockey or the jockey's agent liked.</p><p>When a horse has a lot going on, good things may happen. If you can get a good price, it may be an excellent bet.</p><p>While these seem like obvious moves for a handicapper to know about, it is amazing how well they often pay. Keep your eyes open for these three angles and you'll find some good bets almost every day. To make a profit, sit out the races where you don't have a strong opinion or a good reason to bet. That is how real profits are made betting on horses.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Easy-Horse-Racing-Angles-and-Tips&id=6558420" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Easy-Horse-Racing-Angles-and-Tips&id=6558420</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-6775330792568066450?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-26747716002365883812011-09-13T13:14:00.000-04:002011-09-13T13:14:06.909-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>People who like to handicap horse races have a few things in common. First of all, many of us are lazy and started playing the ponies with the foolish notion that it would be fun and easy to pick winners and make money betting on horses. We soon find out it isn't easy. Those of us who hang in there and keep going have something else fueling our engines, usually one or two things.</p><p>We may be greedy and want money and think that there is a lot of money to be made betting on horses. We may also like to solve puzzles and horse races can be very challenging puzzles or riddles to solve. Like professional athletes, people who handicap horse races and wager on them get paid for playing a game. Also like pro athletes, the handicappers who actually make good money at it must work very hard and be dedicated to their sport.</p><p>Handicapping horse races is often referred to as an intellectual sport and I guess that is an accurate description. It is all based on the simple premise that certain people can figure out he future by looking at the past. We find this same line of reasoning in almost every other field. It is how economists try to predict economic trends. Governments and investors and business leaders try to use that information to keep the world economy stable. Looking at the economic meltdown of the western world over the last few years, it is easy to see how successful those experts have been.</p><p>The same is true of the weather forecasters. How often are they wrong? The answer, of course, is quite often in some regions. While it is pretty easy to forecast the weather in sunny Southern California, the unpredictable climate in New England makes weather forecasts a hit or miss proposition. The point here is that handicapping depends on the same skill that so many other professions depend on, figuring out the great unknown.</p><p>In horse racing the great unknown is whether the horses will run true to form. The form is right there in the past performances, but the problem is that it is the past performances and what has happened may happen again, but also may not happen again. That is the great mystery and that is what a good handicapper has to figure out. Anyone can add speed figures and determine which horse ran the fastest in its last few races. The good handicapper can look at the running lines and make a pretty good guess as to which horse will improve, which one will stay the same, and which one will decline.</p><p>That is the great unknown and trying to predict it is human nature and why we love horse racing so much.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing---Handicapping-the-Great-Unknown-and-Other-Mysteries&id=6553359" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing---Handicapping-the-Great-Unknown-and-Other-Mysteries&id=6553359</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-2674771600236588381?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-34788487472826388402011-09-13T13:12:00.002-04:002011-09-13T13:12:44.854-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>How do you make money betting on horse races? This is one question many people are asking themselves, especially as the economy gets worse and people become more desperate to find more income. In my experience it is extremely difficult to make a profit on horses and especially when you are low on cash.</p><p>I didn't say impossible, though, so here is what I recommend if you really want to make some money playing the ponies. First of all, be realistic. Don't expect to bet a few bucks and get rich. It happens once in a long while when someone hits a huge pick six or some other exotic bet, but you may as well play the lottery for a few bucks as try to hit a complicated multi leg race with a few combinations.</p><p>Realistically, making a 10% profit over the long haul is about the best the good handicappers can do. If you put a thousand through the betting windows and after a month you've got $1,100 or $1,200, you actually done very well. I know that isn't encouraging, but it is the truth based on my experience.</p><p>The next step, after you've realized how difficult it is and have been honest with yourself about what you can make is to think about a systematic way of evaluating horses and finding good bets. By good bets, I mean profitable bets. When one horse is bet too heavily, according to the chances of it winning, then somewhere in the race there may be another horse that is an overlay.</p><p>If you evaluate, or handicap them correctly, you may be able to spot that overlay. Bet enough overlays and you'll make a profit. You will also have winning and losing streaks, so be prepared for them financially and mentally. Realize that it's a risky business and planning and a good system are the only way to beat it.</p><p>Professional horse players are a rare breed. They spend most of their time thinking about finding good bets and they develop a method for doing just that. Once they find a situation that often leads to good bets, they look for those situations over and over again. They often sit out many races waiting for that one horse and then they watch the odds closely and only bet when the odds are right.</p><p>So the two things you will need for success, other than a little luck, are a good horse racing system and a lot of patience.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Systems-Information&id=6553364" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Horse-Racing-Handicapping-Systems-Information&id=6553364</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3478848747282638840?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-39001004063498199502011-09-13T13:11:00.000-04:002011-09-13T13:11:12.904-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>What is the most popular bet in horse racing? If you check the pool totals after a race, you'll often find that more money was bet on the trifecta than any other bet. In fact, sometimes there is more money in the tri pool than in several of the other pools combined. What makes the triple, as it is sometimes called, such an attractive bet?</p><p>One of the features of trifecta betting that many people like is that it can be as complicated or simple as you want to make it. While some people try partial keys and partial wheels, others simply wheel one horse on top. If that horse wins, no matter which horse is second and third, they cash a tri ticket. That is where the real fun and adventure begins because you never know how much it will pay.</p><p>If a long shot or two happens to get in for second and or third, then you may make a nice profit. That strategy is why people often wheel the favorite on top over all the other horses when the rest of the field is hard to handicap. The handicappers figure that since they can't evaluate the runners and come up with a clear choice for second and third, maybe the rest of the crowd will have the same problem. That means some horses with a good chance of making it into the tri might go off at long odds and complete a nice trifecta ticket.</p><p>While that uncertainty will scare some players off, others relish the excitement, which brings us to the question of just who plays the triple? Is it professional horse players or recreational players who go for the most popular exotic bet? In my experience, professional handicappers like to know exactly what they are getting when they win so that they can evaluate a bet and know whether the reward offsets the risk.</p><p>With an unknown payoff in the tri, many pros will shy away from the wager. While it may be fun to bet on the unknown if you're just passing time at the races, for the real money player, who is working for the rent, that kind of uncertainty is not a good strategy.</p><p>Therefore, when it comes to trifecta strategy, here are a few ideas. First of all, since you never know what the trifecta will pay, always consider it a high risk bet, even if you wheel the favorite on top. If you play the tri, always put a few longshots in your combinations, unless it is a longshot that you're wheeling on top.</p><p>Though it may be tempting to play many combinations, remember this, every single combination comes out of your profit. You only cash on one trifecta combination so boxes, wheels and keys all have losing bets built into them. The best strategy is to keep it simple and only play races where you have a clear cut choice for a key horse.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Trifecta-Strategies-for-Horse-Racing-Success&id=6553363" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Trifecta-Strategies-for-Horse-Racing-Success&id=6553363</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-3900100406349819950?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-53029507553286170082011-09-02T11:42:00.000-04:002011-09-02T11:42:09.208-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>Which is the better bet, a good jockey on a bad horse or a bad jockey on a good horse? I know a lot of you are saying it doesn't sound like either one is a good bet, but there are times when either one may be a profitable bet. Of course, figuring that out is one of the keys to making money betting on horses. That is a very difficult thing to do consistently, but the only way you will ever find bets that are under valued by the crowd is to bet on a horse or jockey who appear to be a bad choice.</p><p>When you think of it, how else will you ever get value? If you only bet on horses that appear capable of winning and jockeys who appear to be better than the other riders, how will you get a good price? The answer is, you won't.</p><p>That doesn't mean you should always bet riders with low win percentages or horses that seem overmatched, however. You have to be selective and still have a reason to wager on the horse. Some reasons that might convince you to back a runner that seems over matched will start with the odds. If they are high enough, any horse may be a good bet. It comes down to the simple equation of risk and reward. If the horse could only win the race one out of 100 times it is still a good bet if it is going off at 200-1. See what I mean?</p><p>The question is, when it does win that one time out of one hundred, why does it win? This is where your reason to bet comes into play. It may be an equipment change or trainer move or it may be nothing to do with this runner and everything to do with the competition. If you think the other runners each have a chink in their armor, a weakness or cloud over them, then they are vulnerable and can be beaten.</p><p>As for betting on a good jockey on a bad horse, good riders find ways to win and bad riders find ways to lose. Admittedly, a good jockey can't carry the horse across the finish line, but he or she may get every ounce of run out of the mount and also keep it out of traffic and trouble. A favorite with a jockey that isn't very skillful and sometimes makes bad choices is vulnerable and that jockey may cost the favorite the race. That's when the longshot with the capable rider becomes a good bet as long as reward outweighs risk.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Good-Jockey-Bad-Horse-or-Bad-Jockey-Good-Horse?&id=6526589" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Good-Jockey-Bad-Horse-or-Bad-Jockey-Good-Horse?&id=6526589</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5302950755328617008?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-49819093876501454462011-09-02T11:36:00.002-04:002011-09-02T11:36:50.514-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>After the race it is so much easier to find the winner and why it won than it is before the race. By looking at one hundred races and noting which horses won and why, you'd think anyone would soon be able to pick winners like a pro. Such is not the case, however, and handicapping horse races remains one of those difficult things that appears so simple at first glance.</p><p>Some horse racing handicappers try to narrow it down by using statistics. The most well known and over used statistic regarding winners at the horse races is the knowledge that the favorites win approximately one third of the races. Anyone who attends the races and tries betting on favorites as a way of making money betting on horses quickly learns, however, that it just doesn't pay. They are almost always a poor bet because so many people wager on them.</p><p>If a runner at 9-5 odds has a 33% chance of winning, then you will receive $5.60 for every $6.00 wagered on horses at those odds. Though the actual winning percentage may go up or down according to the odds, there is rarely a time when a favorite will pay enough to offset the cost of wagering. Even extremely popular favorites at odds of less than even money are often a losing bet.</p><p>So what odds and percentages and where in the betting order should we shop for winners that will pay enough to make a profit? That is a question that number crunchers and professional handicappers try to answer every day. Supposedly, a long time ago, Dutch Shultz, the infamous gangster, with the help of his accountant, figured out that certain horses were overlays and they could bet on more than one horse and still make a profit.</p><p>Though it was the golden age of horse racing wagering and odds were still crude and it was possible to find good bets based on the odds of winning. Dutch figured out that the favorite won a third of the time and the second favorite won 20% of the time. He also figured out the odds of winning for the top five horses in the odds. Horses beyond the top five won so rarely that he concentrated his efforts on those runners and watched the odds.</p><p>When he found an overlay based on the expected win percentage, he bet the horse and cleaned up. Before you rush out the door to try that how, however, be warned, it doesn't work as well any more. We no longer bet with bookies and pari-mutuel wagering has trimmed the fat from the pools making it much more difficult to win. However, the odds of each of the top five horses winning still holds true today, though it varies a little from track to track and season to season.</p><p>Roughly 80% of all winners come from the top five betting choices. As I said, it may vary a little but overall, that is where you will find most of the winners so that is probably where most of your betting should take place unless you are specifically playing long shots and have a good method of finding horses that are overlooked by the crowd.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Where-To-Find-Most-Winners-When-Handicapping-Horse-Races&id=6526584" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Where-To-Find-Most-Winners-When-Handicapping-Horse-Races&id=6526584</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-4981909387650145446?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-27762175.post-54798593428310729652011-09-02T11:33:00.002-04:002011-09-02T11:33:50.402-04:00By <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson">Bill Peterson</a><br /><p>I don't mean to trivialize the difficulty of horse racing handicapping, but even though finding good horse racing bets may be difficult, there are a few angles that will help you to minimize losses and maximize profits, the goal of any good system. Since the business of picking winners can be so hard at times and we try to use every scrap of information to our advantage, we sometimes get overwhelmed in data and lose track of some very basic truths.</p><p>1. First of all, when you start to evaluate runners in a race, perhaps you should run through a little checklist the way pilots go through a checklist before they take off. At the top of that list, here is something you might want to check and double check. Is this a playable race? Not every race is worth wagering on and that is truth number one. There are some races, for whatever reason, that you should sit out.</p><p>Some handicappers call them chaos races. The problem is usually that there is no horse in the race that has ever accomplished what is being asked of it. Obviously, maiden races are chaos races, but they may still be playable if you can find a runner that has posted a par time equal to the average winning time or speed figure for maidens of that class. You'll want to avoid most chaos races unless you have a very good reason to bet one.</p><p>2. The second truth is that good money management will get you through times of bad handicapping but good handicapping won't get you through a run of poor money management. The one skill that every handicapper has to learn in order to make a profit betting on horses is how to manage a bank roll so that when you win you win big and when you lose losses are minimized. This has a lot to do with betting units and streaks. When you're on a losing streak your betting amounts should automatically adjust to minimize losses.</p><p>3. The third angle or truth is about those streaks we just mentioned. Don't chase your losses. If you've lost a packet and you're having a bad day, don't try increasing your bets in order to win back what you've lost. I anything reduce your wager amounts or quit and go home. The business of wagering on horse races is usually streaky and if you're on the skids, find another way to amuse yourself until it passes.</p><p>While it will take a lot more than three simple truths to beat the races, you will find that if you don't follow the advice above, you won't make a profit betting on horses.</p><p>If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to <a target="_new" href="http://horse-racing-handicapping.co">http://horse-racing-handicapping.co</a> and get the truth about betting on horses and winning. Bill Peterson is a former race horse owner and professional handicapper. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to <a target="_new" href="http://williewins.homestead.com">Horse Racing Handicapping</a>, Bill's handicapping store.</p><br /><p>Article Source: <a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?expert=Bill_Peterson</a><br /><br /><br><a href="http://ezinearticles.com/?Three-Simple-Horse-Racing-Truths-and-Angles&id=6526581" target="_new">http://EzineArticles.com/?Three-Simple-Horse-Racing-Truths-and-Angles&id=6526581</a><br /><br /><br><br /><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/27762175-5479859342831072965?l=gamblingwillie.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Willienoreply@blogger.com